Judicious-Arithmetic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

1,812

Trades

2,089

lifetime

Volume

$8.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-26 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 50% +$39

Other

48% 12% -$186

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?	4	$182	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	06-27 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 30?	7	$170	104	80	+24	No	-$3	04-30 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	6	$154	140	140	+0	No	+$2	04-30 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 29?	8	$144	74	74	+0	No	+$1	04-29 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 1?	4	$101	52	52	+0	No	-$1	04-30 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 30?	6	$100	52	52	+0	No	$0	04-30 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?	6	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$5	06-29 02:36
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 28?	5	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	06-28 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?	3	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 04:47
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	2	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-30 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?	4	$86	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	06-30 05:09
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 28?	5	$86	67	67	+0	Yes	-$1	06-27 22:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	6	$82	92	92	+0	Yes	-$1	06-28 06:33
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?	2	$72	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 21:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?	2	$71	50	50	+0	No	-$8	06-25 09:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	$0	04-29 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 17?	3	$47	50	50	+0	Yes	+$43	07-17 07:41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?	2	$44	50	50	+0	No	-$27	06-27 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?	4	$35	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-28 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?	3	$31	43	43	+0	Yes	+$28	07-16 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?	2	$31	50	50	+0	No	-$7	06-29 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	05-09 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?	1	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	05-13 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 11?	1	$30	34	0	+34	No	+$4	05-11 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 13?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-13 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?	1	$30	37	0	+37	Yes	-$30	05-13 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?	1	$30	31	0	+31	Yes	-$30	05-13 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 7?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-07 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 13?	1	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	05-13 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 7?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	05-07 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x7fec17…
10-26 00:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x36026b…
10-26 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xef91e8…
10-26 00:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x871b62…
10-26 00:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xddcda9…
10-25 23:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf00452…
10-25 23:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x23cb6e…
10-25 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb5ecf2…
10-25 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x77bef2…
10-25 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x616ac3…
10-25 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5d771b…
10-25 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xcc3ca5…
10-25 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xb72fda…
10-25 23:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x711760…
10-25 22:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x1afee7…
10-25 22:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0c1dcc…
10-25 22:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x346a18…
10-25 21:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x0a43e7…
10-25 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x4d723a…
10-25 21:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x8af98d…
10-25 21:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x13506e…
10-25 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xc6e511…
10-25 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x80b307…
10-25 20:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xb5ef3a…
10-25 20:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	17¢	$2	0x2e5997…
10-25 20:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x3be0aa…
10-25 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8b0763…
10-25 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x3238da…
10-25 20:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x03430c…
10-25 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x74fcb9…
10-25 20:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x29f69e…
10-25 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xd9a89d…
10-25 20:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3c653b…
10-25 20:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x2835b2…
10-25 20:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xba9ab8…
10-25 19:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xe5a721…
10-25 19:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x2f19f8…
10-25 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x1bbd68…
10-25 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2ff062…
10-25 19:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x231794…
10-25 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x91a22a…
10-25 19:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xe737eb…
10-25 19:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x26bf21…
10-25 19:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1c3837…
10-25 18:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x6b0cee…
10-25 18:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa5da59…
10-25 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x754567…
10-25 18:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xd0d304…
10-25 18:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x4164e5…
10-25 18:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xba28d2…
10-25 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x51cf69…
10-25 18:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x78bec2…
10-25 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6a3ae8…
10-25 18:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x76589a…
10-25 18:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xeefcd4…
10-25 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb704b6…
10-25 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x59d909…
10-25 17:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x0b9e8b…
10-25 17:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xf6153e…
10-25 17:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x424361…
10-25 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x31877b…
10-25 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x97865c…
10-25 17:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xc6cd14…
10-25 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x91a64e…
10-25 17:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xd8f45c…
10-25 16:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x4b352b…
10-25 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x04a372…
10-25 16:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x3ec994…
10-25 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x4102b9…
10-25 16:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x3227fa…
10-25 16:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xb52a14…
10-25 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x837224…
10-25 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x05c86b…
10-25 15:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x2ffe02…
10-25 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xb68e0d…
10-25 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x87a214…
10-25 14:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x24565e…
10-25 14:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x697e83…
10-25 14:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x17a1da…
10-25 14:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x38dff6…
10-25 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x27905d…
10-25 13:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbd9ad2…
10-25 13:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf41bb9…
10-25 13:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xfd27f5…
10-25 13:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb6bb85…
10-25 12:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x1a67e8…
10-25 12:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xefd845…
10-25 12:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x41790d…
10-25 12:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4b6a4a…
10-25 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x06beab…
10-25 11:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x1dd77e…
10-25 11:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xaa2c36…
10-25 11:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x691cd1…
10-25 11:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xfa8a9b…
10-25 11:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xad19a1…
10-25 10:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x04a53d…
10-25 10:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x66dd35…
10-25 10:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x8169f2…
10-25 10:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x5bae12…
10-25 10:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x76342f…