Upset-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$293

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-09 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 0% $-9

Other

19% 25% $-5

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$31	35	35	+0	open	—	05-04 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$27	67	67	+0	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$19	38	31	+7	open	—	05-04 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$16	210	10	+200	open	—	05-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$12	129	0	+129	open	—	05-04 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$10	307	7	+300	open	—	05-04 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$10	78	12	+67	open	—	05-04 17:44
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$9	15	4	+11	open	—	05-04 16:37
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	3	$9	189	189	+0	open	—	05-04 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 16:42
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$8	25	0	+25	open	—	05-04 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$7	26	4	+22	Down	$-1	05-09 16:28
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$5	8	8	+0	No	$-5	05-09 15:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 10:19
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-03 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-09 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	05-04 17:46
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	$-1	05-09 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$3	16	1	+14	Down	$-1	05-09 16:34
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	$-3	05-05 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$3	208	0	+208	open	—	05-04 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$3	114	14	+100	open	—	05-04 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 10:49
Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)	1	$2	921	0	+921	open	—	05-03 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 16:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9278e9…
05-09 16:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x73c3ef…
05-09 16:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93d9bc…
05-09 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xab708f…
05-09 16:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x7a28c3…
05-09 16:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8adee8…
05-09 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x50d015…
05-09 16:14:55	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x54f78a…
05-09 15:56:38	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5eadf8…
05-09 15:35:29	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6d30c6…
05-09 13:33:38	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x23fa33…
05-09 11:37:38	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5f4d0a…
05-09 11:34:27	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6af08b…
05-05 12:25:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x34e537…
05-05 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeed0cd…
05-05 07:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0f288…
05-04 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x04a644…
05-04 17:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb4aeab…
05-04 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe1ba90…
05-04 17:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x0ea887…
05-04 17:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2530d2…
05-04 17:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1df7f9…
05-04 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb63e61…
05-04 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe5be41…
05-04 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd9ff1d…
05-04 17:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0d138f…
05-04 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x54d712…
05-04 17:21:40	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	No	SELL	189	0¢	$1	0x351637…
05-04 17:21:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x934c33…
05-04 16:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2e4db6…
05-04 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5b0e30…
05-04 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x1d4be9…
05-04 16:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3e08c…
05-04 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe28dc1…
05-04 16:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x05df89…
05-04 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf145af…
05-04 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xef6a7c…
05-04 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x725571…
05-04 16:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8ec3f7…
05-04 16:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xa09428…
05-04 16:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x17468c…
05-04 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xed7d96…
05-04 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfbbbd9…
05-04 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdc319f…
05-04 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb4050…
05-04 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf6767d…
05-04 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x3ca5a6…
05-04 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x41207f…
05-04 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x07fbb1…
05-04 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4fbb7a…
05-04 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe61368…
05-04 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x22ffad…
05-04 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc91547…
05-04 16:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa0c83a…
05-04 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa39816…
05-04 15:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaeed97…
05-04 15:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0x1daaea…
05-04 15:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2eaeab…
05-04 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	67	38¢	$25	0x0da8dd…
05-04 15:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x15e427…
05-04 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51bcd8…
05-04 15:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x492ba3…
05-04 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa9610…
05-04 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd0b3f2…
05-04 15:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x68ae8d…
05-04 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9148b4…
05-04 10:20:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x532fc6…
05-04 10:20:20	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda	Renta Tokuda	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8f8b62…
05-04 10:19:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa6aaea…
05-03 20:18:38	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9676ac…
05-03 18:05:50	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	No	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xbae8ca…
05-03 18:04:50	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	No	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xdbb21f…
05-03 12:15:30	Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	SC Heerenveen	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x547076…
05-03 11:50:08	Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	SC Heerenveen	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc4f5cf…
05-03 11:48:56	Spread: FC Volendam (-2.5)	FC Volendam	BUY	921	0¢	$2	0xf4d223…
05-03 10:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa95ee9…
05-03 10:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d5a36…
05-03 10:30:24	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa41ebd…
05-03 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0xad4aa1…
05-03 10:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x601e90…