(anonymous) 0xbce6c2…3ad1b0 Create alert
new 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
39
lifetime
Volume
$159
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$135
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-10
last 11-13 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% 0% -$9
Tech
36% — —
Politics
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +79 $40 49¢ $39 -$1 11-11 08:42
Next US president 45+ years old at inauguration? Yes +67 $30 44¢ $30 $0 11-11 08:11
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +29 $10 22¢ $6 -$4 11-11 07:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +7 $5 85¢ $6 +$1 11-10 01:34
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 11-10 01:27
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 11-11 08:41
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $0 11-11 08:22
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +7 $5 64¢ $5 $0 11-11 08:33
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +7 $3 57¢ $4 +$1 11-11 08:30
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? No +4 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 11-11 08:13
Will Congress override 0 Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027? No +6 $3 52¢ $3 $0 11-11 08:14
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $0 11-11 08:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +16 $3 18¢ $3 $0 11-13 11:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +4 $2 56¢ $2 +$1 11-10 02:14
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +4 $2 54¢ $2 $0 11-11 07:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-11 07:05
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:32
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 11-11 06:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:23
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:18
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:24
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:21
Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 11-11 06:57
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $0 11-11 07:23
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:34
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $1 73¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:30
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:17
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 64¢ $1 $0 11-11 08:21