Rosy-Summary — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved (90d)

134

Trades (90d)

305

1,207 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.15K

$4.99K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-31

last 11-11 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% -$15

Sports

21% 46% -$1

Politics

3% 10% -$1

Tech

3% 0% $0

Crypto

2% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	42¢	$0	+$0	10-21 02:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
CF Pachuca vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5	2	$108	60	60	+0	Over	+$10	08-30 01:16
mlb ari mia 2026 06 09	28	$89	75	69	+6	Miami Marlins	$0	06-10 01:30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5	2	$89	48	48	+0	Over	-$3	08-23 15:36
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?	2	$87	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	08-17 18:10
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 09	30	$76	86	84	+2	New York Yankees	-$1	06-10 01:30
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5	2	$72	51	51	+0	Under	+$5	08-29 17:49
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	5	$68	55	55	+0	open	—	08-27 19:45
mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	18	$62	50	49	+1	Seattle Mariners	+$2	06-10 01:28
mlb bal bos 2026 06 04	3	$60	67	5	+62	Baltimore Orioles	+$3	06-04 18:22
mlb lad pit 2026 06 09	22	$60	60	59	+1	Los Angeles Dodgers	$0	06-10 00:32
mlb bos tb 2026 06 09	18	$60	58	57	+1	Tampa Bay Rays	+$0	06-10 00:33
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent	23	$58	68	60	+8	Essex	+$1	06-09 20:37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	2	$52	65	0	+65	Yes	+$13	08-27 18:32
Burnley FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$51	31	31	+0	Yes	+$11	09-02 20:35
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	5	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	11-11 04:48
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	11-05 02:12
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-30?	2	$45	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	08-30 21:28
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	11-01 01:41
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky	14	$39	38	37	+1	Atlanta Dream	-$1	06-10 00:59
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$38	51	0	+51	Islam Makhachev	+$13	08-15 20:22
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027?	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	10-20 13:34
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$37	33	33	+0	No	-$3	08-29 17:49
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-04?	2	$36	31	31	+0	Yes	-$4	09-16 01:48
CF América vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Score	1	$36	58	0	+58	Yes	+$22	09-03 03:08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	1	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	09-13 15:12
Will Lamar Jackson have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 12:32
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	11-01 07:18
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	3	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 15:25
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 03:13
mlb min det 2026 06 09	12	$32	33	32	+1	Detroit Tigers	+$1	06-10 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 04:48:43	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x3d06ca…
11-11 04:48:39	Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xbaa36e…
11-11 04:48:34	Will FC Schalke 04 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xcea2c5…
11-11 04:48:30	Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x7f9363…
11-11 04:48:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x2f13f3…
11-11 04:48:19	Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x00e583…
11-11 04:48:15	Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x458e47…
11-10 14:29:28	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x01bb18…
11-09 04:32:46	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xbd5e47…
11-09 04:32:46	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x8f3d27…
11-08 14:32:27	Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xef2309…
11-06 11:55:00	Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x08a876…
11-06 06:49:42	Will Lyon qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xcccd31…
11-05 23:14:19	Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5ffbe9…
11-05 16:50:27	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x5bbdfb…
11-05 16:49:21	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbf9737…
11-05 02:12:28	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x77e747…
11-05 02:07:57	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xd9656e…
11-04 15:25:06	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x806a5f…
11-04 07:40:27	Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x575be4…
11-04 06:03:06	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x1166fa…
11-04 06:03:04	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x75c878…
11-04 05:50:21	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x61ea05…
11-04 05:19:07	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xd5afca…
11-04 05:18:36	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x90101d…
11-04 05:10:04	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x7595f1…
11-04 05:00:33	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x49e893…
11-04 04:30:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x11e636…
11-04 04:08:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xddca23…
11-04 04:08:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x568094…
11-04 04:01:37	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa5df98…
11-04 04:00:57	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xddf1e7…
11-04 03:13:28	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xbd4370…
11-04 03:11:22	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x0c815c…
11-04 00:08:58	Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x9ef5d5…
11-03 20:06:43	Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x0dee36…
11-03 20:04:25	Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xba092f…
11-03 18:50:28	Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$12	0xda0f53…
11-03 18:47:55	Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x7f6e0d…
11-03 15:46:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x5365c3…
11-03 15:43:40	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x700bea…
11-03 12:11:31	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x490896…
11-03 12:09:07	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x35b57f…
11-03 06:48:48	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf21a74…
11-03 06:46:40	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa75f96…
11-03 03:01:46	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0xfef70f…
11-03 03:00:13	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x931487…
11-02 15:34:10	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x466e8a…
11-02 15:32:58	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0650f7…
11-02 15:08:01	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x71355a…
11-02 15:06:13	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xb154f7…
11-02 12:47:37	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xe74489…
11-02 12:45:00	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5ccab7…
11-02 07:36:27	Will NC State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x92c9b6…
11-02 07:35:33	Will NC State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x8127e4…
11-02 06:08:55	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xc34d33…
11-02 04:01:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x632ba7…
11-02 04:01:33	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x08621e…
11-02 02:17:06	Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x287f00…
11-02 02:16:18	Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xdbdb0f…
11-01 23:47:36	Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x232dac…
11-01 23:46:45	Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0aefc0…
11-01 23:19:36	Will Radiohead headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xb43857…
11-01 23:17:58	Will Radiohead headline Coachella 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x3616c4…
11-01 16:03:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xf6aaef…
11-01 16:01:30	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x784599…
11-01 13:54:00	Will FC Schalke 04 be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x1dce41…
11-01 12:17:22	Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x326ac3…
11-01 12:15:09	Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xee5d6a…
11-01 12:12:34	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x51bf37…
11-01 12:09:39	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x7ae783…
11-01 08:13:34	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xcd118d…
11-01 08:11:54	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb5e32f…
11-01 07:18:37	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x831eca…
11-01 07:01:36	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xbf9947…
11-01 06:59:37	Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x4406f8…
11-01 06:45:07	Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc785ba…
11-01 01:41:19	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xbb37f2…
10-31 18:27:51	1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x252121…
10-31 18:23:46	1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe3de29…
10-31 15:06:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xf76294…
10-31 14:55:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x674fbe…
10-30 21:29:30	All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xa88cfe…
10-30 20:10:19	Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x92e016…
10-30 20:10:18	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x4a49f9…
10-30 19:04:21	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x7f9163…
10-30 17:10:36	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x32727c…
10-30 08:39:27	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x504bc5…
10-30 08:37:39	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xef3924…
10-30 07:44:49	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x7ccc3a…
10-30 07:43:15	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4b5be7…
10-29 20:15:54	Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xed5a2d…
10-29 20:15:54	EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xab02df…
10-29 20:15:54	Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x9f79f3…
10-29 17:42:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x9ef39f…
10-29 17:34:47	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x82df97…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x9427bf…
10-29 17:03:29	Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x05dacd…
10-29 14:34:23	Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf6c9f0…
10-29 13:10:37	All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x781c85…