Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

113

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$573

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-19 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

55% 35% -$48

Politics

19% 25% -$1

Sports

11% 69% +$12

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

4% 20% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+132	$14	4¢	$5	-$9	10-19 20:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+8	$3	38¢	$3	+$0	10-13 12:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+19	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-17 21:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 06:22
Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	7	$28	25	25	+0	Leylah Fernandez	-$8	10-19 07:03
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	3	$22	19	19	+0	Western Kentucky	+$2	10-08 23:34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	2	$21	43	43	+0	open	—	10-10 14:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$21	33	33	+0	open	—	10-17 13:40
South Florida vs. UTSA	4	$21	32	32	+0	UTSA	+$1	10-08 23:26
Alabama vs. Tennessee	3	$17	10	10	+0	Tennessee	+$3	10-17 22:57
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	3	$16	20	0	+20	Buccaneers	-$16	10-08 23:24
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	5	$14	132	0	+132	open	—	10-19 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	2	$12	12	12	+0	Yes	+$10	10-12 07:26
Flyers vs. Senators	2	$11	8	8	+0	Senators	+$1	10-08 23:33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$11	36	36	+0	Spirit	-$5	10-09 18:51
Predators vs. Canadiens	1	$10	24	0	+24	Predators	+$14	10-08 23:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-10 15:23
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	10-10 14:41
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	10-10 14:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	3	$9	15	8	+8	open	—	10-13 12:16
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	10-12 08:52
Almaty Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth	1	$7	12	0	+12	James Duckworth	-$7	10-19 07:04
Arizona vs. West Virginia: O/U 61.5	2	$6	6	6	+0	Over	+$0	10-10 07:13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	3	$6	4	4	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2	10-18 05:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	3	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	10-08 19:18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	5	$6	13	13	+0	PARIVISION	-$2	10-10 16:00
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5	2	$6	4	4	+0	Over	+$2	10-10 19:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 07:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	10-19 19:31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-19 19:29
Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Ryan Seggerman	2	$5	3	3	+0	Jay Dylan Friend	+$1	10-09 06:34
Fresno State vs. San Diego State	2	$5	3	3	+0	San Diego State	+$1	10-18 05:57
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	3	$5	4	3	+2	Golden State Valkyries	+$0	10-17 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:02:41	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9622d6…
10-19 19:47:48	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x8f6b4c…
10-19 19:47:39	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x96fb9f…
10-19 19:32:06	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x7fbd4e…
10-19 19:31:38	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x8926c8…
10-19 19:31:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x149388…
10-19 19:31:21	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xfa9763…
10-19 19:30:48	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xecbb70…
10-19 19:30:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xb47fa8…
10-19 19:30:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xc27bb2…
10-19 19:29:54	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x2cb4c7…
10-19 19:29:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc016c3…
10-19 19:29:23	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbdb7da…
10-19 19:29:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0xa4dfb5…
10-19 19:25:12	French election called by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd33d00…
10-19 07:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x27d9dd…
10-19 07:04:45	Almaty Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs James Duckworth	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x055b2a…
10-19 07:03:44	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8d4119…
10-19 06:52:44	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x2e92a8…
10-19 06:52:33	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x198d85…
10-19 06:51:39	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2a2b6f…
10-19 06:38:32	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaf57d3…
10-19 06:31:39	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7eb73b…
10-19 06:30:17	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Elise Mertens	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4f3690…
10-19 06:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf5a343…
10-18 08:52:17	Guangzhou: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Fumin Jiang	Fumin Jiang	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf59b6d…
10-18 08:51:41	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6e5734…
10-18 07:24:57	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Han Shi	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xed4d05…
10-18 06:23:05	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x47bba9…
10-18 06:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x8581f8…
10-18 06:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0d7adb…
10-18 06:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9d4082…
10-18 06:01:23	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Han Shi	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc9f39b…
10-18 05:57:33	Fresno State vs. San Diego State	San Diego State	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x510a5f…
10-18 05:52:30	Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x053073…
10-18 05:51:53	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x240956…
10-18 05:46:08	Nebraska vs. Oregon	Nebraska	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf89f41…
10-18 05:45:50	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Sinja Kraus vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x963247…
10-18 05:33:51	Fresno State vs. San Diego State	San Diego State	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6f676f…
10-18 05:26:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4fcea3…
10-17 23:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb7c310…
10-17 23:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 18?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39e01e…
10-17 23:02:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x26d66d…
10-17 23:01:00	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42fed6…
10-17 23:00:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f0582…
10-17 22:59:51	Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x259d3c…
10-17 22:57:36	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa6dbc4…
10-17 22:17:15	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xcbe758…
10-17 22:14:20	Alabama vs. Tennessee	Tennessee	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6e7eee…
10-17 22:00:24	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x09f7c2…
10-17 21:59:06	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe76078…
10-17 21:58:59	Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4252ad…
10-17 21:18:53	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe48f6b…
10-17 21:17:29	LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	FURIA Esports	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x98a1c5…
10-17 20:22:48	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2d5b5b…
10-17 20:15:11	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x176922…
10-17 19:09:14	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x07f44c…
10-17 19:07:03	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcf1d2b…
10-17 13:41:29	Panthers vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe9f2cf…
10-17 13:41:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2239c6…
10-17 13:40:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0xcc1421…
10-17 13:40:09	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xd5f42c…
10-16 09:08:12	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1fd1d8…
10-16 09:08:06	Spread: Mohun Bagan Super Giant (-1.5)	Mohun Bagan Super Giant	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2e0551…
10-15 21:52:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x41804f…
10-15 15:57:41	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x86fb17…
10-15 15:20:56	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 153.5	Over	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x6fa1b9…
10-15 15:20:08	Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-2.5)	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x735596…
10-15 09:40:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x67db8a…
10-14 09:26:17	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa44ebc…
10-14 09:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc42bf1…
10-14 09:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x1dcdb5…
10-14 08:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf903ff…
10-14 08:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb55ef1…
10-14 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xa9af91…
10-14 07:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x61b31a…
10-14 07:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x12bdd4…
10-14 07:12:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x2ba913…
10-14 07:12:40	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x36d7cd…
10-14 07:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc7fb17…
10-14 07:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2a8890…
10-14 07:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xb30b98…
10-14 07:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0809eb…
10-14 07:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x244487…
10-13 15:25:16	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x6df049…
10-13 13:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3b62dc…
10-13 12:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x59508f…
10-13 12:16:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$3	0x567f30…
10-13 07:02:10	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xdaadc4…
10-13 07:02:08	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xadac5c…
10-12 22:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0x54fa8b…
10-12 22:13:51	Tyler Higbee: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5	Over	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5da455…
10-12 22:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xa32e9e…
10-12 22:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa43631…
10-12 22:02:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0ed093…
10-12 21:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e4164…
10-12 09:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5a7ad5…
10-12 09:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xcd73b7…
10-12 09:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x437324…
10-12 09:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x149e5f…