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Realized P&L (7d)
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (7d)
12
Trades (7d)
25
268 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$283
$2.49K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$181
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 11-10 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
78% 15% -$664
Politics
15% 33% +$41
Crypto
4% 33% -$21
Sports
3% 17% -$27
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? Yes +32 $20 82¢ $26 +$6 11-09 22:32
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? Yes +44 $15 41¢ $18 +$3 11-09 22:25
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? Yes +34 $20 53¢ $18 -$2 11-09 22:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +20 $10 80¢ $16 +$6 11-05 18:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? Yes +28 $15 55¢ $15 +$0 11-10 22:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +132 $10 10¢ $13 +$3 11-01 21:49
Will fewer than 215 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? Yes +43 $10 30¢ $13 +$3 11-10 22:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21 $10 60¢ $13 +$3 11-04 00:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? Yes +31 $10 32¢ $10 +$0 11-10 22:13
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 11-09 22:18
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +9 $5 99¢ $9 +$4 11-01 21:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +37 $10 24¢ $9 -$1 11-10 22:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +37 $10 18¢ $6 -$4 11-09 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026? Yes +26 $10 16¢ $4 -$6 11-09 22:21