Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$79

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-28

last 08-15 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

60% 68% -$2

Politics

36% 20% -$8

Sports

3% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	07-02 23:18
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	+2	$1	18¢	$0	-$1	07-11 01:45
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+4	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	07-04 11:51
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	+8	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-07 00:46
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+1	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	06-29 02:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462	7	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	07-06 21:32
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	7	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	06-30 12:45
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	5	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-28 22:14
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	08-03 21:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	07-31 17:34
No one announced as next James Bond?	4	$4	613	0	+613	Yes	-$2	06-30 10:59
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	8	0	+8	No	+$2	06-30 04:11
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	3	$3	39	38	+1	open	—	07-31 17:34
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	3	$3	750	0	+750	No	-$3	08-04 04:13
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-31 17:35
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-31 17:35
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	2	$2	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$2	06-29 23:48
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	2	$2	1,002	0	+1,002	Yes	$0	07-01 23:32
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	2	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$1	08-01 06:22
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-07 00:37
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-06 10:52
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-09 03:12
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-02 23:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	07-28 07:08
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	07-04 11:51
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	07-31 19:34
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	1	$1	16	0	+16	No	-$1	07-09 19:11
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	07-09 03:08
will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	08-15 00:09
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-29 02:21
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	08-07 00:46
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	07-02 09:18
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	08-01 01:54
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	07-11 01:46
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	07-02 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 00:09:15	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1c07a0…
08-07 00:46:30	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7b4048…
08-05 00:32:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x93b868…
08-04 04:13:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xccc4ec…
08-04 04:13:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x70f62f…
08-04 04:00:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xaceafb…
08-03 22:45:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc93c10…
08-03 21:37:08	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x206012…
08-01 06:22:45	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc86e86…
08-01 05:59:20	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x69a8a5…
08-01 03:16:06	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaf7b49…
08-01 01:54:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfe461e…
07-31 19:34:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xbf4123…
07-31 17:35:11	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x50af31…
07-31 17:35:03	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x6b2fdb…
07-31 17:34:30	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xdc1735…
07-31 17:34:18	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x26ad25…
07-28 22:33:28	will thom tillis vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821981	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8bb870…
07-28 07:08:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x40c001…
07-11 01:46:14	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x204747…
07-11 01:45:32	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x620184…
07-10 15:41:46	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6fb0e7…
07-10 15:40:37	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x60cbd3…
07-09 19:11:50	Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe7ecf6…
07-09 05:56:22	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xcef3bb…
07-09 03:12:43	Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd16621…
07-09 03:10:34	Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60d84e…
07-09 03:08:55	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f0b1e…
07-07 00:37:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf4933…
07-06 23:04:35	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ccdad…
07-06 22:45:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbe7c11…
07-06 21:32:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x94e12a…
07-06 21:28:16	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x531163…
07-06 20:53:14	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xacb91b…
07-06 20:33:41	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaa66c8…
07-06 20:31:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0ea71e…
07-06 20:13:08	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4464fa…
07-06 19:01:34	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x636c93…
07-06 10:52:38	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8ef24…
07-06 10:37:05	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x493687…
07-06 10:37:04	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac5e3d…
07-04 22:00:44	will jason kelce be a groomsman at taylor swifts wedding 20260630160118470	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd12a2e…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x583115…
07-03 09:31:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x39f7f0…
07-03 09:02:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc2319a…
07-02 23:18:01	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1c0569…
07-02 20:51:29	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 2	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2f6d00…
07-02 09:18:02	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x602a73…
07-02 09:17:11	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88e2b3…
07-01 23:32:34	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf9559f…
07-01 20:33:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa2b76c…
06-30 12:45:53	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x703548…
06-30 12:25:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3e9f7…
06-30 12:10:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c607a…
06-30 10:59:49	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x051836…
06-30 04:11:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x923de8…
06-30 03:58:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe75a66…
06-29 23:48:17	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdaf094…
06-29 23:47:38	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e15d9…
06-29 23:32:41	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc7a322…
06-29 23:25:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19bcd5…
06-29 13:59:25	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d68fa…
06-29 13:02:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ed487…
06-29 13:02:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25d5f2…
06-29 12:58:04	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe21cfa…
06-29 02:21:53	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xabc72f…
06-29 01:16:14	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0ff447…
06-28 22:14:58	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a0e8f…
06-28 22:02:49	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa314b1…
06-28 21:50:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f6fea…
06-28 21:28:47	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x777e6d…
06-28 21:01:16	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7281a1…
06-28 20:36:28	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa626b3…
06-28 20:36:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1e5698…
06-28 19:29:35	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf16a86…