Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$122
$506 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,318
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 00:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $51 | $27 | +$25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 6 | $9 | $1 | +$8 |
| Below median | 11 | $25 | $13 | +$12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $24 | $23 |
| unranked | 4 | $7 | $8 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +53 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Secret-Artery 0x815b…a1c7 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 22:16 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-12 21:07 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 08:35 |
| Crooked-Dancer 0x11c9…232c | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e9e…0a9a | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 18:38 |
| Free-Aside 0x5ae4…994b | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:47 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 21:05 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-12 18:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7918…2680 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 19:24 |
| Petty-Task 0x5426…6c6c | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 01:23 |
| Oval-Island 0x9e7e…f3a1 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:51 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 21:07 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:13 |
| Gargantuan-Skunk 0xa1d9…5e99 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 18:21 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:01 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:01 |
| Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Elegant-Chemistry-Prosecution 0x30a6…b27a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:37 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:16:41 | Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x09ceff… |
| 05-12 22:16:42 | Secret-Artery 0x815b…a1c7 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xbdee40… |
| 05-12 21:13:00 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa4c974… |
| 05-12 21:07:57 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x1d0948… |
| 05-12 21:07:55 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xc935d1… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xa93b98… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x81af9f… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xb7ca1c… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xa66ebc… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xd0c56a… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xa3871c… |
| 05-12 21:05:42 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x10d258… |
| 05-12 20:37:44 | Elegant-Chemistry-Prosecution 0x30a6…b27a | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xb3a397… |
| 05-12 20:11:29 | Oddball-Pomelo 0xe5b3…e05e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x78280d… |
| 05-12 19:47:27 | Free-Aside 0x5ae4…994b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xe97f06… |
| 05-12 18:41:25 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0xd3da82… |
| 05-12 18:21:31 | Gargantuan-Skunk 0xa1d9…5e99 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd34b35… |
| 05-12 18:01:27 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x48a3c6… |
| 05-12 17:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xfb72be… |
| 05-12 14:02:52 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x607cd7… |
| 05-12 09:52:37 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xa4f8ae… |
| 05-12 06:51:19 | Oval-Island 0x9e7e…f3a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xaa1768… |
| 05-12 06:01:02 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xcfa3ef… |
| 05-12 01:23:19 | Petty-Task 0x5426…6c6c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x2ef34f… |
| 05-12 00:08:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x710394… |
| 05-12 00:08:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x817332… |
| 05-12 00:08:23 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 30¢ | $16 | 0xa30972… |
| 05-11 19:24:27 | (anonymous) 0x7918…2680 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x38fb85… |
| 05-11 18:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x5e9e…0a9a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x62f19e… |
| 05-11 16:50:08 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x472f51… |
| 05-11 15:17:14 | Crooked-Dancer 0x11c9…232c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf13221… |
| 05-11 08:35:26 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xf3d76b… |