Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.06K

Unrealized P&L

+$375

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$119.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$494

Open exposure

$3.68K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-26 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

46% 57% +$1,873

Politics

39% 39% +$535

Tech

15% 43% +$655

Sports

0% 33% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No		+6,634	$3,307	55¢	$3.7K	+$375	10-26 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	13	$18.0K	9,223	9,223	+0	Yes	+$160	04-20 13:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$15.2K	9,877	8,200	+1,677	No	+$595	04-21 14:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	5	$13.0K	9,153	5,061	+4,092	No	+$1,045	07-15 15:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	9	$7.7K	5,563	2,814	+2,750	No	+$345	03-27 20:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$7.4K	13,202	13,202	+0	open	—	10-15 09:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$5.0K	5,432	0	+5,432	Yes	+$432	06-16 18:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$4.6K	2,974	2,000	+974	No	-$73	09-05 17:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$3.9K	4,472	0	+4,472	No	+$592	04-27 06:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	16	$3.6K	8,946	2,378	+6,568	Yes	-$210	04-22 15:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$3.6K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$130	08-03 17:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	3	$3.3K	6,634	0	+6,634	open	—	10-26 16:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$3.1K	3,174	0	+3,174	No	+$100	09-05 17:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$3.0K	3,308	0	+3,308	No	+$313	06-20 12:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,463	0	+3,463	No	+$478	05-06 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,054	0	+3,054	No	+$102	05-09 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	3,612	2,011	+1,601	No	+$380	05-24 20:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$2.3K	2,045	617	+1,428	Yes	+$169	04-22 20:20
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,127	1,126	+1	No	+$8	04-07 20:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,758	1,758	+0	Yes	-$28	05-09 15:47
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,434	1,408	+26	No	-$463	04-18 12:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$1.6K	1,708	0	+1,708	No	+$70	04-07 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,558	0	+1,558	No	+$57	05-07 21:07
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	3	$1.2K	149	1,808	-1,659	Yes	-$621	06-20 11:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$1.1K	22,118	608	+21,510	Yes	+$9	04-24 21:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$995	1,144	0	+1,144	No	+$149	05-12 16:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$669	2,646	2,646	+0	open	—	10-26 15:09
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	3	$402	209	209	+0	No	+$4	04-13 01:09
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	3	$380	205	182	+24	No	+$6	04-13 02:18
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	9	$363	11,997	11,997	+0	No	-$328	04-18 12:08
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$360	0	562	-562	Yes	-$203	05-24 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:56:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x05f464…
10-26 15:09:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,646	6¢	$169	0x25816e…
10-25 02:52:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	432	48¢	$207	0x9971c6…
10-21 18:29:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	6,026	50¢	$3,000	0xdc780c…
10-21 18:28:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,646	19¢	$500	0xd9d690…
10-21 18:10:38	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,988	0¢	$15	0x722e28…
10-15 13:18:26	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	628	2¢	$10	0x9c972c…
10-15 09:48:46	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	629	0¢	$2	0x45eddf…
10-15 09:19:08	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,988	1¢	$30	0x5f8788…
10-15 09:11:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	13,202	29¢	$3,865	0x5c24fe…
10-01 06:31:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	13,202	27¢	$3,500	0xcdbeee…
09-05 17:04:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x2a3e4d…
09-05 17:03:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	338	96¢	$326	0x5a4c2f…
09-05 17:03:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1,379	96¢	$1,331	0x92766e…
09-05 17:02:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	89¢	$1,783	0x960187…
09-02 17:16:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0x042d75…
09-02 17:14:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	828	96¢	$796	0x57b00d…
09-02 17:14:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1,117	96¢	$1,069	0xf51bd4…
09-02 17:14:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	763	94¢	$715	0xe8b067…
09-02 17:13:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	977	98¢	$955	0xcb0dd5…
08-27 18:00:55	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	376	96¢	$362	0x5be74a…
08-23 15:04:58	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	629	1¢	$5	0xd9e469…
08-23 15:04:48	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb55b36…
08-23 15:04:30	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	726	1¢	$5	0xc9a3d7…
08-03 17:34:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1,580	96¢	$1,525	0xe88f01…
08-03 17:34:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2,120	96¢	$2,046	0xc60e68…
07-15 15:54:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x1cde71…
07-15 15:54:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	2,050	98¢	$2,003	0xb93860…
