Upset-Mushroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

140 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$564 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-13 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

54% 24% -$61

Crypto

42% 26% -$29

Sports

4% 0% -$20

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$47	33	33	+0	Yes	+$17	05-03 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$31	35	35	+0	Up	+$7	05-04 16:03
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$30	23	23	+0	Yes	+$16	05-03 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$27	67	67	+0	Up	+$23	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-03 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$19	38	31	+7	Up	-$3	05-04 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$16	210	10	+200	Down	$0	05-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$15	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 17:39
Ben Whittaker vs. Conor Wallace	1	$15	150	0	+150	Ben Whittaker	-$15	10-03 10:53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$15	34	0	+34	No	-$15	05-09 13:33
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-03?	2	$15	22	0	+22	No	-$15	05-03 15:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	4	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 17:21
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?	2	$13	16	16	+0	No	+$3	05-04 17:12
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	3	$12	22	22	+0	No	-$10	05-09 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$12	129	0	+129	Down	-$12	05-04 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$10	690	690	+0	No	-$4	05-04 06:29
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	-$10	05-04 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$10	307	7	+300	Up	$0	05-04 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$10	78	12	+67	Down	+$2	05-04 17:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	4	$10	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-03 13:01
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$9	15	4	+11	Up	-$5	05-04 16:37
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	3	$9	189	189	+0	Yes	-$7	05-04 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 16:42
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)	2	$8	6	6	+0	SC Heerenveen	+$4	05-03 12:15
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?	2	$8	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-04 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$8	25	0	+25	Down	-$8	05-04 17:28
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?	2	$8	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-03 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$7	26	4	+22	Down	-$1	05-09 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 15:21:34	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x2b302c…
10-03 10:53:36	UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Court McGee	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb10a6b…
10-03 10:53:14	Ben Whittaker vs. Conor Wallace	Conor Wallace	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xf183b7…
05-09 16:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9278e9…
05-09 16:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x73c3ef…
05-09 16:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93d9bc…
05-09 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xab708f…
05-09 16:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x7a28c3…
05-09 16:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8adee8…
05-09 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x50d015…
05-09 16:21:01	Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xae6187…
05-09 16:14:55	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x54f78a…
05-09 16:11:48	Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x255077…
05-09 15:56:38	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5eadf8…
05-09 15:55:58	Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xcfc50a…
05-09 15:35:29	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x6d30c6…
05-09 13:33:38	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x23fa33…
05-09 13:33:27	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xb21870…
05-09 11:37:38	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x5f4d0a…
05-09 11:35:44	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xef1dfd…
05-09 11:35:06	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x85ec43…
05-09 11:34:27	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6af08b…
05-06 08:10:36	Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	475	0¢	$0	0xdf744e…
05-06 08:10:36	Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0x108506…
05-06 08:10:36	Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x0fdc0d…
05-05 20:55:48	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xc3ae7a…
05-05 12:25:08	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x34e537…
05-05 07:27:26	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x78cfe3…
05-05 07:26:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x948ef6…
05-05 07:25:10	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x960365…
05-05 07:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeed0cd…
05-05 07:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0f288…
05-04 17:57:24	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x31d164…
05-04 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x04a644…
05-04 17:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb4aeab…
05-04 17:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe1ba90…
05-04 17:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x0ea887…
05-04 17:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2530d2…
05-04 17:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1df7f9…
05-04 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb63e61…
05-04 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe5be41…
05-04 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd9ff1d…
05-04 17:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0d138f…
05-04 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x54d712…
05-04 17:21:46	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6aa975…
05-04 17:21:40	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	No	SELL	189	0¢	$1	0x351637…
05-04 17:21:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x934c33…
05-04 17:12:22	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xc10c72…
05-04 16:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2e4db6…
05-04 16:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5b0e30…
05-04 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x1d4be9…
05-04 16:49:18	Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x68ad28…
05-04 16:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3e08c…
05-04 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe28dc1…
05-04 16:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x05df89…
05-04 16:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf145af…
05-04 16:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xef6a7c…
05-04 16:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x725571…
05-04 16:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8ec3f7…
05-04 16:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xa09428…
05-04 16:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x17468c…
05-04 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xed7d96…
05-04 16:32:40	Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xe0fa17…
05-04 16:31:36	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb79d96…
05-04 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfbbbd9…
05-04 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdc319f…
05-04 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb4050…
05-04 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf6767d…
05-04 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x3ca5a6…
05-04 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x41207f…
05-04 16:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x07fbb1…
05-04 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4fbb7a…
05-04 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe61368…
05-04 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x22ffad…
05-04 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc91547…
05-04 16:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa0c83a…
05-04 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa39816…
05-04 15:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaeed97…
05-04 15:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0x1daaea…
05-04 15:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2eaeab…
05-04 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	67	38¢	$25	0x0da8dd…
05-04 15:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x15e427…
05-04 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51bcd8…
05-04 15:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x492ba3…
05-04 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfa9610…
05-04 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd0b3f2…
05-04 15:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x68ae8d…
05-04 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9148b4…
05-04 10:20:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x532fc6…
05-04 10:20:20	Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda	Renta Tokuda	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8f8b62…
05-04 10:19:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellien	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa6aaea…
05-04 06:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	690	0¢	$3	0x52ac18…
05-03 21:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0xce024b…
05-03 21:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	528	1¢	$5	0x351612…
05-03 20:50:02	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xb18396…
05-03 20:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	830	0¢	$3	0xe195fd…
05-03 20:18:38	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9676ac…
05-03 20:01:34	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xf04c96…
05-03 19:56:24	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x35b618…
05-03 18:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x91a950…