Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$159

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$70.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$378

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 05-24 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$159

Other

29% — —

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	13	$18.0K	9,223	9,223	+0	open	—	04-20 13:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$15.2K	9,877	8,200	+1,677	open	—	04-21 14:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	9	$7.7K	5,563	2,814	+2,750	open	—	03-27 20:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$3.9K	4,472	0	+4,472	open	—	04-27 06:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	16	$3.6K	8,946	2,378	+6,568	open	—	04-22 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,463	0	+3,463	open	—	05-06 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,054	0	+3,054	No	+$102	05-09 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	3,612	2,011	+1,601	open	—	05-24 20:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$2.3K	2,045	617	+1,428	open	—	04-22 20:20
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$2.2K	1,127	1,126	+1	open	—	04-07 20:45
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$1.7K	1,434	1,408	+26	open	—	04-18 12:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$1.6K	1,708	0	+1,708	open	—	04-07 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,558	0	+1,558	No	+$57	05-07 21:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$1.1K	22,118	608	+21,510	open	—	04-24 21:09
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	3	$402	209	209	+0	open	—	04-13 01:09
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	3	$380	205	182	+24	open	—	04-13 02:18
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	9	$363	11,997	11,997	+0	open	—	04-18 12:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$298	321	0	+321	open	—	04-20 13:27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$291	3,022	3,022	+0	open	—	04-21 16:20
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$286	930	841	+89	open	—	04-13 00:51
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$249	213	50	+163	open	—	04-13 16:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	3	$207	193	193	+0	open	—	04-20 19:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$192	133	133	+0	open	—	04-12 21:19
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	4	$192	118	108	+11	open	—	04-12 21:42
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$172	3,565	206	+3,359	open	—	05-13 08:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	7	$44	1,308	60	+1,247	open	—	04-22 15:50
highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 13c	3	$13	2,029	0	+2,029	open	—	04-20 12:40
highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 12c	2	$11	224	0	+224	open	—	04-19 23:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	04-19 09:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$2	44	0	+44	open	—	04-19 09:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:52:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,421	23¢	$327	0xccdb81…
05-13 20:25:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,601	87¢	$1,393	0x2bfe4c…
05-13 20:24:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,421	14¢	$199	0x57ef31…
05-13 08:54:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5adb1f…
05-12 10:27:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc503d4…
05-11 13:13:20	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0x2f22ff…
05-11 13:13:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	995	1¢	$10	0xa05338…
05-09 15:48:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,449	97¢	$1,402	0x839c14…
05-09 15:47:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	590	75¢	$442	0x255ffa…
05-09 15:45:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,605	97¢	$1,550	0xc4152a…
05-07 21:07:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,558	96¢	$1,501	0x6d593f…
05-06 16:38:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,463	86¢	$2,985	0xd0bf81…
05-01 14:30:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	269	74¢	$199	0x061214…
04-27 06:28:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	94¢	$995	0xf247c2…
04-24 21:09:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	9,950	0¢	$10	0x13a53a…
04-24 21:04:58	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4be3f2…
04-24 21:03:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x875048…
04-24 21:03:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x33ec63…
04-24 21:03:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xadea22…
04-24 21:00:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	321	62¢	$199	0x208ccc…
04-24 20:56:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2,224	89¢	$1,990	0xf69c46…
04-23 16:09:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x668758…
04-23 09:29:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	284	70¢	$199	0x564b5b…
04-23 09:25:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	284	70¢	$199	0xcb8fc6…
04-23 09:19:28	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa86ad8…
04-23 09:19:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06a7c0…
04-23 09:18:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63e151…
04-23 09:18:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe6f80e…
04-22 20:20:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$99	0xb2a5d5…
04-22 20:20:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	72¢	$99	0x19d7d2…
04-22 16:51:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x83404e…
04-22 16:51:44	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xccc07a…
04-22 16:51:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x174e0c…
04-22 15:50:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x74d4d8…
04-22 15:48:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x76494d…
