Understated-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved (30d)

3,977

Trades (30d)

16,150

530,095 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$53.5K

$3.19M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-27 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$22,205

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1063 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	—	+15	$5	99¢	$15	+$10	10-28 00:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	494	$13.5K	10,974	10,865	+108	Down	-$794	02-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	649	$11.4K	11,715	9,819	+1,896	Up	-$539	02-09 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	470	$10.6K	9,735	9,563	+171	Up	-$1,034	02-09 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:15 UTC	548	$9.2K	10,028	5,191	+4,837	Up	+$959	02-09 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	418	$8.9K	7,330	5,799	+1,532	Up	+$455	02-09 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	491	$8.6K	8,664	6,292	+2,373	Up	-$695	02-09 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	441	$8.4K	6,895	5,838	+1,057	Down	+$69	02-09 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	663	$8.3K	8,688	7,001	+1,687	Up	-$317	02-13 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	444	$8.3K	7,818	7,409	+409	Up	-$848	02-09 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:45 UTC	315	$8.2K	6,843	5,418	+1,424	Down	+$121	02-09 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	457	$7.6K	7,658	6,239	+1,420	Up	-$845	02-09 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	504	$7.5K	8,279	4,859	+3,420	Down	+$517	02-09 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	631	$7.5K	7,021	6,353	+668	Up	-$342	02-10 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	544	$7.3K	7,826	4,781	+3,046	Up	-$630	02-10 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:45 UTC	182	$7.1K	4,925	4,801	+124	Up	+$132	02-10 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	393	$6.5K	7,029	3,300	+3,730	Down	+$510	02-09 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:00 UTC	462	$6.3K	5,183	5,115	+68	Down	-$200	02-13 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	377	$6.3K	6,741	4,759	+1,982	Up	+$501	02-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	364	$6.2K	5,619	5,279	+340	Up	-$345	02-09 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC	348	$6.1K	6,570	3,267	+3,303	Up	+$490	02-09 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:15 UTC	506	$6.0K	7,585	3,344	+4,241	Down	+$1,005	02-10 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:45 UTC	352	$6.0K	6,392	5,223	+1,169	Up	+$123	02-09 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	476	$5.9K	5,626	4,236	+1,389	Down	-$234	02-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC	345	$5.9K	6,499	3,195	+3,304	Down	+$466	02-10 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	493	$5.8K	5,097	4,166	+931	Down	+$499	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	473	$5.8K	7,732	4,898	+2,834	Down	+$78	02-10 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:45 UTC	538	$5.8K	5,062	5,003	+59	Down	-$46	02-13 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:30 UTC	371	$5.7K	5,917	3,461	+2,456	Up	+$202	02-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:00 UTC	332	$5.7K	4,404	3,806	+597	Up	-$107	02-10 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	346	$5.6K	6,160	3,673	+2,486	Down	+$146	02-10 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x59c889…
10-28 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x1ae288…
10-28 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x82ef8b…
10-28 00:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0x4c5213…
10-28 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xd10845…
10-28 00:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xacd5de…
10-27 23:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xb7ac47…
10-27 23:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x2131f8…
10-27 23:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xe134ed…
10-27 23:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa231f1…
10-27 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x1e277a…
10-27 23:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x08d94e…
10-27 23:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x613f39…
10-27 23:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xe54b3a…
10-27 23:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x35db27…
10-27 23:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xae8852…
10-27 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7f45d6…
10-27 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x0a0b96…
10-27 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf015d9…
10-27 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe333fd…
10-27 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xc3a7af…
10-27 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xb9276c…
10-27 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x828da8…
10-27 23:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xb9ac8e…
10-27 23:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x00e713…
10-27 23:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa7fc76…
10-27 23:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xd97d5a…
10-27 23:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xf613bb…
10-27 23:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x92fbab…
10-27 23:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x92fbab…
10-27 23:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x2ecb2f…
10-27 23:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x2ecb2f…
10-27 23:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x4c28ea…
10-27 23:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x88a6df…
10-27 23:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x4a80ce…
10-27 23:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x512efe…
10-27 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x5f5e4c…
10-27 23:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x3797b7…
10-27 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xf1b87e…
10-27 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x253c13…
10-27 23:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x253c13…
10-27 23:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x535824…
10-27 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xe5a40e…
10-27 22:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x945930…
10-27 22:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x945930…
10-27 22:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x60a01d…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xf73a96…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xcb43c4…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xcb43c4…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xa82b21…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7fdf99…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x58b373…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x4b17dc…
10-27 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x3d52f4…
10-27 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xb72797…
10-27 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa58f5c…
10-27 22:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x08cd20…
10-27 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x9c7a63…
10-27 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x0b34d1…
10-27 22:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x560188…
10-27 22:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xc6c50f…
10-27 22:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0xbeeaa7…
10-27 22:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3d591d…
10-27 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf8a7e3…
10-27 22:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xd03433…
10-27 22:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x88475e…
10-27 22:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x779dc1…
10-27 22:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x71f228…
10-27 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xc232c2…
10-27 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xa22e0b…
10-27 22:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x021596…
10-27 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x26ff4c…
10-27 22:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xbe16c4…
10-27 22:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x1b710b…
10-27 22:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x63a2bc…
10-27 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xbd911c…
10-27 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e8c0a…
10-27 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x96f099…
10-27 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x592c0b…
10-27 22:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x62fa24…
10-27 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x7bc46f…
10-27 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x199bd7…
10-27 22:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x30ecb2…
10-27 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0x0e4375…
10-27 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc75cf7…
10-27 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9e85d7…
10-27 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x3b6722…
10-27 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x07cbe9…
10-27 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa871e0…
10-27 21:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x42c7cf…
10-27 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xfc4f60…
10-27 21:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd9182e…
10-27 21:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x21cdf6…
10-27 21:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x378e31…
10-27 21:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x206d2c…
10-27 21:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xdb688d…
10-27 21:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xcfd742…
10-27 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc09750…
10-27 21:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa12e80…
10-27 21:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xf41395…