Grateful-Guy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-28 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

43% — —

Other

41% 60% $-1

Politics

12% — —

Sports

4% 33% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+82	$30	34¢	$28	$-2	05-28 13:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on january 19	26	$6.1K	3,049	3,049	+0	open	—	01-19 14:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	22	$4.5K	2,278	2,278	+0	open	—	04-11 19:55
ethereum above 3000 on january 19	12	$3.6K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	01-19 14:52
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	33	$1.7K	870	870	+0	open	—	02-12 03:05
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	14	$1.0K	611	611	+0	open	—	04-12 12:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$771	400	400	+0	open	—	03-24 17:13
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	11	$415	268	268	+0	open	—	02-14 23:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 15:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$379	200	200	+0	open	—	03-24 17:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	03-20 13:58
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	8	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	01-29 11:51
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	02-14 12:08
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$232	120	120	+0	open	—	02-13 16:43
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	02-14 12:21
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$189	152	152	+0	open	—	02-10 12:27
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	01-30 17:32
zuffa ajagb marti 2026 02 15	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-14 17:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	01-31 01:47
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	02-02 17:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	01-27 02:06
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	01-30 17:33
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	2	$38	29	28	+1	open	—	04-08 22:56
cde rcl tou 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-21 22:51
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	2	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	02-12 20:58
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$33	32	32	+0	open	—	04-08 22:57
epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	2	$33	29	29	+1	open	—	04-18 18:22
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	05-23 21:42
uel bet1 pao2 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	03-20 00:11
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	2	$32	32	32	+0	open	—	03-17 21:48
fl1 tou rcl 2026 01 02 rcl	2	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	01-02 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 13:58:38	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0x4fc83d…
05-24 16:11:00	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0b724b…
05-24 16:07:58	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x95b35f…
05-23 21:42:00	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x86b16c…
05-22 21:31:41	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x79e299…
05-21 13:01:03	Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb3fb98…
05-19 21:01:55	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb4b373…
05-19 19:24:10	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcda98d…
05-18 22:45:31	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x657532…
05-18 20:23:45	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x0dec99…
05-18 11:21:29	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe23522…
05-18 01:40:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x91c29f…
05-17 20:19:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0ff41c…
05-15 17:37:20	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8ad3fb…
05-12 18:37:30	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x77c5ee…
05-11 19:57:37	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x26b6a9…
05-11 00:20:13	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x58338e…
05-09 19:42:53	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfa9fb3…
05-09 16:29:11	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Lakers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1ad2f4…
05-09 13:43:47	VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x1d19c5…
05-08 19:32:48	VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x09c8f4…
05-07 20:59:53	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a590f…
05-07 12:15:11	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaac258…
05-07 01:40:39	SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc15697…
05-06 11:22:24	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd15d8a…
05-06 01:06:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xee8617…
05-04 23:11:32	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8dccc4…
05-04 00:29:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x33ba00…
05-03 20:24:28	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x95424c…
05-03 14:48:40	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xbc69c2…
05-03 13:33:12	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x552294…
05-02 20:59:50	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc7a539…
05-02 20:57:12	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x047455…
05-02 14:03:42	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x339d26…
05-02 02:35:00	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfcd8d2…
05-02 02:29:44	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Fulham FC	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc9c8c1…
04-27 20:36:50	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?	No	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0xfe7f6c…
04-26 20:52:12	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe96a46…
04-26 14:51:52	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0bfa3d…
04-25 23:33:16	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8fca26…
04-25 23:33:02	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd2fdfa…
04-25 20:16:38	Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x1d071c…
04-25 15:48:42	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xe4bda1…
04-25 14:43:28	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xb91815…
04-25 00:27:22	Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x03eafa…
04-25 00:26:22	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x58e479…
04-25 00:26:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0b7677…
04-24 19:29:22	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	16	86¢	$13	0x1da422…
04-24 00:15:54	bun lei uni 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x16882c…
04-22 23:09:20	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 stu	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc465ba…
04-22 20:20:48	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xdeb234…
04-21 22:57:30	dfb lev bay 2026 04 22 bay	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x27d7ab…
04-21 22:57:12	itc ata laz 2026 04 22 ata	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3b67fa…
04-21 22:51:10	cde rcl tou 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	Racing Club de Lens	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe38e5b…
04-20 12:51:24	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc0f956…
04-20 12:51:02	cde rcl tou 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x669f5a…
04-19 15:16:18	bun fre hei 2026 04 19 fre	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xf5ea47…
04-19 03:20:44	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf3c0ad…
04-19 03:19:22	bun fre hei 2026 04 19 fre	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7161d8…
04-19 03:18:28	fl1 str ren 2026 04 19 str	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6d0a2d…
04-19 03:18:10	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa640fa…
04-18 18:22:26	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x158114…
04-17 22:49:20	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe945db…
04-16 20:48:56	fl1 rcl tou 2026 04 17 spread home 1pt5	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x41ed27…
04-16 19:29:38	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x8f0a73…
04-16 01:51:46	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa2cfdb…
04-14 21:16:06	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x0eee37…
04-14 21:11:20	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5ab0a7…
04-12 19:08:33	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x282aba…
04-12 18:16:17	epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x79b7aa…
04-12 18:16:05	bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x802a6c…
04-12 12:46:53	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	206	85¢	$175	0x7f15bb…
04-12 12:42:53	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	206	85¢	$175	0x181935…
04-12 11:36:45	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x009348…
04-12 11:36:01	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x4eab70…
04-12 11:36:01	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	150	83¢	$124	0x074efe…
04-12 11:33:35	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	61	83¢	$51	0xcb5b6b…
04-12 11:33:35	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x7ebb90…
04-12 11:33:35	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	61	83¢	$51	0x67dda6…
04-12 11:33:33	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xb076c7…
04-12 11:29:21	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xa3851a…
04-12 11:29:21	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x0e8352…
04-12 11:02:15	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	155	81¢	$125	0x3ec340…
04-12 11:02:05	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	45	81¢	$37	0xa8be2d…
04-12 11:00:53	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x726f92…
04-11 20:13:29	bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd84e14…
04-11 20:12:15	epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x225ebe…
04-11 19:55:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$210	0x5da9ef…
04-11 19:48:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	213	99¢	$210	0x50151d…
04-11 18:54:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$217	0x2faec6…
04-11 14:10:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$217	0xe87ec1…
04-10 22:10:27	sea ata juv 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf1133d…
04-10 22:09:57	bun dor b04 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xdf207e…
04-10 19:37:27	sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread home 1pt5	AS Roma	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x735ae4…
04-10 17:25:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$217	0x6800d0…
04-10 16:48:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	220	98¢	$217	0x859c87…
04-10 14:48:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	215	98¢	$212	0x4654db…
04-10 13:46:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	215	98¢	$212	0x669040…
04-10 13:34:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	210	98¢	$207	0x25ccd5…
04-09 18:05:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0x18d383…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	211	$8.28M	38,643	05-25 01:12
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	205	$2.97M	32,688	05-24 16:08
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	149	$48.3K	5,561	03-19 00:47
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	144	$1.88M	9,060	04-27 20:55
(anonymous) 0x9b89…99e2	135	$17.6K	2,904	04-07 02:08
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	128	$772.4K	9,378	05-24 13:57
Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285	125	$182.1K	2,226	05-24 15:44
Classic-Potato 0x972b…78ba	124	$273.3K	7,320	04-27 19:02