Realized P&L
+$42
Unrealized P&L
+$377
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
102
Trades
369
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$1.98K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
52% 36% +$44
Politics
43% 56% -$27
Sports
4% 38% +$125
Pop-Culture
1% 20% -$102
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,189 $670 66¢ $779 +$109 10-26 16:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,222 $169 15¢ $189 +$20 10-04 09:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +144 $112 94¢ $135 +$22 05-11 11:55
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +218 $76 42¢ $92 +$16 10-26 16:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +284 $90 30¢ $87 -$3 10-16 18:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +116 $68 68¢ $80 +$12 10-04 09:54
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $35 28¢ $70 +$35 09-13 17:09
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +225 $81 30¢ $69 -$12 10-24 10:23
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +70 $53 96¢ $67 +$15 09-24 17:55
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +94 $46 62¢ $59 +$13 10-04 09:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +94 $55 52¢ $50 -$6 10-24 10:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +492 $25 9¢ $47 +$22 06-26 20:58
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +90 $34 45¢ $41 +$7 10-04 09:54
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +58 $40 68¢ $39 -$1 10-26 23:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +83 $25 46¢ $38 +$13 06-05 15:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +583 $55 6¢ $36 -$19 08-28 22:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -291 -$48 11¢ $-31 +$17 05-17 12:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +31 $24 80¢ $25 +$1 10-28 08:00
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +79 $15 26¢ $20 +$5 10-26 23:38
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +38 $18 46¢ $17 -$1 10-24 10:31
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +47 $6 14¢ $6 +$1 10-18 22:45
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -2,269 -$76 0¢ $-3 +$72 06-06 10:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +12 $5 27¢ $3 -$2 10-24 10:37
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -98 -$45 3¢ $-3 +$43 05-01 09:47