Understated-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.84K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved (90d)

8,542

Trades (90d)

36,176

530,897 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$115.5K

$3.20M lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-29 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$22,280

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1063 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	—	+18	$15	99¢	$17	+$3	10-29 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	494	$13.5K	10,974	10,865	+108	Down	-$794	02-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	649	$11.4K	11,715	9,819	+1,896	Up	-$539	02-09 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	470	$10.6K	9,735	9,563	+171	Up	-$1,034	02-09 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:15 UTC	548	$9.2K	10,028	5,191	+4,837	Up	+$959	02-09 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	418	$8.9K	7,330	5,799	+1,532	Up	+$455	02-09 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	491	$8.6K	8,664	6,292	+2,373	Up	-$695	02-09 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	441	$8.4K	6,895	5,838	+1,057	Down	+$69	02-09 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	663	$8.3K	8,688	7,001	+1,687	Up	-$317	02-13 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	444	$8.3K	7,818	7,409	+409	Up	-$848	02-09 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:45 UTC	315	$8.2K	6,843	5,418	+1,424	Down	+$121	02-09 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	457	$7.6K	7,658	6,239	+1,420	Up	-$845	02-09 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	504	$7.5K	8,279	4,859	+3,420	Down	+$517	02-09 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	631	$7.5K	7,021	6,353	+668	Up	-$342	02-10 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	544	$7.3K	7,826	4,781	+3,046	Up	-$630	02-10 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:45 UTC	182	$7.1K	4,925	4,801	+124	Up	+$132	02-10 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	393	$6.5K	7,029	3,300	+3,730	Down	+$510	02-09 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:00 UTC	462	$6.3K	5,183	5,115	+68	Down	-$200	02-13 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	377	$6.3K	6,741	4,759	+1,982	Up	+$501	02-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	364	$6.2K	5,619	5,279	+340	Up	-$345	02-09 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC	348	$6.1K	6,570	3,267	+3,303	Up	+$490	02-09 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:15 UTC	506	$6.0K	7,585	3,344	+4,241	Down	+$1,005	02-10 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:45 UTC	352	$6.0K	6,392	5,223	+1,169	Up	+$123	02-09 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	476	$5.9K	5,626	4,236	+1,389	Down	-$234	02-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC	345	$5.9K	6,499	3,195	+3,304	Down	+$466	02-10 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	493	$5.8K	5,097	4,166	+931	Down	+$499	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	473	$5.8K	7,732	4,898	+2,834	Down	+$78	02-10 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:45 UTC	538	$5.8K	5,062	5,003	+59	Down	-$46	02-13 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:30 UTC	371	$5.7K	5,917	3,461	+2,456	Up	+$202	02-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:00 UTC	332	$5.7K	4,404	3,806	+597	Up	-$107	02-10 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	346	$5.6K	6,160	3,673	+2,486	Down	+$146	02-10 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xfa8984…
10-29 03:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xd6990d…
10-29 03:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xdc1c50…
10-29 03:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70a5a0…
10-29 03:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x9c6289…
10-29 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd11072…
10-29 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x8f5a4e…
10-29 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xca3302…
10-29 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa48f71…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5cf454…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5318cd…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x2ff7e1…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0d05aa…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x097aa2…
10-29 03:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x050067…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfb620b…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xdb1ee0…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd760e6…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd3dfa8…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x723565…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x6bcf02…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5bbfb8…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x558242…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5260ed…
10-29 03:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x3d851f…
10-29 03:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x4b4d79…
10-29 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xed57e5…
10-29 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x392ef0…
10-29 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x2de137…
10-29 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2de137…
10-29 03:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xed2d2d…
10-29 02:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x9114fb…
10-29 02:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7379d1…
10-29 02:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x43c73e…
10-29 02:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xcb1d3e…
10-29 02:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x62188f…
10-29 02:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x00a20a…
10-29 02:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x771c4b…
10-29 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xe4fa65…
10-29 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xc0eea2…
10-29 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x1bfd6b…
10-29 02:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc06290…
10-29 02:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xb11600…
10-29 02:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x52f839…
10-29 02:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x0189e3…
10-29 02:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x130f51…
10-29 02:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xe4dc8f…
10-29 02:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x61825a…
10-29 02:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x58d9ba…
10-29 02:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x61f1f7…
10-29 02:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xb1a422…
10-29 02:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x4806ba…
10-29 02:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x768118…
10-29 02:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x1d3ad7…
10-29 02:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x415594…
10-29 02:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x020ebe…
10-29 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x18548d…
10-29 02:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xca216f…
10-29 02:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x1fb5a7…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x11ecd8…
10-29 01:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xd5554e…
10-29 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xc01933…
10-29 01:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x4179e0…
10-29 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2b9aa2…
10-29 01:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xb6894a…
10-29 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x83eb57…
10-29 01:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x55b3e9…
10-29 01:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x20c1b6…
10-29 01:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xa4bfda…
10-29 01:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xa1c17f…
10-29 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0xaa30ba…
10-29 01:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0x16c1d9…
10-29 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3f54a4…
10-29 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x3f54a4…
10-29 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x57cbf3…
10-29 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xcf162f…
10-29 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xcf162f…
10-29 01:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xf3cffb…
10-29 01:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xf3cffb…
10-29 01:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xd6d9c3…
10-29 01:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x9ad4ae…
10-29 01:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0f3283…
10-29 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7f6107…
10-29 01:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x12ce08…
10-29 00:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x8d0d1a…
10-29 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x57dae4…
10-29 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x2a64b3…
10-29 00:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x75bb22…
10-29 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xfcfe15…
10-29 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x8a1adf…
10-29 00:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x123dfb…
10-29 00:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x1ab6cd…
10-29 00:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xbd6be1…
10-29 00:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x024ada…
10-29 00:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x1cee23…
10-29 00:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x5113e5…
10-29 00:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1f7121…
10-29 00:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x1f3262…
10-29 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x2fe629…
10-29 00:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa184e5…