Stupendous-Insect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$9.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

40% 75% +$11

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$456	675	675	+0	open	—	05-09 04:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	7	$443	243	243	+0	open	—	04-12 10:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$399	205	205	+0	No	+$2	05-10 21:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	9	$360	627	511	+116	No	+$8	05-06 08:00
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$324	166	166	+0	open	—	04-14 06:48
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	2	$257	132	132	+0	open	—	03-23 16:55
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	03-23 22:45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$247	357	357	+0	open	—	05-06 22:24
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$246	126	126	+0	open	—	03-26 08:58
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	2	$245	141	141	+0	open	—	04-21 13:38
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$245	136	136	+0	open	—	03-30 23:46
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$244	125	125	+0	open	—	03-27 15:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$242	125	125	+0	No	+$0	05-08 01:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	12	$239	437	437	+0	open	—	04-27 02:53
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$235	123	123	+0	open	—	04-13 14:39
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	04-04 14:31
will joaquin niemann win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$234	118	118	+0	open	—	04-03 18:23
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$233	118	118	+0	open	—	04-04 08:23
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	04-10 01:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	9	$231	315	315	+0	open	—	04-26 14:06
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$229	118	118	+0	open	—	04-11 12:11
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	4	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	04-20 14:45
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	4	$225	115	115	+0	open	—	03-25 03:39
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	4	$224	114	114	+0	open	—	03-25 21:52
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$223	117	117	+0	open	—	04-25 16:28
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$223	117	117	+0	open	—	03-31 03:01
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$223	120	120	+0	open	—	04-21 04:13
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	5	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-29 22:05
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	3	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-25 03:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	3	$220	117	117	+0	open	—	03-30 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 21:43:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	49	93¢	$45	0xe8c120…
05-22 01:36:35	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	No	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0xe2a909…
05-19 05:23:48	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7fa2ff…
05-18 22:27:09	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x29397e…
05-18 22:26:01	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x07d230…
05-13 06:38:36	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x0abcbf…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xa5cd5b…
05-13 03:05:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$2	0x4efb53…
05-13 03:05:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x37ee31…
05-13 00:44:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfd08d1…
05-13 00:44:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	123	3¢	$4	0xc09c0f…
05-12 11:21:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	114	5¢	$6	0x8b4bcd…
05-12 09:29:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xc7afa3…
05-12 09:29:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x606519…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	3¢	$4	0xd052c7…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0x7c55a4…
05-11 14:26:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x6beb82…
05-11 11:49:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	3¢	$7	0xd4f6d3…
05-10 21:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xddae7d…
05-10 21:31:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x61a6d2…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0xa236ec…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x39a669…
05-10 19:37:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x1da409…
05-10 08:00:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	96	96¢	$93	0xe4cffa…
05-10 05:37:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x965005…
05-10 05:37:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x6817c4…
05-09 04:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xbc4842…
05-09 01:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$87	0xf457f5…
05-09 01:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9999ce…
05-08 22:53:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	122	98¢	$119	0xf82b5c…
05-08 21:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$119	0xfdefc8…
05-08 17:24:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x2a5aa8…
05-08 13:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$4	0x898527…
05-08 05:19:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	343	3¢	$11	0x18c129…
05-08 05:11:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$12	0xa557c8…
05-08 01:35:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	125	97¢	$122	0x58c78e…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x5d2619…
05-06 22:24:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	235	2¢	$4	0x14e0c4…
05-06 21:09:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$2	0x8ac1fc…
05-06 21:09:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x110173…
05-06 21:04:55	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0xcaa5ab…
05-06 18:13:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xa9a48e…
05-06 08:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0xf50c8a…
05-06 08:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xb58c20…
05-06 08:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x21887c…
05-06 05:03:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	112	97¢	$109	0x9f7cd4…
05-06 03:20:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x873f62…
05-05 17:18:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0xb844e0…
05-05 11:44:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xeb7333…
05-04 00:06:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	117	92¢	$108	0xaa1c02…
05-03 18:14:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	2¢	$2	0xac89fd…
05-03 16:46:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$2	0x7762fd…
05-03 14:57:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x846579…
05-03 14:57:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	4¢	$13	0x25f03b…
05-03 11:12:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	4¢	$18	0xc05cd1…
05-01 06:43:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	6¢	$7	0x2370e7…
05-01 05:37:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	6¢	$7	0xd19884…
05-01 05:37:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd0fab5…
04-30 21:40:16	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	272	0¢	$1	0xc9d298…
04-30 16:44:40	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	272	1¢	$3	0xb1a4db…
04-30 09:58:22	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	129	3¢	$3	0x665d0d…
04-30 09:58:22	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0x5b670b…
04-30 07:39:32	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xd00c12…
04-30 07:39:32	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x61d783…
04-30 07:39:32	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1e6644…
04-29 22:05:24	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x96ad74…
04-29 22:05:24	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x4b4f49…
04-29 19:12:38	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf435e8…
04-29 15:54:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xeb148e…
04-29 15:54:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2cc968…
04-28 02:04:24	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x949474…
04-27 08:37:34	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xa34324…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe9b9ed…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xe8b019…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xb46df0…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x3357f6…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x2aa5de…
04-27 08:36:54	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x1ef904…
04-27 05:15:24	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	1¢	$4	0x914df5…
04-27 02:53:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd94493…
04-27 02:53:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0xeaf0b6…
04-27 02:53:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xadd7b1…
04-27 02:53:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x582255…
04-26 22:09:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$4	0xf54f4f…
04-26 14:06:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	197	2¢	$4	0xde4ce9…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0xa89f9e…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2b91ed…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x24f92f…
04-26 12:01:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x0ec559…
04-26 11:53:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xa7c1b4…
04-26 11:53:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0x85e67b…
04-26 06:30:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	3¢	$3	0xda2919…
04-26 03:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x0e44bf…
04-26 01:30:56	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x1d34be…
04-25 16:28:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xa4ef19…
04-25 16:28:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x76a976…
04-25 16:28:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5eebb9…
04-25 13:13:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0x038bcd…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xc02d0b…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x8c759d…