Noxious-Testing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92

Unrealized P&L

+$258

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$48.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$229

Open exposure

$3.00K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$92

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+2,890	$2,052	70¢	$2.0K	$-14	06-09 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+1,067	$694	90¢	$966	+$272	05-28 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	33	$18.9K	24,038	0	+24,038	open	—	04-21 17:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$4.9K	14,487	0	+14,487	open	—	02-28 14:20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$4.7K	9,800	0	+9,800	open	—	01-13 01:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$3.5K	3,580	0	+3,580	open	—	06-03 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	23	$3.4K	6,763	0	+6,763	open	—	05-07 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$2.1K	2,890	0	+2,890	open	—	06-09 19:23
lol bw pcific 2026 01 20 game1	5	$1.8K	926	926	+0	open	—	01-20 15:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$1.2K	1,399	0	+1,399	open	—	05-06 11:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	8	$780	500	500	+0	open	—	05-08 00:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$694	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	05-28 10:58
grok 4pt20 released by january 31 273	2	$629	806	0	+806	open	—	01-06 14:50
lol th gx 2026 01 19	2	$589	597	0	+597	open	—	01-19 19:25
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$477	800	0	+800	open	—	01-01 19:24
xrp updown 15m 1768747500	2	$400	709	0	+709	open	—	01-18 14:57
Palantir total customers above 1060 in Q1?	1	$378	420	0	+420	No	+$42	04-17 23:05
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$377	400	0	+400	open	—	01-01 19:18
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$262	409	0	+409	open	—	01-06 15:11
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	2	$226	260	0	+260	open	—	03-03 15:43
lol lr kc 2026 01 19	6	$193	267	38	+228	open	—	01-19 21:17
will trump say ballroom during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	1	$186	338	0	+338	open	—	04-21 19:12
xrp updown 15m 1768743000	2	$182	258	0	+258	open	—	01-18 13:39
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 14c	2	$170	223	0	+223	open	—	03-09 11:59
xrp updown 15m 1768743900	2	$160	266	0	+266	open	—	01-18 13:50
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$146	217	0	+217	open	—	04-13 22:20
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	13	$128	200	0	+200	open	—	03-12 03:21
lol edg nip 2026 01 19	1	$124	200	0	+200	open	—	01-19 13:57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$121	314	0	+314	open	—	04-14 11:51
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	10	$104	136	100	+36	open	—	03-08 10:45
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	1	$104	400	0	+400	open	—	01-06 14:16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	1	$101	304	0	+304	open	—	04-13 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:23:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,890	71¢	$2,052	0x38083a…
06-03 18:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	3,580	97¢	$3,465	0xd5a810…
05-28 10:58:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,049	65¢	$682	0x553b13…
05-28 10:45:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xd85de2…
05-08 00:16:35	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xbac1e1…
05-08 00:16:14	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	92¢	$460	0x6caeb7…
05-07 20:04:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	530	70¢	$371	0xdbb1a1…
05-06 11:49:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc764c7…
04-27 13:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	645	83¢	$536	0x73a755…
04-25 21:03:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	704	85¢	$598	0x522646…
04-25 15:58:50	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcc3efe…
04-24 23:34:58	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	Yes	BUY	130	22¢	$28	0x6c2913…
04-21 19:32:34	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x37801c…
04-21 19:12:36	will trump say ballroom during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	338	55¢	$186	0x126a53…
04-21 19:10:20	will trump say iran during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	No	BUY	64	34¢	$22	0x5c7bc5…
04-21 17:52:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	940	79¢	$743	0x771e3a…
04-20 10:53:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	330	73¢	$241	0x9ed644…
04-19 12:01:18	DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?	No	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xb27e93…
04-17 23:32:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	128	25¢	$32	0x94960b…
04-17 23:27:14	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x01c1d3…
04-17 23:27:04	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xa7617c…
04-17 23:26:52	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8f30df…
04-17 23:15:52	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.8M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x1f6842…
04-17 23:14:04	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 235m?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x30d82b…
04-17 23:13:42	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	No	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0x33980f…
04-17 23:05:32	Palantir total customers above 1060 in Q1?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x8f729b…
04-16 15:51:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,068	77¢	$822	0x438e44…
04-15 21:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	537	75¢	$403	0x27f8b0…
04-15 11:46:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x3e86ab…
04-15 11:13:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x662d08…
