Realized P&L (90d)
-$128
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved (90d)
250
Trades (90d)
630
1,332 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.96K
$16.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$20
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 10-29 07:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
39% 67% -$593
Crypto
29% 56% +$184
Politics
25% 68% -$158
Tech
6% 100% +$41
Sports
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -354 -$27 3¢ $-10 +$17 05-01 06:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -204 -$22 2¢ $-3 +$19 07-19 23:35
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +296 $3 1¢ $3 +$0 10-29 07:05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -92 -$35 1¢ $-1 +$34 05-01 06:48
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +48 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-29 07:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -25 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-01 06:17
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +21 $6 2¢ $0 -$5 09-30 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-28 10:38
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +8 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 10-19 16:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +56 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 10-27 03:08