Realized P&L (30d)
-$48
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved (30d)
215
Trades (30d)
513
1,281 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.21K
$16.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$59
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-27 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
39% 68% -$568
Crypto
29% 56% +$183
Politics
26% 68% -$158
Tech
6% 100% +$41
Sports
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +23 $16 55¢ $13 -$3 10-24 03:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$0 10-26 03:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -354 -$27 2¢ $-9 +$18 05-01 06:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +8 $4 91¢ $7 +$3 10-27 03:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +56 $5 11¢ $6 +$2 10-27 03:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +11 $4 39¢ $4 +$0 10-18 21:49
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -204 -$22 2¢ $-3 +$19 07-19 23:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +51 $25 6¢ $3 -$22 10-14 13:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -92 -$35 2¢ $-2 +$33 05-01 06:48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +21 $6 4¢ $1 -$5 09-30 16:48
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -25 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-01 06:17
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +150 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-28 08:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +8 -$1 8¢ $1 +$1 10-19 16:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-28 10:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-26 03:09