Outlying-Velodrome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-04 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 33% +$1

Other

24% 0% $-4

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	24¢	$1	$-0	06-04 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773238200	2	$34	33	33	+0	open	—	03-11 14:16
btc updown 5m 1773226200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 10:55
btc updown 5m 1773225000	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 10:36
btc updown 5m 1773225300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 10:40
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 olm	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$2	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 13:27
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	39	0	+39	No	$-2	03-09 20:16
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	03-29 17:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-05 18:53
fl1 olm lil 2026 03 22 lil	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-19 14:12
btc updown 5m 1776958800	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-23 15:44
btc updown 5m 1773928500	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-19 13:59
btc updown 5m 1773861900	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	03-18 19:29
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	03-07 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-30 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-07 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-30 11:34
btc updown 5m 1776959100	1	$1	57	0	+57	open	—	04-23 15:48
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 14:13
fl1 str ogc 2026 04 04 ogc	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-23 08:45
btc updown 5m 1773239400	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-11 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776830100	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-21 21:07
Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 16:30
btc updown 5m 1774279200	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 15:21
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-21 17:35
btc updown 5m 1773251700	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 17:57
btc updown 5m 1774279500	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 11:47
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 10:33
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 12:50:15	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc99ca2…
06-04 12:43:30	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd62a7a…
06-04 12:41:28	btc updown 5m 1780576800	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x285ec7…
05-30 11:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x86c881…
05-30 11:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb6d410…
05-30 11:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x789a1b…
05-07 12:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4c9e51…
05-07 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x998b6b…
05-07 11:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcb97d1…
04-30 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc7c678…
04-30 13:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf12dce…
04-28 16:30:36	Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xadf1b1…
04-28 16:30:26	Will King Charles say "Parliament" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x33be16…
04-23 15:48:44	btc updown 5m 1776959100	Up	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x76f413…
04-23 15:44:26	btc updown 5m 1776958800	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x799078…
04-23 15:42:30	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x322704…
04-21 21:07:08	btc updown 5m 1776830100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9d0ffc…
04-21 17:42:06	highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbe1fd3…
04-21 17:37:22	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x46c641…
04-21 17:35:36	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f0d17…
04-21 17:35:12	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb4a814…
04-21 17:35:06	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf29294…
04-21 17:34:52	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe9db6a…
04-05 18:53:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77ebff…
04-05 18:49:55	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa0e9c7…
04-05 18:49:01	fl1 tou lil 2026 04 12 lil	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xda2818…
04-05 18:48:45	fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 olm	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x84ef70…
03-31 17:35:17	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76a963…
03-29 17:29:50	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 160m and 170m	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4606a7…
03-29 17:23:46	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2fda28…
03-29 13:04:02	btc updown 5m 1774789200	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfcc580…
03-23 16:26:51	btc updown 5m 1774283100	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6fed95…
03-23 15:29:19	btc updown 5m 1774279800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6514f…
03-23 15:27:39	btc updown 5m 1774279500	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xadc0c9…
03-23 15:21:17	btc updown 5m 1774279200	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9a6eaf…
03-23 08:46:09	fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 olm	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfc4981…
03-23 08:45:59	fl1 lil rcl 2026 04 04 lil	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb802f9…
03-23 08:45:51	fl1 str ogc 2026 04 04 ogc	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xda832c…
03-19 14:14:05	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc311af…
03-19 14:13:55	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc22054…
03-19 14:12:29	fl1 olm lil 2026 03 22 lil	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xceca4a…
03-19 14:11:45	nhl mon det 2026 03 19	Canadiens	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb1a41f…
03-19 14:08:33	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf62abc…
03-19 14:04:29	btc updown 5m 1773928800	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbb6b09…
03-19 13:59:13	btc updown 5m 1773928500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x486fc2…
03-18 19:29:51	btc updown 5m 1773861900	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x93077d…
03-11 17:57:09	btc updown 5m 1773251700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x594fb7…
03-11 14:48:17	btc updown 5m 1773240300	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x799868…
03-11 14:34:25	btc updown 5m 1773239400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe120f0…
03-11 14:23:37	btc updown 5m 1773238800	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x172ec7…
03-11 14:16:03	btc updown 5m 1773238200	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x60fc5d…
03-11 14:13:59	btc updown 5m 1773238200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbc0068…
03-11 10:59:15	btc updown 5m 1773226500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0122aa…
03-11 10:55:17	btc updown 5m 1773226200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf956dd…
03-11 10:50:49	btc updown 5m 1773226200	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06a560…
03-11 10:40:11	btc updown 5m 1773225300	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xb416a0…
03-11 10:39:43	btc updown 5m 1773225300	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x974388…
03-11 10:36:43	btc updown 5m 1773225000	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3790e6…
03-11 10:34:19	btc updown 5m 1773225000	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7edc80…
03-11 10:33:13	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x11e71b…
03-11 10:31:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x64e7ff…
03-09 20:16:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x593923…
03-07 17:30:43	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa36d5…
03-07 11:46:33	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x318ad0…