Other-Spleen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

399

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$5.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-16 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% -$49

Politics

1% 75% +$9

Other

0% 0% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-29	-$23	82¢	$-24	-$1	05-09 08:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$57	81	24	+57	Down	+$15	05-13 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$54	75	37	+37	Down	-$33	05-12 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$50	78	0	+78	Down	+$28	05-14 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$49	85	0	+85	Down	-$49	05-14 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$49	76	0	+76	Up	+$27	05-14 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$44	75	0	+75	Up	+$32	05-12 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$41	67	15	+52	Down	+$18	05-16 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$40	76	9	+67	Down	-$34	05-15 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$40	60	12	+47	Down	-$35	05-15 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$40	05-12 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$37	72	0	+72	Up	-$37	05-15 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$37	72	0	+72	Up	-$37	05-16 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$37	68	0	+68	Up	+$31	05-15 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$37	69	0	+69	Up	+$32	05-16 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$37	69	0	+69	Up	+$32	05-16 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$37	69	0	+69	Down	+$32	05-14 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$37	76	0	+76	Up	+$39	05-16 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$37	98	0	+98	Up	+$61	05-16 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$37	86	0	+86	Down	-$37	05-16 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$37	61	0	+61	Up	-$37	05-15 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$37	60	0	+60	Down	+$23	05-14 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$37	62	0	+62	Up	-$37	05-16 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$37	62	0	+62	Down	+$25	05-15 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$37	62	0	+62	Up	+$25	05-16 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$37	63	0	+63	Up	+$26	05-16 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$37	66	0	+66	Down	+$29	05-16 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$37	59	0	+59	Up	+$22	05-16 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$37	63	0	+63	Up	+$26	05-15 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$37	66	0	+66	Up	-$37	05-16 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$37	59	0	+59	Down	-$37	05-16 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 19:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xd79c1f…
05-16 18:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x69e4ed…
05-16 18:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x76b199…
05-16 17:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x47bd29…
05-16 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	86	43¢	$37	0x600ffc…
05-16 17:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0xa03c84…
05-16 17:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xa2d8de…
05-16 17:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0x2ffc63…
05-16 17:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xff01c1…
05-16 15:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x267c14…
05-16 15:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x442e1e…
05-16 14:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xbc6c74…
05-16 14:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x95d88c…
05-16 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x93589e…
05-16 14:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x3f7eed…
05-16 13:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	89	42¢	$37	0x06bcc8…
05-16 13:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x1c5eb2…
05-16 13:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0x221b26…
05-16 13:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0x029db6…
05-16 13:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0x2e229f…
05-16 12:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	63	59¢	$37	0xaa0a74…
05-16 12:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x70838b…
05-16 12:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0xcab8c1…
05-16 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x9d9e53…
05-16 11:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x7fc496…
05-16 11:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x572711…
05-16 10:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf3a36e…
05-16 09:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xc34be2…
05-16 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0xc7a016…
05-16 09:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x00783f…
05-16 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x69ca30…
05-16 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x80d8ac…
05-16 09:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x0f4358…
05-16 09:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xb8f68d…
05-16 09:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xcea3cf…
05-16 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0xac79fc…
05-16 08:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x0d6163…
05-16 08:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x139bd3…
05-16 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x7f6cb6…
05-16 08:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0xb2844e…
05-16 07:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0x999eb9…
05-16 05:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x6c576e…
05-16 05:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x5fac11…
05-16 05:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x9c5e73…
05-16 04:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x54dcc0…
05-16 03:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0xdc7868…
05-16 03:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x139ac1…
05-16 03:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x61e6af…
05-16 03:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x21c4ac…
05-16 03:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0xb13c13…
05-16 03:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x95074f…
05-16 02:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	98	38¢	$37	0x3c2293…
05-16 02:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x309dfa…
05-16 02:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xcdc327…
05-16 01:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x2f27fc…
05-16 01:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x312aa3…
05-16 01:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x135aee…
05-16 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xf5eb0f…
05-16 00:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0x13d56d…
05-16 00:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x11d935…
05-16 00:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x14ad89…
05-15 23:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x600203…
05-15 23:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x5407f9…
05-15 23:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x76a3ac…
05-15 22:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0x5a355d…
05-15 22:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x191e35…
05-15 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0x9b6198…
05-15 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xaf985e…
05-15 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xcaacd6…
05-15 20:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x2f61a6…
05-15 20:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x659750…
05-15 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	68	55¢	$37	0x12726b…
05-15 19:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x8ded29…
05-15 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x9dd91f…
05-15 18:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$1	0x7424bb…
05-15 18:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x7540f9…
05-15 18:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x7adb21…
05-15 17:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x3a55a3…
05-15 16:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x621be8…
05-15 16:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0f151a…
05-15 15:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	72	52¢	$37	0xc6c441…
05-15 15:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x7d0232…
05-15 15:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x0d4f19…
05-15 15:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0x6169ff…
05-15 14:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0x29b245…
05-15 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x766927…
05-15 14:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xb1621e…
05-15 13:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x469e10…
05-15 13:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe24ce0…
05-15 12:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x3ed1c5…
05-15 12:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xba982b…
05-15 10:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xd923d2…
05-15 09:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xbce42e…
05-15 09:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x1db04f…
05-15 09:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x3c68fe…
05-15 09:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x7e210c…
05-15 09:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x6bdedd…
05-15 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x5030d9…
05-15 07:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5084eb…
05-15 07:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x7b01e7…