Fast-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Crypto

36% 100% +$2

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$231	241	+241	open	—	05-25 14:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$220	221	+221	open	—	05-30 10:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$133	138	+138	open	—	05-19 10:42
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$63	64	+64	No	+$0	05-05 18:34
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-29 19:11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$36	36	+36	open	—	05-30 12:36
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$35	35	+35	open	—	01-24 10:12
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$31	33	+33	No	+$2	04-14 01:12
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-16 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-12 10:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 13:52
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-06 20:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$13	14	+14	open	—	04-21 16:47
gc hit 3000 low jan 2026 687 416 415 372	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	01-10 18:06
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	01-12 05:05
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in january 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-09 04:56
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-21 03:37
will deepseek have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-20 00:54
msft above 555 on january 30 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-11 03:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-21 01:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	04-25 19:04
will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-20 11:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-17 15:08
googl above 370 on january 30 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-15 20:21
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-22 10:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-18 06:01
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-18 22:41
will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-16 20:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-09 09:02
meta above 840 on february 27 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-25 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d136a…
05-30 10:45:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x64324d…
05-30 03:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xbf7fb2…
05-29 19:11:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x770c5c…
05-25 14:50:52	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	241	96¢	$231	0x438cb8…
05-19 10:42:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0x02df66…
05-19 07:11:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc972ba…
05-18 22:41:07	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd45a24…
05-16 07:00:40	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x319572…
05-12 10:19:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xc6c7f7…
05-11 13:52:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xf7907d…
05-11 09:07:47	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd1bf5e…
05-11 01:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa7123…
05-10 22:07:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01146b…
05-09 09:02:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2632c2…
05-08 02:35:34	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbfa8f5…
05-05 18:34:54	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x896110…
04-25 19:04:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa5066a…
04-25 16:00:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x07de9a…
04-23 15:11:16	Will Solana reach $130 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2b0c5c…
04-21 16:47:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x5b3b99…
04-19 23:06:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06ab7f…
04-19 14:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97914e…
04-19 04:07:00	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ab38c…
04-18 06:01:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf2edcd…
04-17 15:08:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x00afe5…
04-16 20:11:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x2863a1…
04-16 19:52:08	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab54d3…
04-15 18:19:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x33a5ec…
04-15 03:28:20	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x717f9f…
04-14 20:20:06	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x369430…
04-14 01:12:09	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xc21523…
04-13 23:40:29	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa23a88…
04-13 17:22:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc27f9a…
04-12 10:15:51	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6877f3…
04-11 11:01:41	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1db121…
04-11 10:44:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3de0e2…
04-10 23:22:01	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x11add6…
04-08 21:02:45	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc5184…
04-08 16:53:01	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24151a…
04-08 15:15:49	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x700bb1…
04-07 08:44:37	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x350db6…
04-06 13:20:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x029131…
04-05 19:33:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x405e61…
03-26 15:20:55	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x962b03…
03-26 13:27:53	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f586…
03-26 06:41:11	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3315c0…
03-26 03:28:37	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8bf215…
03-25 23:15:09	googl above 270 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24098e…
03-25 22:19:17	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xfeee05…
03-25 21:39:29	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc36175…
03-25 16:37:35	meta above 760 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb61756…
03-25 04:30:45	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf89b6d…
03-24 23:05:29	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfb7eea…
03-23 23:49:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52688e…
03-23 17:47:13	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66cb4c…
03-23 12:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xacc22c…
03-21 17:59:13	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x824f65…
03-21 10:43:47	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xf4e136…
03-21 08:19:29	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcc900…
03-12 08:48:07	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a5d69…
03-12 03:50:25	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5f13d…
03-12 00:51:51	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ebae5…
03-11 16:34:25	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1960f1…
03-10 21:15:23	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fa920…
03-10 18:45:53	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde2a60…
03-10 08:07:05	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5633a…
03-09 03:13:53	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb21a3e…
03-08 22:48:49	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63ea60…
03-08 21:03:37	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae050a…
03-08 13:24:01	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x173352…
03-08 06:29:29	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59fd5e…
03-07 23:55:39	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1ca51…
03-07 21:26:21	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f2aa6…
03-07 08:40:21	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ddf11…
03-07 05:40:19	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8958c…
03-07 03:34:41	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe54d1…
03-07 01:58:15	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a6eec…
03-07 00:58:55	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6a4c0…
03-07 00:22:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa1d473…
03-06 23:42:27	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1189ec…
03-06 16:33:53	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x439ef3…
03-06 06:42:27	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2871c3…
03-05 02:20:57	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xffb7cd…
03-04 21:04:35	will xrp reach 2pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d63d4…
03-04 19:27:03	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11caa3…
03-04 05:04:27	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33b0df…
03-04 01:22:01	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d1821…
03-03 22:36:09	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x74ffcf…
03-03 21:43:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x626239…
02-25 18:09:36	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfb0fa…
02-24 11:56:18	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0afa5a…
02-23 09:05:46	googl above 390 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d4866…
02-21 03:37:10	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf3d88d…
02-20 22:10:48	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x275c32…
02-20 20:57:58	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1ef152…
02-20 20:20:56	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4c3512…
02-20 11:49:20	will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad6229…
02-04 09:05:42	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb6f28e…
01-24 10:12:46	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x388ff6…