Natural-Infiltration-Endpoint — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$31

$31 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	+4	$3	98¢	$4	+$1	05-14 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	No	+4	$3	55¢	$2	$-1	05-14 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	+6	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-14 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb5747f…
05-14 00:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf920b1…
05-14 00:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xba7621…
05-14 00:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x94fe5c…
05-13 23:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x139b39…
05-13 23:55:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb2b1f4…
05-13 23:54:29	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x01cf23…
05-13 18:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x38ba0e…
05-13 03:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa5d401…
05-12 01:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x96d451…
05-12 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x38b752…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 13?	1	$3	0	3	-3	Yes	$-0	05-13 23:54
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on May 13?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$-0	05-13 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	05-12 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 14?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 13?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	$-3	05-13 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 00:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 14?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 00:47
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-12 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	05-13 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?	1	$0	0	7	-7	open	—	05-13 23:56