Legitimate-Freedom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$424

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

201

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$8.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-07 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

64% 37% +$473

Politics

32% 47% -$117

Sports

2% 54% +$44

Crypto

2% 38% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+120	$5	3¢	$4	-$1	11-07 11:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+9	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	04-28 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will uae strike iran by march 31	6	$450	961	961	+0	No	-$50	03-18 15:05
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	8	$329	354	346	+8	Punjab Kings	+$165	04-25 14:10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	4	$313	295	223	+71	Delhi Capitals	+$133	05-01 18:01
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	6	$280	534	315	+219	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$53	04-26 18:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$245	154	154	+0	No	+$45	05-06 10:15
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$224	149	149	+0	Yes	+$24	03-07 14:47
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$219	149	149	+0	Yes	+$79	07-07 18:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$216	470	470	+0	No	+$2	04-20 18:05
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$214	137	137	+0	Yes	+$14	06-16 22:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$210	208	208	+0	Yes	+$110	05-04 00:21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$208	112	112	+0	Yes	+$8	06-14 17:41
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	3	$203	441	147	+294	No	-$97	06-15 20:44
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	3	$200	117	116	+1	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$33	04-18 19:21
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$196	155	155	+0	No	+$56	03-19 13:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$196	165	165	+0	Yes	+$96	07-14 20:25
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	2	$191	150	150	+0	Yes	-$9	05-01 12:45
will franois brianon be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	3	$163	213	213	+0	No	-$87	03-15 20:34
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	4	$153	181	167	+14	Rajasthan Royals	+$33	04-28 16:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$153	582	582	+0	Yes	+$23	03-01 05:09
mls skc sdg 2026 03 07 sdg	2	$146	96	96	+0	Yes	+$46	03-08 03:34
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$142	93	93	+0	Yes	+$43	02-28 08:18
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$132	161	161	+0	Yes	+$32	06-15 20:40
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$132	143	143	+0	No	+$92	05-03 06:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	3	$120	79	77	+2	No	+$18	04-25 16:45
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	2	$118	200	200	+0	No	+$18	06-16 20:22
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	2	$112	62	62	+0	No	+$12	05-01 06:02
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$111	91	91	+0	Yes	+$71	07-07 19:47
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$108	125	125	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$48	04-29 16:50
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	1	$100	119	0	+119	No	+$19	07-25 21:35
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	1	$100	249	0	+249	No	-$100	07-10 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:08:07	Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x286df2…
07-29 09:59:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x75c3d3…
07-29 09:58:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	216	21¢	$46	0x381aab…
07-28 14:54:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0x10a1e2…
07-28 14:26:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$29	0xcf349f…
07-28 14:26:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xa15419…
07-25 21:35:10	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x05d8cd…
07-24 21:47:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x827df2…
07-21 15:48:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	148	7¢	$10	0x12b92b…
07-21 15:48:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xc28c50…
07-19 22:46:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x732023…
07-19 17:58:55	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	India	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x6a52a3…
07-19 17:48:42	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xbbd222…
07-19 17:48:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	190	26¢	$50	0xe9792d…
07-19 17:39:46	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3e004d…
07-19 15:10:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x280178…
07-19 14:25:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x45f548…
07-19 07:20:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x35dcab…
07-18 23:53:04	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9b695e…
07-18 22:27:28	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x10645c…
07-18 21:57:40	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x851419…
07-18 19:05:30	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb6e0aa…
07-18 18:52:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0a1365…
07-18 16:44:40	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xccce57…
07-18 14:33:33	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0959f…
07-15 19:38:31	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5822d7…
07-14 20:25:08	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	165	88¢	$146	0x23ef59…
07-14 18:24:10	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2f33bc…
07-14 18:14:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xafb37d…
07-14 18:13:56	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	165	30¢	$50	0xc0a49a…
07-13 21:31:22	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6bc36d…
07-13 21:10:40	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdebb61…
07-13 18:44:31	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa50075…
07-13 16:21:31	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb4fa06…
07-13 15:08:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	4¢	$7	0xbb7cff…
07-13 14:24:47	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8c0389…
07-11 00:03:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	19¢	$30	0xf249a0…
07-10 19:09:04	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x5a3d0e…
07-10 13:01:25	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2f1eac…
07-10 13:01:20	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd7ef99…
07-10 12:48:28	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ef719…
07-10 12:46:47	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8f0f40…
07-10 12:41:37	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5fab0b…
07-10 09:40:10	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0xe43242…
07-07 19:47:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x2d4aa1…
07-07 18:05:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x1a81a1…
07-07 16:27:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0x6af073…
07-07 07:15:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x9be27c…
07-06 23:31:31	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x6e0adc…
07-06 23:31:23	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4e54e3…
07-06 16:57:07	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa25140…
07-04 18:41:41	Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x378bf0…
07-01 17:26:10	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x61e0e2…
07-01 10:33:29	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x68bcb1…
06-29 20:20:50	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x8696ad…
06-23 20:22:16	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x896c32…
06-23 09:15:49	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9543ee…
06-21 18:11:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc5c7b…
06-21 15:44:11	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xa101bc…
06-21 12:29:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x883dcb…
06-16 22:48:52	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	137	83¢	$114	0x9a2547…
06-16 22:42:07	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xc6ba0a…
06-16 20:22:50	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x3534c8…
06-16 19:22:53	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x3d9b0e…
06-16 02:44:57	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x872750…
06-15 20:44:00	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x8c65a8…
06-15 20:40:10	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	161	51¢	$82	0x9e0362…
06-15 20:39:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	147	36¢	$53	0x2780a7…
06-15 19:41:09	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x92faed…
06-15 19:40:25	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xb29cf2…
06-15 19:23:49	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x957221…
06-14 17:41:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	112	96¢	$108	0xe0e0d2…
06-14 17:38:42	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x93192a…
05-08 07:00:06	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Delhi Capitals	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3f7a67…
05-07 05:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbd1b39…
05-06 10:15:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	154	94¢	$145	0x5a9d0c…
05-05 14:13:34	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xd201b2…
05-05 12:48:18	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings - Who wins the toss?	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0dcf5f…
05-04 18:50:28	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3ad502…
05-04 17:23:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xc26a5c…
05-04 05:00:28	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	103	86¢	$89	0x14b4aa…
05-04 00:30:52	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x95576b…
05-04 00:21:18	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	208	77¢	$160	0x8eb1f0…
05-03 14:09:10	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x142c21…
05-03 11:18:10	Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x30107b…
05-03 08:32:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xad522e…
05-03 06:18:06	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	143	78¢	$112	0xeab52f…
05-02 20:26:46	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x229487…
05-02 18:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x454fae…
05-02 11:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62f71b…
05-02 10:39:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xa9ca4f…
05-01 18:01:42	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x775566…
05-01 17:14:08	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc12923…
05-01 15:51:54	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1bd9a5…
05-01 13:44:28	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x48f2d9…
05-01 13:44:16	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x4aef2c…
05-01 12:45:36	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	150	61¢	$91	0xac16d4…
05-01 12:44:36	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x86501b…
05-01 11:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf2d72e…
05-01 10:37:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x341b23…