Agile-Tobacco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$358

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$835

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-06 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Sports

43% 0% $-358

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes		-174	$-16	4¢	$-7	+$9	05-06 00:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$289	1,925	0	+1,925	Thunder	$-289	05-06 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	05-06 15:52
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$70	390	0	+390	Los Angeles Angels	$-70	05-06 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	05-06 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$50	112	0	+112	open	—	05-06 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$30	44	0	+44	open	—	05-06 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	05-06 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	05-06 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	05-06 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	05-06 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	05-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 17:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$16	0	174	-174	open	—	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$11	11	16	-5	open	—	05-06 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-06 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	10	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-06 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa48f66…
05-06 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb799f7…
05-06 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x24a258…
05-06 17:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x508688…
05-06 17:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc11fe9…
05-06 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x09e66c…
05-06 17:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x66040a…
05-06 17:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb111cb…
05-06 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x63e42a…
05-06 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9e2641…
05-06 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x979a49…
05-06 17:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44a66e…
05-06 17:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x69a92c…
05-06 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe35f6c…
05-06 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2becd5…
05-06 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xab6d1d…
05-06 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2adb87…
05-06 17:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa92f6d…
05-06 17:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x0442d2…
05-06 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x94380b…
05-06 17:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1c937f…
05-06 17:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc688e3…
05-06 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5adc5d…
05-06 17:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xdf005e…
05-06 17:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84fb36…
05-06 17:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x32e8ff…
05-06 16:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x038725…
05-06 16:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe19412…
05-06 16:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x485c82…
05-06 16:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3d6cb3…
05-06 16:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c2501…
05-06 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc8c3d8…
05-06 16:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xc1da83…
05-06 16:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x52a063…
05-06 16:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xeef10b…
05-06 15:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x74d3b0…
05-06 15:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xd6471a…
05-06 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x77b1ef…
05-06 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xb65bda…
05-06 15:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb5ff7f…
05-06 15:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xa8fb1d…
05-06 03:05:00	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	390	18¢	$70	0xcb6287…
05-06 00:53:56	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1,925	15¢	$289	0x59e8db…
05-06 00:08:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	174	9¢	$16	0xd7d46d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$10.4K	381	05-06 17:59
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$4.09K	224	05-06 17:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$2.80K	211	05-06 17:57
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	20	$2.41K	326	05-06 17:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	20	$2.17K	227	05-06 17:58
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	20	$2.00K	543	05-06 17:59
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	20	$1.14K	248	05-06 17:59
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	20	$890	100	05-06 17:58