Fast-Thunderhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-13 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Crypto

26% 100% +$2

Sports

8% — —

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$319	330	+330	open	—	08-12 10:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$318	319	+319	open	—	08-11 19:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	2	$318	321	+321	open	—	08-10 19:33
squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	1	$303	304	+304	open	—	08-05 18:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$300	315	+315	open	—	08-07 21:28
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$290	296	+296	open	—	06-26 03:15
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$231	241	+241	open	—	05-25 14:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$220	221	+221	open	—	05-30 10:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$133	138	+138	open	—	05-19 10:42
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$118	120	+120	open	—	07-30 12:29
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	1	$67	67	+67	open	—	06-29 03:51
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$63	64	+64	No	+$0	05-05 18:34
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$56	57	+57	open	—	06-28 17:54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	05-29 19:11
grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	1	$53	57	+57	open	—	07-29 17:08
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	1	$37	37	+37	open	—	06-29 04:47
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$36	36	+36	open	—	05-30 12:36
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$35	35	+35	open	—	01-24 10:12
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$31	33	+33	No	+$2	04-14 01:12
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-16 07:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-12 10:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 13:52
will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	07-30 01:09
will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	2	$21	21	+21	open	—	07-26 03:38
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	06-29 07:49
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-06 20:38
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-29 12:44
will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	2	$15	15	+15	open	—	07-25 07:59
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$14	14	+14	open	—	07-21 23:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$13	14	+14	open	—	04-21 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 06:47:09	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22ef51…
08-12 10:11:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	330	97¢	$319	0x48ca03…
08-11 19:22:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	319	100¢	$318	0x6c4959…
08-10 19:33:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7ea101…
08-10 10:46:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	318	99¢	$315	0xae2bb2…
08-07 23:43:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef09c9…
08-07 21:28:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0x1ec85b…
08-05 18:20:48	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0xf1e360…
07-31 02:09:14	will spy dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcbd0e4…
07-31 00:35:33	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdfb3b6…
07-30 12:29:54	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xfc1d55…
07-30 01:09:54	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x17b608…
07-29 17:08:56	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xff2533…
07-26 03:38:58	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf760a…
07-25 07:59:42	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f96c3…
07-25 02:39:36	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x35c0c8…
07-23 09:44:21	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd39ae8…
07-22 08:24:45	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x37b317…
07-21 23:43:24	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcb610a…
07-21 15:23:03	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x22e010…
07-20 14:01:19	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x56eba7…
07-17 05:09:15	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb7843…
06-29 12:44:59	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x30e309…
06-29 07:49:32	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x920dfb…
06-29 04:47:52	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xe55f05…
06-29 03:51:52	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x51b679…
06-28 17:54:13	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xa7e1b1…
06-26 03:15:37	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9455b0…
06-26 01:34:22	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	293	98¢	$287	0x0e217f…
05-30 12:36:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d136a…
05-30 10:45:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x64324d…
05-30 03:15:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xbf7fb2…
05-29 19:11:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x770c5c…
05-25 14:50:52	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	241	96¢	$231	0x438cb8…
05-19 10:42:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0x02df66…
05-19 07:11:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc972ba…
05-18 22:41:07	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd45a24…
05-16 07:00:40	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x319572…
05-12 10:19:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xc6c7f7…
05-11 13:52:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xf7907d…
05-11 09:07:47	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd1bf5e…
05-11 01:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa7123…
05-10 22:07:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01146b…
05-09 09:02:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2632c2…
05-08 02:35:34	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbfa8f5…
05-05 18:34:54	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0x896110…
04-25 19:04:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa5066a…
04-25 16:00:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x07de9a…
04-23 15:11:16	Will Solana reach $130 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2b0c5c…
04-21 16:47:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x5b3b99…
04-19 23:06:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06ab7f…
04-19 14:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97914e…
04-19 04:07:00	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ab38c…
04-18 06:01:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf2edcd…
04-17 15:08:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x00afe5…
04-16 20:11:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x2863a1…
04-16 19:52:08	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab54d3…
04-15 18:19:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x33a5ec…
04-15 03:28:20	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x717f9f…
04-14 20:20:06	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x369430…
04-14 01:12:09	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xc21523…
04-13 23:40:29	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa23a88…
04-13 17:22:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc27f9a…
04-12 10:15:51	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6877f3…
04-11 11:01:41	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1db121…
04-11 10:44:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3de0e2…
04-10 23:22:01	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x11add6…
04-08 21:02:45	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc5184…
04-08 16:53:01	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x24151a…
04-08 15:15:49	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x700bb1…
04-07 08:44:37	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x350db6…
04-06 13:20:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x029131…
04-05 19:33:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x405e61…
03-26 15:20:55	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x962b03…
03-26 13:27:53	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f586…
03-26 06:41:11	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3315c0…
03-26 03:28:37	will hyperliquid dip to 28 in march	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8bf215…
03-25 23:15:09	googl above 270 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24098e…
03-25 22:19:17	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xfeee05…
03-25 21:39:29	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc36175…
03-25 16:37:35	meta above 760 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb61756…
03-25 04:30:45	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf89b6d…
03-24 23:05:29	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfb7eea…
03-23 23:49:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x52688e…
03-23 17:47:13	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66cb4c…
03-23 12:54:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xacc22c…
03-21 17:59:13	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x824f65…
03-21 10:43:47	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xf4e136…
03-21 08:19:29	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcc900…
03-12 08:48:07	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a5d69…
03-12 03:50:25	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5f13d…
03-12 00:51:51	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ebae5…
03-11 16:34:25	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1960f1…
03-10 21:15:23	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fa920…
03-10 18:45:53	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde2a60…
03-10 08:07:05	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5633a…
03-09 03:13:53	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb21a3e…
03-08 22:48:49	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63ea60…
03-08 21:03:37	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae050a…
03-08 13:24:01	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x173352…