Murky-Place — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$38.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$163

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-15 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$8

Politics

48% 100% +$65

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	13	$5.1K	2,548	2,548	+0	open	—	03-15 02:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	22	$3.0K	1,580	1,580	+0	Yes	+$4	04-20 04:15
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	25	$2.9K	1,503	1,503	+0	No	+$5	03-20 13:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$2.7K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	03-13 02:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.7K	1,373	1,373	+0	open	—	03-12 11:33
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$2.5K	1,277	1,277	+0	open	—	03-14 08:07
us strikes iraq by march 7	2	$1.7K	855	844	+11	open	—	03-11 01:49
will the dhs shutdown end between march 8 11 2026	3	$1.3K	627	627	+0	open	—	03-11 21:23
will trump say good looking during womens history month event	2	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	open	—	03-13 02:37
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	03-11 01:40
will trump say supreme court during kentucky visit	4	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-12 02:37
will gas hit high 3pt50 by march 31	1	$851	856	0	+856	open	—	03-10 10:35
will trump say job 25 times during womens history month event	3	$849	852	0	+852	open	—	03-13 04:41
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	1	$728	728	0	+728	open	—	03-11 08:17
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	1	$723	728	0	+728	open	—	03-11 04:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$662	560	430	+130	open	—	03-02 14:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$530	271	271	+0	open	—	05-12 14:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$505	256	256	+0	open	—	04-16 17:25
will trump say biden during womens history month event	2	$499	500	0	+500	open	—	03-13 04:42
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	1	$399	400	0	+400	open	—	02-25 03:39
will the dhs shutdown end between february 20 23 2026	2	$395	395	0	+395	open	—	02-23 21:26
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$368	194	194	+0	open	—	01-12 11:37
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	06-04 18:23
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$262	134	134	+0	open	—	05-04 08:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$257	133	133	+0	open	—	05-09 01:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$253	130	130	+0	open	—	04-19 11:29
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$246	131	131	+0	open	—	03-15 13:00
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	5	$242	124	120	+4	open	—	03-24 14:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$234	120	120	+0	open	—	04-12 01:51
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$214	108	108	+0	open	—	03-01 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 11:12:55	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x7a0370…
06-12 08:49:54	will trump visit pakistan by june 30	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x37512b…
06-12 08:49:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4e5822…
06-06 16:55:49	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4230a0…
06-05 09:48:16	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec1782…
06-04 21:16:24	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6774df…
06-04 18:23:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x176fde…
06-04 17:00:52	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x14ebca…
06-04 17:00:19	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43bc21…
06-03 22:03:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$158	0xe214aa…
06-01 04:41:00	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa82699…
05-14 06:46:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x371808…
05-14 05:03:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdf8ef3…
05-14 05:03:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f4794…
05-14 05:00:49	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x281632…
05-12 14:06:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x4c8168…
05-12 14:02:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x12a38b…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0xb089bf…
05-10 03:24:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	136	98¢	$133	0xf4b0ac…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x898133…
05-09 01:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x95393b…
05-08 01:21:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	133	96¢	$128	0x824c51…
05-04 08:07:48	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0xcc9be2…
05-03 14:48:42	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	134	98¢	$131	0xdcfeba…
05-02 08:47:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xc09510…
04-30 12:09:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa1af37…
04-25 12:30:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xb8f951…
04-20 04:15:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0x195124…
04-20 03:51:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	95	94¢	$90	0xb9fd2c…
04-19 13:13:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x9fc397…
04-19 11:29:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0xb11173…
04-19 03:38:18	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0x5dfa78…
04-17 02:14:38	will mark rutte say oil or gas or gasoline during meeting with prime minister of czechia	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe9601a…
04-16 17:25:56	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x735233…
04-15 07:26:42	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$127	0x5feac2…
04-14 13:18:43	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0x91236c…
04-13 15:03:45	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x34a7d1…
04-12 01:51:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0x544d92…
04-11 12:56:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0x2a71c9…
04-10 14:05:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3e7f40…
04-10 12:35:51	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x836cb0…
04-09 05:58:23	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	69	100¢	$68	0x75f177…
04-09 05:57:45	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xab94f7…
04-09 04:02:01	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x79c49c…
04-09 04:01:27	will jd vance say crazy during meetings with orbn	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xc162da…
04-08 09:04:09	highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 20c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdb0c37…
04-07 03:46:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x20ba84…
04-06 05:05:05	will trump post elon musk on truth social this week	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xca698a…
03-30 02:37:24	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa1a9bf…
03-29 14:04:46	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbc68b1…
03-29 14:03:54	will underdog be said at the rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb42bf4…
03-26 03:06:05	will trump say job 15 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2becc1…
03-26 03:05:39	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x859928…
03-26 03:05:05	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x13f003…
03-26 03:04:21	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x114caa…
03-25 09:34:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xee4a9d…
03-24 14:19:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x7ecedb…
03-24 14:13:33	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3fea9c…
03-24 14:13:05	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2315d7…
03-24 14:12:05	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe7cbc6…
03-24 14:11:35	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8a7c74…
03-24 14:10:55	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfcf5a8…
03-24 14:10:47	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdb6105…
03-24 14:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4183d6…
03-22 15:01:03	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xad03a1…
03-20 13:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf48ace…
03-20 13:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc5d672…
03-20 13:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5712da…
03-20 13:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x237582…
03-20 13:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1e242f…
03-20 12:45:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x8aa0ea…
03-19 16:00:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xb36172…
03-15 13:00:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	131	94¢	$123	0x02a599…
03-15 03:02:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	131	94¢	$123	0xf2c39d…
03-15 02:04:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,275	100¢	$1,271	0x73f05f…
03-14 19:19:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0x2b4ae3…
03-14 19:18:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xe864a8…
03-14 13:59:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,275	100¢	$1,271	0x7bc1b9…
03-14 13:31:25	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,273	100¢	$1,270	0x52e1f4…
03-14 08:13:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80abcb…
03-14 08:13:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x5ffcb4…
03-14 08:13:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4895bc…
03-14 08:12:59	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xbf6ce5…
03-14 08:12:59	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xac56f9…
03-14 08:12:59	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x7cefea…
03-14 08:12:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed3f0a…
03-14 08:12:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd185dc…
03-14 08:12:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc55b06…
03-14 08:12:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x658d9b…
03-14 08:07:55	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x47c63b…
03-14 07:33:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	1,025	100¢	$1,022	0xf30eeb…
03-14 07:28:15	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x92fa0c…
03-14 04:12:03	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	1,277	100¢	$1,275	0x4ddecf…
03-14 04:11:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1,335	95¢	$1,266	0xb3a39d…
03-13 09:05:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	145	95¢	$137	0x14378b…
03-13 09:04:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc9e792…
03-13 09:03:09	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xda35b6…
03-13 09:00:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x88adf8…
03-13 09:00:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x872eed…
03-13 09:00:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x713604…