Radiant-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

48.7%

Resolved

2,072

Trades

5,197

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$86

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-04 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 22% -$1,428

Other

13% 11% -$1,274

Politics

2% 0% -$187

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,744	$96	3¢	$86	-$10	11-04 11:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 6	40	$2.4K	6,090	6,090	+0	Up	+$1,259	02-06 16:46
bitcoin up or down february 23 9am et	55	$1.6K	1,470	1,120	+350	Down	+$70	02-23 14:57
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	44	$1.4K	6,465	0	+6,465	No	-$1,354	02-07 07:06
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	48	$664	2,925	995	+1,930	Up	-$167	03-09 00:37
bitcoin up or down february 23 8am et	27	$638	550	550	+0	Down	+$418	02-23 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:30 UTC	18	$420	1,040	300	+740	Up	-$30	02-23 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:00 UTC	24	$393	300	300	+0	Up	+$183	02-23 15:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	25	$312	46,530	10,500	+36,030	Yes	-$186	03-18 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC	18	$259	200	200	+0	Down	+$121	02-23 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	13	$234	157	157	+0	Up	+$77	06-15 21:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC	8	$178	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	-$178	02-23 16:00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$162	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$3	07-05 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:15 UTC	27	$161	2,220	20	+2,200	Down	-$139	02-23 17:19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	2	$152	114	114	+0	Yes	+$52	07-01 02:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:00 UTC	25	$150	623	0	+623	Up	-$150	02-23 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	18	$149	5,722	200	+5,522	Up	-$133	03-09 00:12
bitcoin up or down february 23 11am et	152	$145	1,500	0	+1,500	Down	-$145	02-23 16:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$140	164	164	+0	Yes	+$41	07-14 19:32
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	2	$123	100	100	+0	Over	+$77	07-03 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	12	$119	80	80	+0	Up	+$39	06-15 21:19
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$108	80	80	+0	Yes	+$50	07-03 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:15 UTC	19	$105	210	0	+210	Up	-$105	02-23 13:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$104	25,931	0	+25,931	Yes	-$104	06-17 17:56
Will the US strike Iran next?	6	$101	2,717	2,717	+0	No	-$79	01-29 23:28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	460	0	+460	No	-$100	07-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	8	$100	250	0	+250	Down	-$100	05-19 21:47
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$99	1,779	0	+1,779	England	-$99	07-18 23:01
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	5	$96	2,744	0	+2,744	open	—	11-04 11:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$96	32,000	0	+32,000	Yes	-$96	04-29 17:58
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$96	23,915	0	+23,915	Yes	-$96	01-28 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 11:46:25	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,363	3¢	$46	0x5ec500…
11-04 11:46:09	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x28e30f…
11-04 05:06:16	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	552	3¢	$19	0xfe21ae…
11-04 03:29:30	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	4¢	$25	0xd45fcd…
11-04 03:03:46	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x6ca9e1…
09-16 11:13:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$1	0x2ccf8c…
09-04 11:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xf398b5…
09-04 11:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc392ac…
09-04 11:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x658466…
09-04 11:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf893a4…
09-04 11:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb768a8…
09-04 11:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xc5a8a0…
09-04 11:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x82fa7d…
09-04 11:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x4a2873…
09-04 11:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x0cae10…
09-04 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f2945…
09-04 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x5737ed…
09-04 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2959be…
09-04 11:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x382836…
09-04 11:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x2c57c7…
09-04 11:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7082a6…
09-04 11:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x4bb77f…
09-04 11:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x267356…
09-04 11:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7a703b…
09-04 10:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x005dab…
09-04 10:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x28cf4b…
09-04 10:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd45a0a…
09-04 10:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xb62810…
09-04 10:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe74f7a…
09-04 10:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x78ad10…
09-04 10:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe45446…
09-04 10:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa2950f…
09-04 10:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x7e100c…
09-04 10:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x38fbd3…
09-04 10:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x74fda9…
09-04 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xef5c71…
09-04 10:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x536749…
09-04 10:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0a674a…
09-04 10:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x78fcea…
09-04 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x6a096d…
09-04 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x41c037…
09-04 10:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xbc1c8f…
09-04 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x654cef…
09-04 10:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb69c25…
09-04 09:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8aa916…
09-04 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xba8362…
09-04 09:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6a085e…
09-04 09:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x29909b…
09-04 09:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x14553c…
09-04 09:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbb9cd8…
09-04 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x824b66…
09-04 09:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8cd237…
09-04 09:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x73b8c4…
09-04 09:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x259be9…
09-04 09:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5fb818…
09-04 09:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4c82e1…
09-04 09:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf36f76…
09-04 09:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd8daf…
09-04 09:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5fa5cd…
09-04 09:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x724a00…
09-04 09:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x378266…
09-04 09:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ae0ff…
09-04 09:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x9f1f3c…
09-04 09:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7679b4…
08-23 06:48:21	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xcbe276…
08-23 03:57:21	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x16011a…
08-23 02:46:49	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x06ae95…
08-22 04:36:40	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x025760…
08-22 04:33:46	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	87	10¢	$9	0x4d7b96…
08-22 04:33:45	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xf0f884…
08-21 18:33:42	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x135c6d…
08-21 18:25:49	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x09094b…
08-21 18:25:46	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc34071…
08-21 18:25:45	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xe0135a…
08-21 17:09:33	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7a8a37…
08-21 16:51:39	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xb3c2b5…
08-21 15:55:13	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x23d0e8…
08-21 15:06:03	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x89575c…
08-21 03:02:42	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x8a1bf9…
08-21 03:02:10	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game1	BoomBoys	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xd48bc0…
08-21 03:01:16	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x75cfb4…
08-20 12:34:21	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xef89a0…
08-20 12:25:42	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x7e3156…
08-20 12:25:36	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x5ec848…
08-20 11:43:09	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5b56e5…
08-20 11:26:19	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xeecf6c…
08-20 11:21:00	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xaa3dc4…
08-20 11:01:15	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x265aad…
08-20 04:51:13	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game2	Iron Wing	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x39a97d…
08-20 03:55:00	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game1	Team Spirit	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x567763…
08-20 03:34:45	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x7639dd…
08-16 02:51:07	dota2 flc vg 2026 08 15 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x35c10c…
08-15 15:43:45	dota2 ngx ts8 2026 08 15 game2	Team Spirit	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x570e90…
08-15 12:48:28	dota2 boombo flc 2026 08 15 game2	Team Falcons	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb4b2cd…
08-15 12:18:42	dota2 lgd vg 2026 08 15 game2	Vici Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd6e2d5…
08-15 11:41:16	dota2 boombo flc 2026 08 15 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd17454…
08-15 11:29:19	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 08 15 game2	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9bbad…
08-15 11:24:45	dota2 og gl 2026 08 15 game2	OG	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x65656c…
08-15 10:53:00	dota2 lgd vg 2026 08 15 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x371d04…
08-15 10:25:07	dota2 og gl 2026 08 15 game1	OG	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x550100…