(anonymous) 0xbc1f09…528f78
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Realized P&L
+$572
Unrealized P&L
+$135
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
506
Trades
1,379
lifetime
Volume
$9.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$640
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-05
last 09-30 03:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
50% 55% +$156
Politics
46% 53% +$351
Tech
4% 65% +$64
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +102 $61 70¢ $72 +$11 09-29 07:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +49 $33 99¢ $48 +$15 09-28 15:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +46 $30 100¢ $46 +$16 09-04 23:35
russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026 No +39 $22 100¢ $39 +$17 09-27 20:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +47 $29 70¢ $33 +$4 09-26 07:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $29 68¢ $30 +$1 09-29 01:28
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $10 90¢ $27 +$17 09-08 12:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +26 $17 100¢ $26 +$9 09-29 20:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +44 $30 57¢ $25 -$5 09-29 19:35
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +25 $20 100¢ $25 +$5 09-22 18:15
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +25 $15 99¢ $25 +$10 09-26 22:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $23 72¢ $22 -$1 09-26 20:39
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +20 $3 100¢ $20 +$17 09-29 05:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +27 $20 72¢ $20 $0 09-21 22:50
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +21 $10 78¢ $16 +$7 09-22 04:34
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +18 $10 82¢ $15 +$5 09-04 04:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +20 $10 70¢ $14 +$4 09-09 17:31
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +17 $10 82¢ $14 +$4 09-21 18:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +14 $10 100¢ $14 +$4 09-05 21:08
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 09-17 13:33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 09-21 01:23
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +12 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 09-21 06:10
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 09-22 08:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +31 $14 33¢ $10 -$4 09-29 20:09
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$2 09-02 20:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +14 $10 66¢ $9 -$1 09-26 12:45
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +14 $10 66¢ $9 -$1 09-25 13:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +13 $10 67¢ $9 -$1 09-18 19:50
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +16 $10 52¢ $8 -$2 09-21 19:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $10 30¢ $7 -$3 09-28 12:45