Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

-$321

Hit rate

14.6%

Resolved

913

Trades

2,437

lifetime

Volume

$4.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$247

1 position

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-04 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 10% +$63

Other

13% 40% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,910	$568	8¢	$247	-$321	10-29 09:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	27	$1.7K	5,033	2,122	+2,910	open	—	10-29 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$734	2,311	2,311	+0	open	—	10-28 07:26
Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	19	$248	1,058	1,058	+0	open	—	10-15 05:11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$158	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	09-25 16:42
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	16	$157	1,276	1,276	+0	open	—	10-15 05:11
Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	11	$94	432	432	+0	open	—	10-15 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	5	$36	40	40	+0	Down	+$32	08-20 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	6	$30	19	19	+0	Yes	+$8	11-03 14:26
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	4	$29	118	118	+0	open	—	10-28 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10PM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	11-04 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?	2	$9	12	0	+12	No	-$9	11-03 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 4?	1	$6	10	0	+10	No	-$6	11-04 08:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 22:20 UTC	2	$6	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	08-21 22:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	11-03 14:37
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	40	40	+0	open	—	09-23 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	09-26 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:20 UTC	2	$4	47	0	+47	Up	+$36	08-20 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:50 UTC	2	$4	45	0	+45	Down	+$36	08-20 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:35 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Down	-$3	08-15 05:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:30 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:25 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:55 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Down	-$3	08-15 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:20 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Down	-$3	08-15 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:15 UTC	3	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 07:20 UTC	2	$3	43	0	+43	Down	+$37	08-20 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:05 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 07:35 UTC	1	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:05 UTC	2	$3	50	0	+50	Up	-$3	08-15 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x48771d…
11-04 08:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2348b1…
11-04 08:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0f8d62…
11-04 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x035e51…
11-04 08:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7d5046…
11-04 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e3655…
11-04 08:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x985053…
11-04 07:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe4a265…
11-04 07:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9bd7da…
11-04 07:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd887a6…
11-04 07:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2d1014…
11-04 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x507fa5…
11-04 07:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef42f8…
11-04 07:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc46fbb…
11-04 07:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xddf311…
11-04 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbc6a4a…
11-04 07:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7cad47…
11-04 07:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf99c8…
11-04 07:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf28bd3…
11-04 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2c42a1…
11-04 06:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xde706d…
11-04 06:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xecb7cc…
11-04 06:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeaf521…
11-04 06:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1bb9c7…
11-04 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9ba5b3…
11-04 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5672b0…
11-04 06:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3083cc…
11-04 06:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfb0776…
11-04 06:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9464e0…
11-04 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0928e0…
11-04 06:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1c2c92…
11-04 05:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa9db46…
11-04 05:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcebb0f…
11-04 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7e23bb…
11-04 05:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x56022b…
11-04 05:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe1d84e…
11-04 05:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdf89cd…
11-04 05:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7f3e94…
11-04 05:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x97898f…
11-04 05:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdd13dc…
11-04 03:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x184d6f…
11-04 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc34347…
11-04 03:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcf12de…
11-03 14:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfdd21c…
11-03 14:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x89696a…
11-03 14:37:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x330504…
11-03 14:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf7fe7d…
11-03 14:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc1fdb3…
11-03 14:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3a7e5e…
11-03 06:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1cab36…
11-03 06:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x692ff4…
11-03 06:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbd2bfc…
11-03 05:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x28fb6e…
10-29 09:04:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x727e71…
10-29 08:26:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	15¢	$44	0x27d482…
10-28 07:46:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0xe117a9…
10-28 07:46:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x4e1b05…
10-28 07:45:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	18¢	$450	0x66e9cc…
10-28 07:26:58	Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x0b1200…
10-28 07:26:02	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,463	8¢	$117	0x1ae633…
10-28 07:25:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	966	17¢	$168	0xe95b27…
10-27 15:29:53	Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	13¢	$12	0xb60d1d…
10-18 09:56:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x586020…
10-18 09:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc87a0f…
10-17 11:43:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	448	20¢	$90	0xdcdf85…
10-17 10:02:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc5d468…
10-15 05:11:40	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	266	5¢	$14	0x4c21f9…
10-15 05:11:34	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	371	3¢	$12	0x62f3bd…
10-15 05:11:29	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	5¢	$23	0x9f37db…
10-02 18:41:38	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x353f4e…
10-02 18:41:11	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,441	19¢	$274	0xc95420…
10-01 09:47:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	640	33¢	$211	0x51502d…
10-01 08:59:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x2b287a…
10-01 08:49:54	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	18¢	$13	0x9f37e0…
09-28 10:43:39	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	8¢	$16	0x9a5194…
09-28 10:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcbe0c3…
09-28 10:10:54	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x561c38…
09-28 04:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xe5fd70…
09-26 16:25:45	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x91406a…
09-26 06:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x1132fb…
09-26 06:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xffd473…
09-26 06:05:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf0cb30…
09-26 04:08:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0xb7a904…
09-26 04:04:29	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf12dca…
09-25 18:55:14	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0x1da173…
09-25 18:54:38	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	8¢	$7	0x4c5336…
09-25 18:47:32	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$35	0xa11c35…
09-25 18:47:21	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x47c2fa…
09-25 18:47:17	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x538c8e…
09-25 18:46:30	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x9565f0…
09-25 18:46:02	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xf47149…
09-25 18:45:57	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x2b10d2…
09-25 18:45:45	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	634	18¢	$113	0x1b1989…
09-25 18:42:30	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x607c0a…
09-25 18:41:42	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0x023941…
09-25 18:41:30	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0xe51e1e…
09-25 18:41:26	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xb6d915…
09-25 18:41:23	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0x3928d2…
09-25 18:41:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	36¢	$56	0xa41454…
09-25 16:42:56	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x2dd7fb…