Empty-Fixture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$786

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-04 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

68% 33% +$58

Other

17% 7% -$27

Crypto

13% 100% +$8

Sports

2% 33% +$33

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$284	174	174	+0	Yes	+$64	11-04 12:53
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$243	222	222	+0	No	+$1	04-09 17:39
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	1	$102	104	0	+104	Yes	+$2	09-02 08:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	09-15 05:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$8	168	88	+80	No	-$2	04-09 18:26
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	04-09 17:46
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	1	$5	333	0	+333	No	-$5	04-05 23:51
will elon musk pay tsa salaries	2	$4	424	0	+424	No	-$4	04-09 18:27
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$4	108	0	+108	No	-$4	05-13 17:52
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	1	$3	60	0	+60	No	-$3	04-09 18:22
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder	1	$3	200	0	+200	Thunder	-$3	04-20 21:00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$3	60	0	+60	No	-$3	04-05 23:43
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	55	0	+55	No	-$3	04-09 17:42
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	1	$2	111	0	+111	No	-$2	05-14 15:51
will tan zhongyi win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	04-20 21:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$2	54	0	+54	No	-$2	04-20 21:05
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$2	143	0	+143	No	-$2	05-14 15:54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	1	$2	46	0	+46	76ers	+$44	04-20 21:01
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-14 16:00
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	56	0	+56	No	-$1	05-14 15:52
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-14 15:50
Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-18 04:45
Anthropic CEO arrested?	1	$1	67	0	+67	No	-$1	05-14 15:59
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	05-14 15:59
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	18	0	+18	No	-$1	05-13 17:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$1	71	0	+71	No	-$1	05-14 15:56
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	67	0	+67	No	-$1	05-14 15:58
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$1	0	185	-185	No	+$1	09-02 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:53:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x48d8f6…
10-17 06:10:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	174	63¢	$110	0x37eabb…
09-15 05:03:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9f5d4f…
09-02 08:39:58	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0x0beb94…
09-02 08:25:55	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$1	0xd68892…
05-18 04:45:27	Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93fa5a…
05-14 16:00:51	Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x675660…
05-14 15:59:29	Anthropic CEO arrested?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x552f38…
05-14 15:59:13	Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x27cd3d…
05-14 15:58:28	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xe2ce9f…
05-14 15:56:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x79cf66…
05-14 15:54:04	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x253361…
05-14 15:52:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x0c00f8…
05-14 15:51:37	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x7212e0…
05-14 15:50:46	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf26137…
05-13 17:52:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0x382eea…
05-13 17:45:36	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x651ae5…
04-20 21:05:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x20bebf…
04-20 21:04:16	will tan zhongyi win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xfe75c0…
04-20 21:01:38	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x6f9149…
04-20 21:00:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x098e34…
04-09 18:27:41	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0xfc96e9…
04-09 18:26:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xe269ba…
04-09 18:22:59	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0e57a2…
04-09 18:20:11	will elon musk pay tsa salaries	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x7466ff…
04-09 17:46:49	will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xabb04c…
04-09 17:42:47	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x2142e5…
04-09 17:39:55	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xff098a…
04-06 00:08:17	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$111	0x9100c4…
04-05 23:52:27	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x866d53…
04-05 23:52:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$3	0xb44f81…
04-05 23:51:37	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x2395f8…
04-05 23:43:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x97c13d…
04-05 23:42:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x17d5ae…
04-05 23:33:43	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x194ba3…