Revolving-Exocrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-15 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

28% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+146	$9	7¢	$10	+$1	06-14 03:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+0	$6	44¢	$0	$-5	06-13 14:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+0	$4	70¢	$0	$-4	06-04 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$499	257	257	+0	open	—	04-24 01:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$499	260	260	+0	No	$-0	04-26 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$331	150	208	-58	open	—	05-25 19:33
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$147	115	115	+0	open	—	06-06 15:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	7	$137	147	147	+0	open	—	06-06 23:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$133	167	167	+0	open	—	06-13 14:23
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	7	$104	150	150	+0	open	—	06-14 17:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$92	58	58	+0	open	—	05-21 18:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$86	69	69	+0	open	—	06-10 20:52
Iran leadership change by December 31?	3	$81	58	58	+0	open	—	06-11 00:42
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$77	42	42	+0	open	—	06-17 01:09
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$77	67	67	+0	open	—	06-09 22:47
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	06-15 05:29
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$66	284	284	+0	No	+$0	04-25 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$59	63	63	+0	open	—	06-07 22:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$31	90	90	+0	open	—	06-13 08:18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$27	291	291	+0	open	—	04-25 22:55
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	05-25 01:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$26	146	146	+0	open	—	06-08 23:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	6	$20	167	167	+0	open	—	05-19 13:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 16:39
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	91	91	+0	open	—	06-12 10:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$10	160	160	+0	open	—	05-22 01:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$9	146	0	+146	open	—	06-14 03:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$7	64	64	+0	open	—	05-30 09:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	124	124	+0	open	—	05-15 16:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$4	42	42	+0	open	—	05-31 06:06
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	67	67	+0	open	—	05-15 01:28
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$3	37	37	+0	open	—	06-06 08:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$3	32	32	+0	open	—	05-16 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:09:16	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$39	0x36d960…
06-17 01:08:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x6913e8…
06-15 05:29:04	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xd9770a…
06-15 03:32:15	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xaa4f50…
06-14 23:20:34	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x72fe77…
06-14 23:20:34	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x509d36…
06-14 17:07:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0xc578df…
06-14 17:07:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0xc3ab92…
06-14 17:07:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0xbf2ba8…
06-14 12:14:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	16¢	$18	0x176bee…
06-14 03:40:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	6¢	$9	0x0c45c0…
06-13 14:23:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	46¢	$37	0x87821e…
06-13 10:43:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x0d6295…
06-13 10:43:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	52¢	$8	0xe36b6f…
06-13 08:18:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0xad2728…
06-13 06:51:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x1edc21…
06-12 16:39:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc66437…
06-12 16:38:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xda80a6…
06-12 16:38:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xcbd9d9…
06-12 10:25:28	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	6¢	$5	0x7d5edb…
06-12 08:28:30	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	6¢	$5	0x4527df…
06-11 00:42:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x221ffa…
06-11 00:42:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xa55ce3…
06-10 23:14:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	58	70¢	$41	0x3e8254…
06-10 20:52:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x2db681…
06-10 20:52:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	44	60¢	$26	0x1678c9…
06-10 17:22:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0xccec2b…
06-10 07:14:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0x205c67…
06-10 05:30:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x25e32f…
06-10 05:30:27	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x080d80…
06-09 22:47:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	45	58¢	$26	0xcbf901…
06-09 22:47:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x6e56a0…
06-09 20:54:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcd9f40…
06-09 20:54:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0xaa4c28…
06-08 23:22:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	85	9¢	$8	0xaf8180…
06-08 23:22:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	9¢	$5	0x49654d…
06-08 17:03:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	9¢	$13	0xff6841…
06-07 22:56:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0x76a006…
06-07 20:16:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0xb15c50…
06-07 20:16:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x66501d…
06-07 07:41:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	63	31¢	$20	0xb6bebd…
06-07 07:41:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x7e4590…
06-07 05:09:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0xaccbff…
06-06 23:10:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	29¢	$16	0x26a5b9…
06-06 23:10:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xbaece0…
06-06 20:41:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0x11b73a…
06-06 15:08:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x33d63d…
06-06 11:39:19	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x2e6bd8…
06-06 08:00:31	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0x8f0e6c…
06-06 05:34:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0x8b21ee…
06-06 00:13:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x4381e9…
06-05 22:43:51	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xbd5f55…
06-04 22:30:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x0f3ab1…
06-04 22:28:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xdd5b8a…
06-04 22:28:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xbe6ef3…
06-04 19:02:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	68	70¢	$48	0x7100fc…
05-31 06:06:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x3f3a8f…
05-30 18:27:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xbc7862…
05-30 09:00:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0x0b952f…
05-30 05:26:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x0da797…
05-28 12:04:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x20af4e…
05-28 12:04:28	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x0730de…
05-28 09:06:56	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xf0acfa…
05-25 19:33:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x4fa4fb…
05-25 19:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdaadd3…
05-25 19:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x444aa0…
05-25 15:56:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xef894d…
05-25 15:56:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9b6c1d…
05-25 01:39:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xea27fa…
05-24 08:58:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0xe7f495…
05-24 08:58:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	46	86¢	$40	0x85a8b5…
05-24 05:14:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa72ad3…
05-24 05:14:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x6e80ac…
05-24 05:14:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x4b5980…
05-24 03:07:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xde4f1a…
05-24 00:44:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x134da6…
05-22 01:35:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	160	3¢	$5	0xc8a7a4…
05-22 01:34:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0xf48f94…
05-21 18:03:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xeb31dc…
05-21 18:03:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x1f1b50…
05-21 16:33:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x7449f0…
05-21 16:33:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x27d265…
05-19 13:11:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	6¢	$5	0xd13a9d…
05-19 01:24:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x2c4b9d…
05-19 01:24:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x17faf1…
05-19 01:24:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x050f79…
05-18 14:14:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x9490e1…
05-18 12:04:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x0f89d2…
05-17 12:24:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xcb1005…
05-17 07:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xcac09d…
05-16 13:29:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x6e95ed…
05-16 12:00:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x9df748…
05-15 16:46:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$3	0x37cb7f…
05-15 14:54:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$3	0x3707d3…
05-15 01:28:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0xd53516…
05-14 23:48:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x6a33f2…
04-26 08:28:04	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xc70c07…
04-26 08:28:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	238	96¢	$228	0xf2d256…
04-26 08:28:02	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x6d5a16…
04-26 04:14:28	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	240	96¢	$230	0x33b092…