07-15 13:10:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,940	0x42c0c4…
07-13 13:41:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x7e7cce…
07-13 13:41:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf8961a…
07-01 13:49:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3,386	89¢	$3,000	0x5005ca…
06-30 22:13:11	Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xe8db02…
06-30 22:12:55	Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x03f0b4…
06-30 22:12:43	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x97b27f…
06-30 22:10:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	5,767	87¢	$5,000	0x70d534…
06-20 15:27:50	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x347bd7…
06-20 12:58:34	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0xa76fae…
06-20 11:12:47	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	904	67¢	$602	0x0a2256…
06-16 18:06:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,323	93¢	$4,000	0x28d37d…
06-10 11:56:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0x015101…
06-10 11:54:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,109	90¢	$1,000	0xacc7c6…
05-24 20:52:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,421	23¢	$327	0xccdb81…
05-24 20:50:09	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	562	64¢	$360	0xac023b…
05-24 20:49:50	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	112	41¢	$46	0x74790f…
05-13 20:25:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,601	87¢	$1,393	0x2bfe4c…
05-13 20:24:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,421	14¢	$199	0x57ef31…
05-13 08:54:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5adb1f…
05-12 16:42:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,144	87¢	$995	0x79fc58…
05-12 16:40:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1,207	82¢	$995	0xf97b80…
05-12 16:34:17	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x350c9b…
05-12 16:34:03	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x69b240…
05-12 14:35:01	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	904	59¢	$536	0xbd09fe…
05-12 10:27:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc503d4…
05-11 13:13:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0x2f22ff…
05-11 13:13:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0xa05338…
05-11 13:10:53	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	134	38¢	$50	0x02a6f7…
05-09 15:48:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,449	97¢	$1,402	0x839c14…
05-09 15:47:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	590	75¢	$442	0x255ffa…
05-09 15:47:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,758	55¢	$967	0xa025a4…
05-09 15:45:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,605	97¢	$1,550	0xc4152a…
05-07 21:07:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,558	96¢	$1,501	0x6d593f…
05-06 16:38:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,463	86¢	$2,985	0xd0bf81…
05-06 16:35:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,758	57¢	$995	0x4f0963…
05-01 14:30:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	269	74¢	$199	0x061214…
05-01 14:29:28	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$99	0x478082…
05-01 14:29:20	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	246	40¢	$99	0xf44ae0…
04-27 06:28:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	94¢	$995	0xf247c2…
04-24 21:09:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9,950	0¢	$10	0x13a53a…
04-24 21:04:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4be3f2…
04-24 21:03:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x875048…
04-24 21:03:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33ec63…
04-24 21:03:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xadea22…
04-24 21:00:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	62¢	$199	0x208ccc…
04-24 20:56:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2,224	89¢	$1,990	0xf69c46…
04-23 16:09:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x668758…
04-23 09:29:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	284	70¢	$199	0x564b5b…
04-23 09:25:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	284	70¢	$199	0xcb8fc6…
04-23 09:19:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa86ad8…
04-23 09:19:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06a7c0…
04-23 09:18:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63e151…
04-23 09:18:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe6f80e…
04-22 20:20:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$99	0xb2a5d5…
04-22 20:20:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$99	0x19d7d2…
04-22 16:51:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x83404e…
04-22 16:51:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xccc07a…
04-22 16:51:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x174e0c…
04-22 15:50:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x74d4d8…
04-22 15:48:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76494d…
04-22 15:47:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb49257…
04-22 15:47:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x981f70…
04-22 15:47:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1372c8…
04-21 19:08:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5bdb7c…
04-21 17:50:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	366	81¢	$298	0xd87d2d…
04-21 17:48:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$99	0xa28db0…
04-21 17:40:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb98ebf…
04-21 16:26:50	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x06ad14…
04-21 16:22:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa53a81…
04-21 16:22:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x08277a…
04-21 16:20:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	2,774	0¢	$8	0xa76def…