Strident-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-02 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$0

Politics

40% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$93	93	0	+93	open	—	02-13 03:48
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$93	93	0	+93	open	—	02-16 23:48
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	02-14 17:57
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-16 03:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$83	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-13 13:08
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	25	$42	633	633	+0	open	—	02-12 16:04
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	4	$36	1,977	1,977	+0	open	—	02-17 14:03
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-12 11:49
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-11 12:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-10 13:30
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-07 12:41
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-09 08:41
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-05 23:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-03 12:59
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 10:00
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-31 13:50
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-28 07:34
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-27 12:58
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-26 04:19
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-25 08:04
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-24 12:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 12:34
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-22 12:01
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 14:45
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-20 14:20
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-19 14:28
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-15 17:55
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-16 10:01
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-23 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9406c4…
06-28 12:56:44	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5ac241…
06-25 09:03:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x541040…
06-21 10:30:35	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50c9ad…
06-14 09:49:15	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdde8ef…
06-12 10:10:21	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5c9d22…
06-11 05:56:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x85729c…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd40fa5…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x07bd37…
05-30 07:59:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2eacd7…
05-28 01:20:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d3242…
05-27 13:50:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x61a1c2…
05-22 13:47:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x891f43…
05-21 10:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x710935…
05-20 14:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd9480d…
05-15 13:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0b4ab3…
05-14 10:39:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd7b2ad…
05-11 12:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6563bb…
05-10 13:58:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x55c403…
05-07 13:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x559c6d…
05-04 13:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7adb9f…
05-04 12:58:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3a336c…
05-03 13:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x933ca0…
04-27 13:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb18a0a…
04-23 11:56:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd28284…
04-22 14:21:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xa0b48e…
04-19 12:57:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x228cd0…
04-17 15:25:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49d289…
04-16 12:54:12	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd9a79f…
04-15 08:41:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb03051…
04-15 08:40:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c4152…
04-15 08:40:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa636a0…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcee92e…
04-13 13:04:07	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ad92e…
04-12 11:49:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3ef192…
04-11 12:01:03	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbad4a9…
04-10 13:30:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcc280d…
04-09 08:41:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x49f4cf…
04-07 12:41:55	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x78da1d…
04-05 23:19:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xee0ef0…
04-03 12:59:45	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6b015d…
04-01 10:00:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe269d4…
03-31 13:50:39	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfd1a8c…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xff7116…
03-28 07:34:23	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x32287b…
03-27 12:58:15	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ee1df…
03-26 04:19:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x6ad9ef…
03-25 08:04:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf83295…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 12:34:01	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x67b488…
03-22 12:01:21	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e2053…
03-21 14:45:09	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d237a…
03-20 14:20:01	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c24f3…
03-19 14:28:49	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xae6ec1…
03-18 02:54:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2ef5eb…
03-17 10:15:59	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x59fcba…
03-16 10:01:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x793052…
03-15 17:55:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa02b1e…
03-13 00:13:17	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x6a9e9b…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9e3930…
03-01 15:58:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x9c5a27…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd7c4a2…
02-23 04:34:52	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x143d25…
02-22 03:29:42	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2521fe…
02-21 03:41:32	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf523a7…
02-17 14:03:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	SELL	1,977	1¢	$18	0xaa4cf5…
02-17 13:56:47	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	535	1¢	$5	0xe7f593…
02-17 13:56:41	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x807e8b…
02-17 13:56:29	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	Yes	BUY	1,418	1¢	$13	0x1695e1…
02-16 23:48:15	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x2dfaba…
02-16 03:39:19	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x41b049…
02-14 17:57:57	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd93931…
02-13 13:08:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,020	4¢	$39	0xfcf569…
02-13 10:26:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,020	4¢	$44	0x28b618…
02-13 03:48:43	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x804ee9…
02-12 16:04:21	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	182	4¢	$7	0x582fc2…
02-12 16:03:23	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xb22d79…
02-12 16:03:11	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x35ad2d…
02-12 16:03:11	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x246e84…
02-12 16:03:09	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x8d21f9…
02-12 16:02:05	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0xf3a366…
02-12 16:01:43	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x4b014b…
02-12 16:01:07	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x93a868…
02-12 16:00:53	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6ca4f3…
02-12 15:58:43	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xead425…
02-12 15:56:01	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xc715f5…
02-12 15:55:55	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x126a45…
02-12 15:55:55	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x045a72…
02-12 15:55:39	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0xb4e7d7…
02-12 15:55:27	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x3deec4…
02-12 15:53:51	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x06aaff…
02-12 15:53:47	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xaa03d6…
02-12 15:52:25	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xf3485f…
02-12 15:49:19	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$6	0x2450de…
02-12 15:48:57	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x66a53e…
02-12 15:48:55	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xfe48ab…
02-12 15:47:51	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb3536f…
02-12 15:37:35	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xb0c784…
02-12 15:35:57	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xba1a77…
02-12 15:35:53	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x6f6145…