Honorable-Man — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

115

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-26 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

49% 97% +$3

Politics

30% 100% +$22

Crypto

15% 100% +$2

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	+$0	09-07 19:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$82	48	37	+11	No	+$1	08-27 14:46
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-14 00:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	10-26 00:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$62	38	38	+0	No	+$0	10-18 01:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	09-01 07:36
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	09-30 23:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-14 18:56
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:55
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	09-04 06:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-15 13:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-14 16:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	08-10 07:48
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$40	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-05 10:51
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	09-23 08:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-22 01:22
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	08-20 17:11
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	10-05 00:24
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-31 14:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	2	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-01 03:19
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-14 20:22
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	05-26 03:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	3	$22	95	95	+0	No	+$21	10-25 23:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$0	09-16 09:09
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	10-26 06:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-30 10:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-26 20:24
will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-28 16:46
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-27 15:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-30 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:06:15	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf67a72…
10-26 00:04:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xbae333…
10-25 23:45:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	95	23¢	$21	0xa02dc2…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x978f94…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x8bb138…
10-18 01:37:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0xd362f0…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x887af5…
10-09 06:59:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xfbde3c…
10-05 00:24:31	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xadd9e8…
10-01 03:19:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbb81d4…
09-30 23:43:59	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf61463…
09-30 15:39:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1def91…
09-30 14:06:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd411c7…
09-28 01:15:41	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x7ac3d0…
09-26 14:58:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7425fb…
09-25 06:14:26	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb62bb4…
09-24 23:36:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x615225…
09-23 08:03:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xebe25f…
09-23 04:19:34	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10eef5…
09-16 09:09:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x25bbfa…
09-14 18:56:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x305b01…
09-10 18:55:24	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x6cf284…
09-07 19:05:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x685cef…
09-05 17:33:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x95ace0…
09-04 06:49:22	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfddd6d…
09-04 03:42:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa801d1…
09-01 07:36:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x464a8e…
08-31 22:46:04	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x306845…
08-27 15:19:58	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbccd67…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x9547da…
08-26 20:24:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xea543f…
08-25 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcceac5…
08-25 09:20:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x6f8ea3…
08-25 01:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0xbab5ac…
08-25 01:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xc74efd…
08-23 21:42:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x948d59…
08-23 19:41:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf135a…
08-22 01:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x347b92…
08-20 17:11:16	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x07ae99…
08-16 17:54:36	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x35bda9…
08-16 08:13:03	will xauusd dip to 3700 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c24cb…
08-15 13:08:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xc715bf…
08-14 16:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9eae28…
08-14 00:57:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x351099…
08-13 18:25:07	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xfe6619…
08-10 07:48:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x93eea8…
08-05 10:51:59	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x833dab…
08-05 05:56:12	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26b7df…
08-03 17:45:14	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ede0b…
07-30 10:51:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe9e5fc…
07-30 08:10:05	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x13f4ff…
07-30 06:58:03	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7a86a5…
07-30 01:01:20	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3786a1…
07-29 06:27:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb272fd…
07-28 15:33:41	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8ba787…
07-27 16:18:18	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf5f34…
07-27 11:00:40	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8820e…
07-25 14:36:58	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcd344…
07-24 08:32:03	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x656a33…
07-23 19:08:25	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d3d08…
07-23 11:25:00	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1451ee…
07-22 22:25:51	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf7301a…
07-22 10:50:46	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x934ad4…
07-21 06:57:10	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x693ce7…
07-10 10:08:53	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x62ca44…
07-03 12:13:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x775d40…
06-30 09:53:49	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6b8d2a…
06-29 04:23:14	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x19fae6…
06-28 17:45:53	will ng reach 4 20 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1fbd…
06-28 16:46:20	will nvda dip to 168 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe12899…
06-28 08:13:40	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6aa912…
06-28 06:11:34	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x53a199…
06-27 20:58:43	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0119cd…
06-27 19:11:47	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7884f…
05-31 14:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x0fa92b…
05-26 03:44:34	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x8070ae…
05-20 12:33:02	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81f5d2…
05-18 04:06:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x009361…
05-14 20:22:53	Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xcef522…
05-13 22:58:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x354f7f…
05-12 10:42:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b078b…
05-12 06:01:15	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x397a4b…
05-10 11:26:55	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2201f2…
04-29 06:22:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xaa6e54…
04-27 09:34:54	Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f3842…
04-26 12:06:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x061669…
04-24 15:14:28	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe9ee75…
04-24 02:14:46	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x5bb2ec…
04-21 07:37:08	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c3db5…
04-20 20:29:02	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x42fa7c…
04-18 16:35:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb92da3…
04-18 05:16:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfefd9d…
04-17 21:28:42	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf60a9e…
04-17 09:13:16	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe21540…
04-16 18:51:16	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x940918…
04-15 22:36:50	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x979ecd…
04-13 17:15:01	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe39f96…
04-13 06:01:19	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x11de79…
04-06 10:51:35	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfcfcf9…
03-31 10:30:47	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x07cce8…