Masculine-Credibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,909

Trades

2,096

lifetime

Volume

$91.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-27 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$23

Sports

16% 100% +$15

Crypto

3% 98% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	—	+9	$9	98¢	$9	$0	10-27 21:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	4	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	4	$100	50	50	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-11 10:12
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	6	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	04-26 02:50
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	10	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
pll arc whp 2026 05 30	2	$100	50	50	+0	Maryland Whipsnakes	+$0	06-08 04:48
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	6	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:53
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1f199…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e78a6…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11bb00…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c78c8…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57f7b8…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe02c08…
10-24 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x60821b…
10-24 13:22:14	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xff0432…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef3880…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47eb96…
10-23 19:50:48	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb3ffcd…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x384cb7…
10-23 07:20:56	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc922b4…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa24959…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x969d17…
10-21 17:12:36	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x76e8f6…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ac6e9…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeba48f…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc891ef…
10-20 16:59:05	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb9dccd…
10-19 19:19:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7478c7…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c1a00…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4547b…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x123611…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa312fe…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9168e6…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4baac1…
10-17 13:14:08	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8df4b7…
10-15 20:32:42	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9de1b2…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd9bff7…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce38bc…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6fd5e9…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xafd3d0…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x212a2d…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b98dc…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b512d…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b47f4…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xca6e90…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc01e3…
10-12 09:06:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2d7a31…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbbed39…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf9f43b…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4175c0…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x96bced…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe507e2…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2a09d0…
10-10 23:31:49	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61262f…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x240579…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9bc0bb…
10-09 18:57:59	W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin	Amandine Monnot	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd41cad…
10-09 14:48:45	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58a15c…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd024ec…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeabdcd…
10-08 05:27:44	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8ec0e4…
10-07 22:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd9c0ca…
10-07 19:16:34	W35 Las Vegas, NV: Anastasia Kulikova vs Anastasia Abbagnato	Anastasia Abbagnato	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x859f7d…
10-07 14:01:44	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x890088…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x262c27…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc9f0d…
10-07 05:49:23	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x17992a…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d62bc…
10-06 20:36:56	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x29fa00…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x83733c…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2132f9…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x028475…
10-06 09:15:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexandre Muller	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaf4918…
10-06 06:16:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Qatar vs Thailand	Qatar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5397b0…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b64fe…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa53806…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x92db0a…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x315671…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x9883e4…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8ce15…
10-03 06:11:59	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1618a4…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5909e7…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04e871…
10-02 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7da923…
10-02 19:33:53	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b9a50…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x47761b…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xab9b8e…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7b29ce…
10-02 14:12:53	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1a5f5…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4dac9b…
10-02 13:03:30	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x926ec6…
10-02 06:25:14	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd55a8b…
10-01 23:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b80d…
10-01 22:24:59	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x494ed5…
10-01 21:20:53	Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70f620…
10-01 21:13:08	W100 Templeton, CA: Julieta Pareja vs Mary Stoiana	Julieta Pareja	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5183b…
10-01 21:09:03	Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Paris Basketball	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8a6165…
10-01 20:56:32	Columbus: Stefan Kozlov vs Mitchell Krueger	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe96f95…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x136500…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x77e20d…
10-01 19:47:03	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8436ec…
10-01 19:32:57	Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03ba33…
10-01 17:38:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	mellren	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd11c52…
10-01 17:28:57	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x507628…
10-01 17:21:29	Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B	Passion Academy	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x50546d…