Impartial-Liar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

23.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

641 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$138

$2.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-13 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 39% +$114

Other

21% 26% -$19

Politics

17% 57% +$39

Sports

5% 67% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel win on 2026-11-14?	Yes		+52	$11	15¢	$8	-$3	11-14 14:03
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+200	$27	3¢	$7	-$20	10-27 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	7	$154	274	274	+0	No	+$42	06-14 19:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	5	$151	619	594	+25	Yes	-$33	09-21 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$93	167	167	+0	Down	+$31	09-22 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	12	$80	121	121	+0	Up	+$30	09-22 16:43
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	3	$72	72	72	+0	No	+$32	09-22 23:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$67	369	169	+200	open	—	10-27 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	10	$67	109	109	+0	Down	+$3	09-22 16:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$60	205	205	+0	Yes	-$10	10-27 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	7	$56	217	117	+100	Down	+$4	09-22 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	12	$54	192	65	+127	Up	+$11	09-22 16:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$49	174	174	+0	No	+$19	07-15 18:55
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?	2	$49	44	44	+0	Yes	+$27	06-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	6	$46	211	111	+100	Down	+$22	09-22 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$45	102	102	+0	Down	+$21	09-22 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$45	198	148	+50	Up	+$3	09-22 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	7	$44	100	50	+50	Up	+$18	09-22 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	9	$44	189	189	+0	Down	+$6	06-01 15:14
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	3	$43	167	167	+0	No	+$3	07-30 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	6	$43	52	52	+0	Down	+$23	06-01 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$40	119	86	+33	Up	-$2	09-22 17:03
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$33	385	385	+0	No	+$13	07-11 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	7	$33	356	0	+356	Down	+$15	09-22 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	10	$32	182	182	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$31	104	36	+68	Down	+$1	09-22 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$30	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	09-22 17:30
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5	1	$28	53	0	+53	Under	+$25	10-06 20:54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	1	$27	64	0	+64	Yes	+$36	10-10 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	4	$27	104	104	+0	Up	+$5	09-21 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$26	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	09-21 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$26	50	31	+19	Up	+$15	09-22 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:03:25	Will Israel win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2841ea…
11-13 19:32:51	Will Israel win on 2026-11-14?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xb3d0e9…
11-13 19:30:55	Will Netherlands vs. Greece end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb36fe3…
11-08 13:03:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbdc53c…
11-08 13:02:45	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x3b5a78…
11-08 13:00:58	Will Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8bcf0a…
11-07 17:15:21	Erling Haaland: 2+ goals	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc742aa…
11-04 21:57:34	Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x18e65a…
11-03 14:59:21	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb82955…
10-27 12:23:57	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa9cab7…
10-27 09:48:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x5cd639…
10-27 09:47:26	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd0290d…
10-26 20:41:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1db766…
10-26 20:32:54	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1888b7…
10-26 20:11:32	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ca04d…
10-25 20:42:26	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x04fdf4…
10-25 20:32:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfd1409…
10-25 20:13:59	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf865f0…
10-24 15:27:17	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa4e1d0…
10-24 14:16:03	Will West Ham United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe03a6e…
10-24 13:01:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x0e74a0…
10-20 19:05:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe5f4e9…
10-20 18:49:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x1cc537…
10-20 17:21:02	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6b5d58…
10-17 16:52:11	Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x05c327…
10-14 19:00:12	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x45ae7a…
10-13 18:19:31	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x216da4…
10-13 18:15:25	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xeb8089…
10-11 18:14:45	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x709729…
10-11 18:14:36	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb01881…
10-11 18:12:04	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x81e7d0…
10-11 18:06:46	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x41c3bc…
10-11 17:43:27	Exact Score: US Sassuolo Calcio 1 - 2 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9a3e56…
10-11 16:01:54	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0e518c…
10-11 12:34:04	Exact Score: Southampton FC 1 - 0 Portsmouth FC?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x346d2b…
10-10 23:16:07	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6ebd93…
10-10 23:10:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	143	15¢	$21	0x40ba0a…
10-10 20:54:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	64	43¢	$27	0xd70005…
10-10 19:01:40	Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 3 - 1 D.C. United SC?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf8c864…
10-10 19:01:12	Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 1 - 0 D.C. United SC?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x36d983…
10-10 19:01:03	Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 2 - 0 D.C. United SC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x33f831…
10-10 16:17:54	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xb32ea4…
10-10 16:14:51	Will Ironi Tiberias vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe91f7…
10-10 16:07:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8fe90f…
10-10 15:43:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3f2470…
10-10 14:26:40	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b9f4e…
10-10 14:26:03	FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6edf5c…
10-09 18:52:53	West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x46ede2…
10-07 21:58:48	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Warriors	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x82d651…
10-06 20:54:44	Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0x72b029…
10-06 16:07:41	Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xab14da…
10-04 19:27:26	Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4449bc…
10-04 17:32:22	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: Israel O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c68cd…
10-04 17:31:53	Spread: Israel (-1.5)	Israel	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x482064…
10-04 17:30:10	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0x91bbfa…
10-04 17:29:56	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xaa65fa…
10-04 17:29:28	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7c3757…
10-04 17:29:17	Republic of Ireland vs. Israel: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x25232c…
10-03 20:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x58bfba…
10-03 20:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x731ffd…
10-03 20:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x84fe9a…
10-03 20:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa5cc86…
10-03 20:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3afbc0…
10-03 20:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdcc491…
10-03 20:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xff8468…
10-03 20:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd959d3…
10-03 20:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4fc259…
10-03 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xad55d3…
10-03 20:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x57836c…
10-03 20:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaefc61…
10-03 20:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88abad…
10-03 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4000d6…
10-03 20:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x58a22a…
10-03 20:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x03e2e6…
10-03 20:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x231bce…
10-03 20:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xad8c1f…
10-03 19:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd03bf0…
10-03 19:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa15ffa…
10-03 19:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x4b1597…
10-03 19:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x463534…
10-03 19:53:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77628f…
10-03 19:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4e190e…
10-03 19:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1b82fd…
10-03 19:51:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4860c7…
10-03 19:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8597d…
10-03 19:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x45906f…
10-03 19:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcf8677…
10-03 19:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4d23a5…
10-03 19:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x53cc06…
10-03 19:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4e8f35…
10-03 19:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5d4abb…
10-03 19:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa31b88…
10-03 19:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc8f119…
10-03 19:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa14724…
10-03 19:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe8b357…
10-03 19:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x495be2…
10-03 19:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb19890…
10-03 19:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x65e08f…
10-03 19:27:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8d3670…
10-03 19:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xc3b22d…