Torn-Bikini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-09 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Other

23% 0% $-0

Sports

16% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes		+0	$0	20¢	$0	$-0	06-01 23:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	10	$241	259	259	+0	open	—	06-07 15:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	11	$232	176	176	+0	open	—	05-26 08:48
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	12	$196	289	289	+0	open	—	06-06 11:11
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$182	136	136	+0	No	$-0	04-25 06:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$179	99	99	+0	No	$-0	04-17 12:54
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$113	106	106	+0	open	—	06-09 03:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	4	$108	138	138	+0	open	—	06-07 05:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$104	157	157	+0	open	—	06-01 23:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	3	$99	81	81	+0	open	—	06-02 18:29
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	04-05 01:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	04-14 19:16
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$92	48	48	+0	open	—	05-22 01:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	05-18 00:41
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$88	46	46	+0	open	—	03-28 08:42
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	6	$87	129	129	+0	open	—	04-24 19:20
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	03-27 19:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$85	82	82	+0	open	—	05-31 17:31
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$83	44	44	+0	Yes	$-0	04-22 15:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$82	46	46	+0	open	—	05-21 06:14
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	05-28 10:09
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$53	45	45	+0	open	—	06-05 22:22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$49	204	204	+0	open	—	04-23 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$30	0	76	-76	open	—	05-27 21:24
Will Alberta join the US?	11	$24	261	261	+0	open	—	06-06 18:40
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$23	52	52	+0	open	—	06-05 17:02
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$19	166	166	+0	open	—	04-16 02:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$10	138	138	+0	open	—	05-21 22:25
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	138	138	+0	open	—	05-30 18:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$8	108	108	+0	open	—	04-12 10:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$7	132	132	+0	open	—	06-03 11:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:40:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	54	54¢	$29	0x9bb444…
06-09 03:39:21	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x4ac381…
06-09 01:38:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	38	54¢	$21	0xd3baf9…
06-09 00:23:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0xd3981f…
06-08 20:55:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0xf42f01…
06-08 20:55:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x83c541…
06-08 20:55:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x53d085…
06-08 17:32:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$2	0x126c79…
06-07 15:30:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xc2e718…
06-07 15:30:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0x5af21e…
06-07 15:30:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0x3b198d…
06-07 13:09:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0xcd6ab2…
06-07 13:09:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xbc7ff8…
06-07 05:06:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0xd18605…
06-07 05:06:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	39¢	$22	0x5bb230…
06-07 05:06:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	39¢	$21	0x07586f…
06-07 03:51:24	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	138	39¢	$54	0xef3a75…
06-06 18:40:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x91cae2…
06-06 18:40:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x88817d…
06-06 18:40:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x67da02…
06-06 18:40:39	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x4ddd1a…
06-06 16:31:09	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$5	0x652dde…
06-06 11:11:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	165	28¢	$46	0xd797f3…
06-06 09:19:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	28¢	$46	0x501d0b…
06-06 03:02:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	28¢	$24	0x65e011…
06-06 01:16:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xc4b918…
06-06 01:16:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xe1c191…
06-06 01:16:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0x473b59…
06-06 01:16:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x372512…
06-05 22:22:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x257cfb…
06-05 19:04:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	29	81¢	$23	0xe0832b…
06-05 17:02:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	22¢	$11	0x350e69…
06-05 13:24:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	22¢	$11	0x88ed98…
06-05 06:20:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x129cd5…
06-05 04:07:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x93a11c…
06-05 02:00:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	51¢	$39	0x78bcbf…
06-04 22:30:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xa1465a…
06-04 18:24:33	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x362e07…
06-04 15:27:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x2e5344…
06-04 12:56:06	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x95580a…
06-04 12:56:06	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x3b11b3…
06-03 11:12:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	3¢	$3	0x666d8d…
06-03 11:12:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xc65f2b…
06-03 08:51:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	132	3¢	$4	0x46682f…
06-03 04:54:13	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x33c4dc…
06-03 01:08:44	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0xf4cb07…
06-02 18:29:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	61¢	$49	0x072586…
06-02 15:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x34fdf4…
06-02 15:52:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	61¢	$41	0x4611ae…
06-01 23:18:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	33¢	$44	0x0c7d2d…
06-01 21:08:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x3f14e9…
06-01 19:25:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	157	33¢	$52	0xbf31a2…
05-31 17:31:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb0e15b…
05-31 17:30:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	74	53¢	$39	0xc2eac5…
05-31 13:57:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd23d1f…
05-31 13:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xf59f01…
05-31 13:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x14fbc3…
05-30 18:15:06	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	3¢	$4	0xf461f6…
05-30 16:05:36	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	3¢	$4	0xfa5382…
05-29 05:17:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x24ba66…
05-29 05:16:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	23	72¢	$17	0x627718…
05-29 05:16:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x3954d9…
05-29 02:03:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x771f64…
05-29 02:03:22	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x136692…
05-28 19:09:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xf30515…
05-28 19:09:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xd9dfd2…
05-28 19:09:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x01a2c5…
05-28 16:17:38	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$2	0x119b3d…
05-28 10:09:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0xcca4e4…
05-28 10:09:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x125780…
05-28 08:09:55	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x1ed14c…
05-28 02:18:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0xafd285…
05-28 02:18:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x0fe1cf…
05-28 00:15:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	44¢	$37	0xdc19cf…
05-27 21:24:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	39¢	$30	0x9927c1…
05-26 08:48:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xae5682…
05-26 08:48:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	43	78¢	$33	0x986e75…
05-26 08:48:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x48cd89…
05-26 05:31:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	59	74¢	$43	0xc10fca…
05-25 08:54:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0xedcbbd…
05-25 07:00:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	55	85¢	$47	0x95ee16…
05-24 10:35:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x24cf4c…
05-24 08:37:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x350ff4…
05-23 17:29:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0xc8f32d…
05-23 17:29:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9c1e0b…
05-23 14:59:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x118ab6…
05-22 01:39:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x72f422…
05-22 01:38:49	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x75800b…
05-22 01:38:49	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x6cb875…
05-21 22:25:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9db0b3…
05-21 22:25:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	84	4¢	$3	0x50ab14…
05-21 22:25:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x06d563…
05-21 18:11:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	138	3¢	$4	0x4629b5…
05-21 06:14:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x5e2dcd…
05-21 04:25:47	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x1a53a7…
05-20 23:52:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xce4aa6…
05-18 00:41:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x145d90…
05-17 11:49:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x54dfa3…
05-17 11:48:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x2e5465…
05-16 17:36:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$1	0x448c79…