04-22 15:47:56	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb49257…
04-22 15:47:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x981f70…
04-22 15:47:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1372c8…
04-21 19:08:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5bdb7c…
04-21 17:50:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	366	81¢	$298	0xd87d2d…
04-21 17:48:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$99	0xa28db0…
04-21 17:40:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb98ebf…
04-21 16:26:50	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x06ad14…
04-21 16:22:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa53a81…
04-21 16:22:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x08277a…
04-21 16:20:50	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	2,774	0¢	$8	0xa76def…
04-21 16:11:12	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x71a186…
04-21 16:11:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xbb082b…
04-21 16:10:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26b1be…
04-21 16:02:46	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	770	1¢	$10	0x7d1d23…
04-21 16:02:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xa970f8…
04-21 16:01:56	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x727cf4…
04-21 15:58:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	558	2¢	$10	0x6e108e…
04-21 15:58:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x687dc4…
04-21 14:51:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	302	3¢	$10	0xa43436…
04-21 14:50:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	249	4¢	$10	0xf64351…
04-21 14:40:04	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1,698	3¢	$50	0x657426…
04-21 14:39:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	1,520	3¢	$50	0xacb64c…
04-21 14:28:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x5a327e…
04-21 14:28:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	559	89¢	$497	0xc2d13b…
04-21 14:22:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0xaa7f27…
04-21 14:21:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,118	89¢	$995	0x3fdd65…
04-20 21:46:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	8,200	86¢	$7,052	0xbede7b…
04-20 19:35:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	96	52¢	$50	0x0d1271…
04-20 19:33:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	206	24¢	$50	0x1f9d79…
04-20 19:28:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	SELL	96	60¢	$58	0xa2f385…
04-20 13:34:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	84	78¢	$66	0xf46f32…
04-20 13:27:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	321	93¢	$298	0xc9b572…
04-20 13:16:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,066	99¢	$1,051	0x10e700…
04-20 12:40:46	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x32890b…
04-20 09:55:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$99	0x235202…
04-20 09:48:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	193	52¢	$99	0x69cf6f…
04-19 23:02:08	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	199	5¢	$10	0xcb2624…
04-19 23:02:02	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1add58…
04-19 22:25:58	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x37e9a2…
04-19 22:25:38	highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda536a…
04-19 22:19:24	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbdc9cb…
04-19 22:19:20	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb1c807…
04-19 22:02:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	433	23¢	$99	0x96cfc0…
04-19 21:25:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4d4103…
04-19 21:24:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	237	84¢	$199	0x714c3f…
04-19 20:54:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,182	84¢	$995	0x427cc1…
04-19 20:44:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x1283ee…
04-19 19:54:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0xd89ded…
04-19 19:21:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6,250	80¢	$5,000	0x56afb2…
04-19 19:20:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	5,106	98¢	$5,025	0x096189…
04-19 16:36:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,048	93¢	$975	0x30ec48…
04-19 16:31:26	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$985	0xfd18a9…
04-19 09:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0x0819fd…
04-19 09:46:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	234	85¢	$199	0xfdd07c…
04-19 09:16:06	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x147aff…
04-19 09:16:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf3b21a…
04-19 09:15:54	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x18bc2c…
04-18 12:21:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0x25986a…
04-18 12:19:14	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	71	27¢	$19	0x09b29d…
04-18 12:17:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	62	28¢	$18	0xda695c…
04-18 12:08:40	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11,997	0¢	$18	0x33d677…
04-14 11:23:49	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x1acc5e…
04-14 09:38:09	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,249	0¢	$4	0x69b2b7…
04-14 08:22:03	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x8c754e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	39	$275.2K	20,109	05-31 17:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	38	$507.1K	8,890	06-01 00:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	37	$264.3K	18,316	05-04 10:48
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	37	$138.8K	10,755	04-25 04:19
Full-Bow 0x59fe…14fd	37	$7.67K	3,390	05-06 09:41
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	35	$26.2K	5,579	05-06 11:57
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	34	$10.5M	18,378	06-01 03:20
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	34	$26.4K	2,903	05-29 22:06