Realized P&L
+$681
Unrealized P&L
-$695
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
312
Trades
575
lifetime
Volume
$75.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$10.1K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-27 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
44% 58% -$1,685
Tech
22% 93% +$1,172
Politics
18% 92% +$914
Sports
14% 48% +$281
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,311 $2,200 95¢ $2.2K +$6 10-01 07:48
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +3,862 $2,122 39¢ $1.5K -$610 10-03 06:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,466 $1,400 96¢ $1.4K +$5 09-02 08:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1,397 $1,033 92¢ $1.3K +$252 06-01 20:01
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +701 $640 98¢ $689 +$49 05-12 17:39
iran leadership change by october 31 No +650 $604 99¢ $645 +$41 08-22 14:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,026 $400 60¢ $611 +$211 08-01 12:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5,246 $1,014 6¢ $341 -$673 10-03 06:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +541 $200 60¢ $327 +$127 09-08 05:31
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +484 $283 58¢ $283 +$0 10-01 18:47
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +255 $219 92¢ $234 +$15 08-16 05:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +241 $200 86¢ $207 +$7 08-27 04:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +207 $180 94¢ $193 +$13 09-08 05:27
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +68 $64 96¢ $65 +$1 08-16 04:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +450 $45 7¢ $32 -$13 10-27 16:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +333 $100 3¢ $10 -$90 05-05 08:19
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +159 $40 3¢ $5 -$35 06-01 20:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +61 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 08-16 04:58