Third-Bride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$284

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-08 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$31

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$934	477	477	+0	open	—	04-24 09:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$872	449	449	+0	open	—	05-08 05:54
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	2	$816	456	456	+0	open	—	05-30 02:53
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	2	$704	400	400	+0	open	—	05-31 05:04
lib ros ind1 2026 04 09 spread away 1pt5	1	$544	579	0	+579	open	—	04-09 06:34
Spread: FCSB (-2.5)	1	$474	510	0	+510	open	—	05-18 05:29
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$467	497	0	+497	open	—	04-24 09:05
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	1	$445	463	0	+463	Cagliari Calcio	+$18	05-09 04:01
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	1	$441	485	0	+485	open	—	05-30 02:55
lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	1	$440	468	0	+468	open	—	04-23 05:02
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$437	450	0	+450	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$13	05-08 06:01
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$194	200	200	+0	open	—	06-08 07:21
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$22	574	574	+0	open	—	04-08 04:34
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	2	$18	612	0	+612	open	—	04-08 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:21:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0xd9e4e6…
06-08 07:17:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xe77df0…
05-31 05:04:12	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0xe5485f…
05-31 02:56:04	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x91a361…
05-30 02:55:23	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	485	91¢	$441	0x79ac22…
05-30 02:53:00	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	SELL	456	89¢	$406	0x75a2ea…
05-30 02:09:01	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	456	90¢	$410	0x8975e5…
05-18 05:29:37	Spread: FCSB (-2.5)	FC Hermannstadt	BUY	510	93¢	$474	0xe69f01…
05-09 04:01:14	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	463	96¢	$445	0xb85160…
05-08 06:01:15	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	450	97¢	$437	0x33ea1d…
05-08 05:54:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	449	97¢	$436	0xb549ce…
05-08 05:13:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	449	97¢	$436	0x88b694…
04-24 09:05:02	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	497	94¢	$467	0xfd9656…
04-24 09:02:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x561b6f…
04-24 09:00:32	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	447	98¢	$438	0x1b15b6…
04-24 08:20:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	477	98¢	$467	0x18d2fd…
04-23 05:02:04	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	Sevilla FC	BUY	468	94¢	$440	0xe07510…
04-09 06:34:09	lib ros ind1 2026 04 09 spread away 1pt5	CA Rosario Central	BUY	579	94¢	$544	0x904dcf…
04-08 07:18:53	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	BUY	311	3¢	$9	0x4c5877…
04-08 07:18:39	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	BUY	301	3¢	$9	0xc03dfc…
04-08 04:34:17	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	276	2¢	$5	0x22b3a4…
04-08 04:31:07	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	298	2¢	$6	0x10e95f…
04-08 03:15:07	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	307	2¢	$6	0x7e3ce7…
04-08 03:14:53	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	2¢	$5	0x4aef66…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Menacing-Anorak 0xf9ac…c3e6	8	$3.04K	15	05-30 02:49
Austere-Balalaika 0x6473…8b8d	7	$3.68K	9	05-09 03:23
Practical-Camera 0x143f…0c9a	7	$3.33K	17	05-09 04:01
Noisy-Wetland 0x820c…d282	7	$2.25K	14	05-09 04:02
(anonymous) 0x6ea5…3393	7	$1.90K	23	06-08 10:14
Spiffy-Criminal 0x6d6b…7834	7	$1.42K	18	06-08 06:13
Starry-Judgment-Logic 0x12b8…f4be	6	$4.48K	12	05-09 03:13
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	6	$3.74K	34	05-30 15:55