Realized P&L (7d)
-$487
Unrealized P&L
+$173
Hit rate
25.3%
Resolved (7d)
27
Trades (7d)
12
195 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.72K
$17.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$5.65K
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 11-04 19:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
100% 37% -$387
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? No +1,702 $1,137 48¢ $817 -$320 10-22 14:51
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? No +1,047 $833 71¢ $743 -$89 10-22 18:13
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? No — +752 $628 96¢ $726 +$97 11-03 15:10
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +943 $306 76¢ $721 +$415 10-22 14:08
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027? Yes +2,714 $359 22¢ $611 +$251 10-24 17:58
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? No +691 $357 86¢ $598 +$241 10-22 13:53
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027? Yes +2,667 $163 14¢ $385 +$222 10-22 23:33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? No — +744 $551 48¢ $353 -$197 10-28 23:14
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027? Yes +1,333 $200 14¢ $180 -$20 10-22 23:31
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +445 $197 34¢ $149 -$48 10-21 16:12
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? Yes +457 $114 29¢ $133 +$18 11-04 19:44
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? Yes +150 $76 67¢ $100 +$24 10-22 18:38
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? Yes +974 $295 8¢ $83 -$212 10-30 03:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +691 $259 7¢ $48 -$210 10-22 13:53