Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

+$1.02K

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$3.42K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-04 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

53% 77% +$2,051

Other

38% 64% -$2,611

Sports

7% 100% +$286

Crypto

2% 100% +$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	+6,020	$1,445	46¢	$2.7K	+$1,294	11-04 01:31
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+5,240	$778	12¢	$629	-$149	07-10 23:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,157	$168	2¢	$47	-$121	08-28 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$960	06-14 21:11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.3K	1,429	1,429	+0	No	+$286	07-14 20:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$2.1K	1,795	1,795	+0	Yes	+$457	02-04 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	6	$2.0K	1,036	1,035	+2	Yes	+$35	03-31 14:53
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	2	$2.0K	1,087	1,087	+0	Yes	+$18	02-05 08:21
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	17	$2.0K	6,540	1,300	+5,240	open	—	07-10 23:19
Iran leadership change by May 31?	44	$1.8K	5,095	5,095	+0	No	+$342	04-23 18:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$1.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$736	06-14 21:06
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	35	$1.4K	6,020	0	+6,020	open	—	11-04 01:31
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	5	$1.4K	1,438	1,438	+0	Yes	+$177	02-25 12:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$1.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	07-13 12:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	9	$1.2K	930	930	+0	Yes	+$149	04-07 20:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	18	$1.0K	3,704	3,704	+0	No	-$996	07-17 07:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1.0K	9,100	0	+9,100	No	-$1,001	07-29 06:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,819	0	+1,819	No	+$819	08-09 18:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$980	2,800	2,800	+0	Yes	+$140	04-03 20:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$950	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$150	05-29 15:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$917	1,615	1,615	+0	No	+$116	04-13 22:20
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 29 april 4 2026 et	176	$807	21,245	0	+21,245	No	-$807	02-28 07:18
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	6	$744	837	0	+837	No	+$94	04-18 16:35
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	2	$646	0	3,229	-3,229	Yes	-$2,583	06-05 18:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$600	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-14 08:45
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?	3	$578	697	697	+0	No	+$258	06-21 10:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$403	560	0	+560	Yes	+$157	05-30 23:26
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	10	$339	707	707	+0	Yes	+$85	06-03 13:14
will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	3	$295	607	0	+607	Yes	+$312	06-15 00:51
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	1	$280	422	0	+422	Yes	+$142	02-04 22:43
bitcoin up or down on april 16 2026	16	$256	800	800	+0	Up	+$48	04-16 08:05
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	4	$196	1,563	46	+1,517	No	-$189	04-16 05:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$168	2,157	0	+2,157	open	—	08-28 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:31:57	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x63edc5…
11-04 01:31:54	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xb42bda…
11-03 15:54:04	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x88ad0d…
11-03 14:03:00	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xefcc9a…
10-31 23:47:19	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x52090f…
10-31 23:02:09	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb00eda…
10-31 22:51:40	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xdabb1c…
10-31 22:51:36	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x65a094…
10-31 22:21:18	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x962937…
10-31 22:21:18	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x2ead87…
10-30 18:01:45	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xda79af…
10-30 18:01:43	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3d6c30…
10-18 02:11:48	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x855ce0…
10-16 20:17:26	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xb04865…
10-06 12:06:24	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x888170…
10-04 21:16:46	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x64ba9e…
10-04 21:07:58	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x121d50…
10-04 14:15:53	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,346	24¢	$1,283	0x25d806…
10-04 04:16:25	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x4214a8…
10-04 01:11:40	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x507d75…
10-03 21:26:25	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf19d2d…
10-03 21:26:25	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xa7f2a7…
10-01 06:57:05	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfb456b…
10-01 06:50:00	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x35715a…
10-01 03:38:14	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x11704b…
09-29 03:05:27	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x54b602…
09-29 02:59:08	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd5d134…
09-29 02:59:08	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xbc5793…
09-29 02:59:08	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb8ba71…
09-29 02:54:12	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xe582b9…