04-15 11:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0xe7e6cf…
04-15 11:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x07a386…
04-15 10:49:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,300	76¢	$988	0xac63b8…
04-15 00:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,000	77¢	$1,540	0xdd2941…
04-15 00:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,770	77¢	$1,363	0x485085…
04-14 19:40:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	380	45¢	$171	0xd7f83c…
04-14 19:39:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x031af6…
04-14 19:39:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0x85a81a…
04-14 19:35:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0x53fd55…
04-14 19:32:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	329	45¢	$148	0x401445…
04-14 19:32:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x7ceb3e…
04-14 19:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0xb4b8ce…
04-14 19:32:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	136	44¢	$60	0xb51a16…
04-14 19:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xcc703b…
04-14 19:31:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x680716…
04-14 19:31:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x0939d3…
04-14 19:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x85cfe3…
04-14 19:27:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	865	79¢	$683	0xfd44de…
04-14 19:22:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	640	43¢	$274	0x894495…
04-14 19:16:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,440	79¢	$1,138	0xf9406b…
04-14 18:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	235	78¢	$183	0xbae1a0…
04-14 18:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	166	78¢	$129	0x8d93ca…
04-14 18:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	166	78¢	$129	0xb6b8b6…
04-14 18:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	350	47¢	$164	0xf22335…
04-14 17:27:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	780	49¢	$382	0xcbface…
04-14 17:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc6cdd9…
04-14 17:25:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,980	78¢	$1,544	0xfa6b94…
04-14 16:59:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	87	78¢	$68	0x9c420f…
04-14 16:58:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	380	78¢	$296	0x44453c…
04-14 16:58:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	230	78¢	$179	0x5635bf…
04-14 16:57:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	515	49¢	$252	0x87d323…
04-14 16:08:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	850	78¢	$663	0x9bbd0b…
04-14 16:07:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,720	78¢	$1,342	0x6b974b…
04-14 15:51:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	49¢	$146	0x8f02da…
04-14 14:12:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x3865ea…
04-14 13:52:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x872ac3…
04-14 13:51:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	197	82¢	$162	0x521bd6…
04-14 13:51:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	183	82¢	$150	0x19cbe4…
04-14 13:47:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x89703c…
04-14 13:47:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xee730d…
04-14 13:46:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,200	82¢	$1,804	0xed1f4b…
04-14 11:51:49	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	No	BUY	210	43¢	$90	0x1ca76a…
04-14 11:47:15	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	No	BUY	185	6¢	$12	0x55ed2b…
04-14 11:27:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	260	46¢	$120	0x678e97…
04-14 11:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	124	46¢	$57	0xfa4b50…
04-13 23:49:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	121	53¢	$64	0x6056ff…
04-13 23:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	665	82¢	$545	0xbadf7a…
04-13 23:38:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,130	83¢	$937	0x9b680b…
04-13 22:44:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,750	54¢	$945	0xdb094a…
04-13 22:38:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,300	82¢	$1,066	0x212fab…
04-13 22:20:43	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	BUY	217	68¢	$146	0x889c05…
04-13 21:54:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	BUY	304	33¢	$101	0x34e4ba…
04-13 21:48:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	BUY	104	30¢	$31	0xefb3b6…
04-13 21:24:53	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	No	BUY	703	8¢	$56	0xcf4a38…
03-25 10:10:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0x8de6eb…
03-25 10:10:41	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0x35b328…
03-25 10:00:59	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa97dfa…
03-25 09:52:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x925384…
03-25 09:51:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x00939a…
03-25 09:37:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8f3899…
03-25 09:36:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	152	64¢	$97	0xa40eb0…
03-12 03:21:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x5b07f9…
03-10 15:08:33	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x230a46…
03-10 13:02:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x397cea…
03-10 13:01:37	highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 48 49f	Yes	BUY	145	15¢	$21	0xcd6981…
03-10 13:01:09	highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	183	13¢	$24	0x03c659…
03-10 11:48:23	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x38e90f…
03-10 11:46:49	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x347fce…
03-10 11:46:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x428e04…
03-10 11:46:03	highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 60forhigher	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x10be55…