Ideal-Friction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.39K

Unrealized P&L

+$95

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

555

1,020 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$46.5K

$71.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$189

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-12 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$1,742

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?	Down		+196	$94	96¢	$189	+$95	11-12 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	11	$7.7K	62,288	10,788	+51,500	Up	+$6,757	10-06 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?	24	$3.2K	12,909	2,587	+10,322	Down	+$919	09-08 16:01
bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	8	$2.5K	2,077	2,077	+0	Down	+$587	06-25 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	31	$2.3K	3,087	3,107	-20	Down	-$130	09-10 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	22	$2.0K	1,368	1,368	+0	Up	+$612	11-01 15:42
bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	9	$1.9K	2,588	1,588	+1,000	Down	+$136	08-28 14:02
bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026	12	$1.7K	1,534	1,534	+0	Up	+$359	07-25 15:32
bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	12	$1.6K	1,237	1,237	+0	Up	+$465	07-01 13:46
bitcoin up or down on september 4 2026	17	$1.5K	1,769	1,370	+399	Down	-$197	09-04 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	30	$1.4K	1,062	1,062	+0	Down	+$377	09-01 13:02
bitcoin up or down on august 31 2026	16	$1.3K	3,787	2,388	+1,399	Down	-$294	08-31 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?	26	$1.2K	833	833	+0	Down	+$366	09-02 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?	7	$1.2K	788	788	+0	Down	+$388	10-03 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	9	$1.2K	2,895	0	+2,895	Down	+$420	09-07 09:52
bitcoin up or down on september 13 2026	6	$1.2K	788	788	+0	Down	+$380	09-13 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	14	$1.2K	4,078	0	+4,078	Up	+$415	09-03 09:13
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	6	$956	1,078	1,078	+0	Up	+$78	06-21 14:27
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	7	$893	705	705	+0	Down	+$320	06-29 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	10	$872	788	788	+0	Down	+$74	11-08 16:53
bitcoin up or down on july 15 2026	10	$852	1,699	1,499	+200	Up	-$145	07-15 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	4	$795	1,588	0	+1,588	Down	-$795	11-04 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 26 2026	7	$793	777	777	+0	Up	+$451	06-26 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	7	$792	1,604	0	+1,604	Up	-$792	09-10 15:59
bitcoin up or down on july 12 2026	22	$738	637	637	+0	Up	+$244	07-12 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	16	$728	1,447	0	+1,447	Down	-$728	11-11 17:08
bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	6	$690	2,998	2,998	+0	Down	-$390	09-15 07:57
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	11	$649	999	999	+0	Up	+$150	06-27 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	6	$606	594	594	+0	Down	+$148	05-12 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	7	$602	479	479	+0	Down	+$241	05-22 20:44
bitcoin up or down on july 4 2026	3	$585	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	-$585	07-03 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?	Down	BUY	196	48¢	$94	0x32ad51…
11-11 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x79a0e0…
11-11 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x2423da…
11-11 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xe0845c…
11-11 17:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x9dba5f…
11-11 17:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd82d12…
11-11 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xc82833…
11-11 17:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xdcadbc…
11-11 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xaf2bc4…
11-11 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x95a4c6…
11-11 17:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xd62c42…
11-11 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x84a131…
11-11 17:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8535b6…
11-11 17:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x643515…
11-11 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x6127e6…
11-11 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	192	51¢	$98	0x29b27e…
11-11 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 12?	Up	BUY	659	50¢	$330	0xd5612f…
11-08 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x7b6789…
11-08 17:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf2e359…
11-08 17:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6bbf56…
11-08 17:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x7ea2a0…
11-08 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8ea454…
11-08 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x0b41b5…
11-08 17:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xbbf900…
11-08 17:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x774164…
11-08 17:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x516280…
11-08 17:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xb99a41…
11-08 17:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x534ad3…
11-08 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x06a7ad…
11-08 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	127	51¢	$65	0x5e38de…
11-08 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x0e3e30…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0xb7d823…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	342	60¢	$205	0xa365a4…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	260	60¢	$156	0x98d876…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x7c28db…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x662760…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x240fe9…
11-08 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x119abe…
11-08 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x23f974…
11-07 17:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x4b0795…
11-07 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	192	51¢	$99	0xdff547…
11-07 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 8?	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x86d9c2…
11-04 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0xddf963…
11-04 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x6cf98f…
11-04 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	192	50¢	$97	0x1ae2e7…
11-04 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x3b99e8…
11-03 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdc470c…
11-03 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	147	50¢	$73	0xc724c9…
11-03 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9372de…
11-03 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2cecf0…
11-03 18:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf3e094…
11-03 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x66c28c…
11-03 18:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa2d176…
11-03 18:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x82c3fb…
11-03 18:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x60006d…
11-03 18:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaa03c3…
11-03 18:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52e618…
11-03 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd70fba…
11-03 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa0abfa…
11-03 18:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x05311f…
11-03 18:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x177666…
11-03 18:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x627bc5…
11-03 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	192	51¢	$98	0x7a0678…
11-03 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x712fbc…
11-03 13:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	39	50¢	$20	0x38762f…
11-03 13:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x580ac7…
11-03 13:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x96725a…
11-03 13:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x17f38c…
11-03 13:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xefa054…
11-03 13:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd541fe…
11-03 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xeb6040…
11-03 13:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x2036d9…
11-03 12:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b0b42…
11-03 12:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7aa38…
11-03 12:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd157c…
11-03 12:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x9bc905…
11-03 12:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x79436a…
11-02 17:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9e0add…
11-02 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8c49f6…
11-02 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x7d5277…
11-02 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	192	51¢	$98	0x07c326…
11-02 16:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2203e4…
11-01 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	SELL	1,363	95¢	$1,297	0x3cf9e0…
11-01 15:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x58f330…
10-31 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb329dc…
10-31 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xbef3bb…
10-31 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0dfc6c…
10-31 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8320a8…
10-31 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xcabd4a…
10-31 19:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x213b2b…
10-31 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xac0428…
10-31 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0x951409…
10-31 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8dd34a…
10-31 19:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd651e2…
10-31 19:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x2372b9…
10-31 16:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0x9b9a84…
10-31 16:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd0b069…
10-31 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	139	52¢	$72	0x54511a…
10-31 16:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xfa29ed…
10-31 16:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd47a57…