Understated-Material — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

17,746

Trades

530,311

lifetime

Volume

$3.19M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-28 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$22,277

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 1063 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:45 UTC	494	$13.5K	10,974	10,865	+108	Down	-$794	02-09 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	649	$11.4K	11,715	9,819	+1,896	Up	-$539	02-09 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	470	$10.6K	9,735	9,563	+171	Up	-$1,034	02-09 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:15 UTC	548	$9.2K	10,028	5,191	+4,837	Up	+$959	02-09 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	418	$8.9K	7,330	5,799	+1,532	Up	+$455	02-09 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:15 UTC	491	$8.6K	8,664	6,292	+2,373	Up	-$695	02-09 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:45 UTC	441	$8.4K	6,895	5,838	+1,057	Down	+$69	02-09 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	663	$8.3K	8,688	7,001	+1,687	Up	-$317	02-13 16:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	444	$8.3K	7,818	7,409	+409	Up	-$848	02-09 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:45 UTC	315	$8.2K	6,843	5,418	+1,424	Down	+$121	02-09 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:00 UTC	457	$7.6K	7,658	6,239	+1,420	Up	-$845	02-09 23:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	504	$7.5K	8,279	4,859	+3,420	Down	+$517	02-09 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	631	$7.5K	7,021	6,353	+668	Up	-$342	02-10 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	544	$7.3K	7,826	4,781	+3,046	Up	-$630	02-10 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:45 UTC	182	$7.1K	4,925	4,801	+124	Up	+$132	02-10 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	393	$6.5K	7,029	3,300	+3,730	Down	+$510	02-09 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 23:00 UTC	462	$6.3K	5,183	5,115	+68	Down	-$200	02-13 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:00 UTC	377	$6.3K	6,741	4,759	+1,982	Up	+$501	02-09 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:00 UTC	364	$6.2K	5,619	5,279	+340	Up	-$345	02-09 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC	348	$6.1K	6,570	3,267	+3,303	Up	+$490	02-09 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:15 UTC	506	$6.0K	7,585	3,344	+4,241	Down	+$1,005	02-10 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 21:45 UTC	352	$6.0K	6,392	5,223	+1,169	Up	+$123	02-09 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	476	$5.9K	5,626	4,236	+1,389	Down	-$234	02-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC	345	$5.9K	6,499	3,195	+3,304	Down	+$466	02-10 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	493	$5.8K	5,097	4,166	+931	Down	+$499	02-13 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:15 UTC	473	$5.8K	7,732	4,898	+2,834	Down	+$78	02-10 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:45 UTC	538	$5.8K	5,062	5,003	+59	Down	-$46	02-13 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:30 UTC	371	$5.7K	5,917	3,461	+2,456	Up	+$202	02-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 12:00 UTC	332	$5.7K	4,404	3,806	+597	Up	-$107	02-10 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:30 UTC	346	$5.6K	6,160	3,673	+2,486	Down	+$146	02-10 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xef3278…
10-28 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xcc713d…
10-28 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xc1242f…
10-28 03:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x2e5578…
10-28 03:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x1f2760…
10-28 03:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xd0e272…
10-28 03:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x26172f…
10-28 03:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf919d0…
10-28 03:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x4954e0…
10-28 03:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x695db6…
10-28 03:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x13310d…
10-28 03:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xaac095…
10-28 03:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x70be3f…
10-28 03:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x91f354…
10-28 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x1831cd…
10-28 03:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x0a18be…
10-28 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf3bc2d…
10-28 03:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xb20b89…
10-28 03:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x8d656e…
10-28 03:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x16408f…
10-28 03:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x93f63f…
10-28 03:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x9455ee…
10-28 03:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x4f8178…
10-28 03:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x1b051f…
10-28 03:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xde0d41…
10-28 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x058a14…
10-28 03:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x286f21…
10-28 03:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x750126…
10-28 03:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xeea6eb…
10-28 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6a76f1…
10-28 03:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xccd951…
10-28 03:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x3db885…
10-28 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xea8491…
10-28 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x9f942d…
10-28 02:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x04da16…
10-28 02:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xe32a94…
10-28 02:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x3bc91f…
10-28 02:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5f88c7…
10-28 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2e181…
10-28 02:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3024c6…
10-28 02:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa838f9…
10-28 02:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x268582…
10-28 02:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x155606…
10-28 02:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xd64ab4…
10-28 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x79f52c…
10-28 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x659ebb…
10-28 02:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x784313…
10-28 02:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x713930…
10-28 02:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x535c82…
10-28 02:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x21f354…
10-28 02:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1de900…
10-28 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xf3ca8e…
10-28 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xddb5bb…
10-28 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xa436b1…
10-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xce633c…
10-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xb9fd15…
10-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9a5eda…
10-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5ee703…
10-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x002110…
10-28 02:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xf93e50…
10-28 02:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc76ee1…
10-28 02:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x0e8056…
10-28 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe1a01f…
10-28 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xb8cac0…
10-28 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xb8cac0…
10-28 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8657ee…
10-28 02:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x2edd29…
10-28 02:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x58c9b8…
10-28 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x166e89…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xbf7931…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0xb364b0…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x5edfc9…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5872d7…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x38707e…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x2331f2…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x2331f2…
10-28 02:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x0d0b4c…
10-28 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xaaba69…
10-28 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x2ddf10…
10-28 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xdf4cda…
10-28 02:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x426659…
10-28 02:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x218f52…
10-28 02:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xdadc78…
10-28 02:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x4cd9ab…
10-28 02:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xb50bac…
10-28 02:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x45a596…
10-28 02:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xed3857…
10-28 02:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x2e6a8d…
10-28 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$9	0x82a2e3…
10-28 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xffc2ba…
10-28 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf2340c…
10-28 01:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xbce3e5…
10-28 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xe39ed0…
10-28 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xcd1aa4…
10-28 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x6abdb1…
10-28 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x573b62…
10-28 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd91862…
10-28 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca87ba…
10-28 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xc2a144…
10-28 01:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xae9deb…