09-29 02:54:11	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x01a73d…
09-29 02:54:06	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x956d28…
09-29 02:53:12	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb2ccac…
09-29 02:53:11	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x879b0c…
09-29 02:53:11	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x49d324…
08-28 17:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,733	8¢	$139	0xff1da5…
08-28 16:14:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	7¢	$30	0x7f873f…
08-09 18:08:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,819	55¢	$1,000	0x37b8cf…
07-29 06:02:02	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	9,100	11¢	$1,001	0xab35d6…
07-17 07:13:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	3,704	0¢	$4	0x409e31…
07-14 20:19:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,429	90¢	$1,286	0x930363…
07-13 12:00:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xa2bee9…
07-13 11:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	450	20¢	$90	0x8d9bc7…
07-13 11:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	307	20¢	$61	0x84c289…
07-13 11:59:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	450	20¢	$90	0x67a2bd…
07-12 03:59:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,343	20¢	$469	0xe88bbd…
07-12 03:46:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	20¢	$70	0x60b4da…
07-10 23:19:01	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	694	15¢	$104	0x61d633…
07-10 17:02:11	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x488297…
07-10 08:08:08	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x7f6858…
07-07 13:31:10	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x206166…
07-06 16:41:05	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xf80e06…
07-06 16:40:38	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x92ddda…
07-05 23:03:32	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x4490c3…
07-04 00:53:05	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xf66882…
07-02 18:46:40	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xbe4791…
07-02 06:16:29	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x397ad3…
07-02 04:53:52	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9420e0…
06-30 21:52:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,429	70¢	$1,000	0x9414c8…
06-26 17:59:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x24d138…
06-24 16:36:34	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	2,615	15¢	$392	0xe620d3…
06-24 16:34:08	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xf875c3…
06-24 16:30:19	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x2e1e9d…
06-21 10:45:02	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	SELL	697	60¢	$418	0x7296eb…
06-19 08:08:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	486	27¢	$131	0xa63fbf…
06-19 08:06:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	600	27¢	$162	0x51e78d…
06-19 07:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xf13f80…
06-19 07:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe8feda…
06-19 07:42:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xe84720…
06-19 07:42:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xc67406…
06-19 07:42:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x0c9532…
06-19 07:42:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x61cf3b…
06-19 07:39:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb718ff…
06-19 07:38:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xc87224…
06-19 07:34:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x4172d9…
06-19 07:34:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xc1df9e…
06-19 07:26:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	103	27¢	$28	0x453cee…
06-19 07:24:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xfe5f44…
06-19 07:17:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	113	27¢	$31	0x1dcaff…
06-19 07:14:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0x2a6b8f…
06-19 07:04:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	2,291	27¢	$619	0x308e1e…
06-16 19:39:01	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	BUY	238	25¢	$60	0x0f07a2…
06-15 00:51:19	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	539	49¢	$264	0xc33dfc…
06-14 23:46:28	Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	BUY	459	22¢	$100	0x7d7174…
06-14 23:42:55	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xb71e15…
06-14 23:40:48	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$8	0xcbd5f8…
06-14 21:11:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	1,643	88¢	$1,446	0xd438aa…
06-14 21:06:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,600	71¢	$1,136	0xcf686d…
06-14 08:45:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	4¢	$200	0x9ef543…
06-14 07:02:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,000	15¢	$600	0x05c932…
06-14 02:03:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	357	88¢	$314	0xb8b71a…
06-10 00:03:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	2,000	40¢	$800	0xdabd4d…
06-05 18:55:12	Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	SELL	2,644	20¢	$529	0xec0e7b…
06-05 15:48:03	Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	SELL	585	20¢	$117	0x270095…
06-03 15:13:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,600	25¢	$400	0x36e4ff…
06-03 13:14:10	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xd98271…
06-03 13:14:05	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x061fd4…
06-03 13:13:59	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0x2826b9…
06-03 13:13:40	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	177	30¢	$53	0xa37ff4…
05-30 23:26:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	547	72¢	$394	0x4e09e8…