(anonymous) 0xba71c9…84e31b Create alert
new 17W streak
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Realized P&L
+$178
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
97.3%
Resolved
143
Trades
829
lifetime
Volume
$17.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-06 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
51% 72% -$10
Politics
42% 89% +$167
Sports
6% 100% +$21
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +661 $660 100¢ $658 -$2 11-04 14:37
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +360 $357 99¢ $357 +$0 11-03 09:14
Exact Score: FK Obolon Kyiv 2 - 2 FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih? No +498 $497 55¢ $273 -$224 11-04 17:00
Exact Score: Energetik Mingechevir 5 - 0 Shahdag Qusar FK? No — +541 $5 48¢ $260 +$254 11-05 20:46
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? No +279 $279 76¢ $212 -$67 11-04 16:58
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +180 $16 98¢ $176 +$160 11-04 04:27
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in November 2026? No +129 $128 99¢ $128 $0 11-05 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +117 $116 100¢ $117 +$0 11-05 08:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +109 $89 100¢ $109 +$21 11-04 06:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +127 $114 79¢ $101 -$13 10-31 20:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +106 $104 94¢ $100 -$4 11-05 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +101 $100 99¢ $99 -$1 11-05 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +97 $96 100¢ $96 $0 11-05 16:24
Will Como finish first in UCL league phase? No +90 $90 97¢ $87 -$3 11-05 10:40
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $83 100¢ $83 +$0 11-04 00:40
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +76 $73 99¢ $75 +$2 10-31 15:41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +120 $65 54¢ $65 +$0 11-04 16:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%? No +63 $51 96¢ $61 +$10 11-03 19:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +59 $58 99¢ $59 +$0 11-05 02:00
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +54 $52 100¢ $54 +$2 11-02 19:34
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? No +90 $89 57¢ $52 -$37 11-04 16:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026 No +61 $33 77¢ $47 +$14 11-02 20:10
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No +45 $39 99¢ $45 +$5 11-04 01:07
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +41 $41 100¢ $41 +$0 11-03 09:14
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +45 $45 89¢ $40 -$5 10-31 18:38
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +63 $63 62¢ $39 -$24 11-05 11:51
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on november 30 2026 No +48 $47 82¢ $39 -$8 11-02 20:40
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 +$0 11-05 10:26
Will Jon Stewart be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No — +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 11-06 01:13
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? No +33 $33 99¢ $33 +$0 11-04 03:56