Realized P&L
+$4.59K
Unrealized P&L
-$980
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
119
Trades
897
lifetime
Volume
$1.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.83K
Open exposure
$57
1 position
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-30 22:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
71%
48%
+$49,169
Other
28%
60%
-$50,896
Sports
1%
100%
+$1,453
Crypto
0%
100%
+$3,621
Tech
0%
67%
+$1,243
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | +2,599 | $1,037 | 2¢ | $57 | -$980 | 05-19 14:58 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $151.7K | 83,317 | 83,317 | +0 | No | +$14,770 | 04-02 17:21 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 2 | $148.2K | 76,271 | 76,271 | +0 | No | +$3,318 | 03-27 17:07 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 10 | $104.0K | 270,163 | 270,163 | +0 | Yes | -$3,986 | 02-23 05:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 31 | $94.0K | 424,131 | 100,000 | +324,131 | No | -$33,460 | 05-29 22:06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 3 | $82.8K | 182,563 | 182,563 | -0 | No | -$4,887 | 05-09 12:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 24 | $76.9K | 83,895 | 0 | +83,895 | Yes | +$7,034 | 03-01 01:20 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 4 | $64.1K | 64,706 | 0 | +64,706 | No | +$648 | 01-07 23:01 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 8 | $50.5K | 101,743 | 17,452 | +84,291 | Yes | +$49,491 | 04-01 12:47 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 28 | $45.7K | 135,580 | 135,580 | +0 | No | -$15,485 | 05-25 15:47 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 4 | $44.4K | 44,451 | 5,372 | +39,080 | Yes | +$3,250 | 01-31 01:15 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 12 | $39.0K | 126,666 | 78,941 | +47,724 | No | +$1,309 | 01-27 17:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 14 | $38.8K | 26,817 | 27,005 | -187 | Yes | +$10,696 | 01-30 03:17 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | 4 | $37.8K | 20,609 | 20,609 | +0 | Yes | +$3,413 | 05-24 02:09 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 4 | $34.5K | 41,850 | 0 | +41,850 | Yes | +$7,308 | 04-19 09:56 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 5 | $33.5K | 28,012 | 25,879 | +2,133 | Yes | +$1,671 | 03-25 16:49 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 11 | $32.4K | 63,965 | 62,952 | +1,013 | No | -$3,271 | 01-30 00:04 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 9 | $30.7K | 82,358 | 14,686 | +67,671 | No | -$18,563 | 04-19 14:45 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 8 | $30.0K | 67,461 | 0 | +67,461 | No | -$30,038 | 05-24 15:30 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 18 | $29.9K | 30,000 | 0 | +30,000 | No | +$60 | 04-30 22:23 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 32 | $24.7K | 72,162 | 0 | +72,162 | No | -$24,716 | 06-03 23:04 |
| will trump talk to vladimir putin in january | 35 | $21.8K | 39,519 | 0 | +39,519 | No | -$21,808 | 02-01 05:01 |
| Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? | 7 | $19.1K | 10,014 | 10,014 | +0 | Yes | +$659 | 04-29 18:30 |
| Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision? | 3 | $19.0K | 9,952 | 9,952 | +0 | No | +$573 | 04-29 18:30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 14 | $18.1K | 43,805 | 0 | +43,805 | Yes | +$25,736 | 06-03 23:00 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 2 | $17.6K | 48,938 | 48,938 | +0 | No | +$10 | 03-25 02:34 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 5 | $17.4K | 22,925 | 0 | +22,925 | Yes | +$5,542 | 04-16 03:29 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 37 | $14.4K | 14,112 | 14,112 | +0 | No | -$4,137 | 04-20 16:56 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 10 | $12.6K | 15,916 | 12,470 | +3,446 | No | +$238 | 05-01 01:10 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 5 | $12.3K | 10,082 | 10,082 | +0 | No | -$1,593 | 04-24 12:39 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | 4 | $12.1K | 17,767 | 1,870 | +15,897 | Yes | +$6,893 | 04-28 18:23 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||