Glaring-Rocket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

113

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-17 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

66% 97% +$7

Politics

24% 100% +$35

Crypto

8% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No		+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	10-11 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$129	86	43	+43	No	+$0	09-07 16:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$91	92	47	+45	Yes	+$35	10-17 21:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$91	47	47	+0	No	+$4	10-01 00:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$78	45	36	+9	No	+$0	08-28 07:30
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	08-13 03:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	10-01 02:33
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	09-22 12:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	09-16 03:34
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	08-05 01:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	07-01 00:54
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-14 14:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-13 21:13
will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	06-30 13:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$1	08-09 14:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	08-21 02:01
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:05
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-30 16:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$23	38	38	+0	open	—	10-14 04:43
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	03-31 02:57
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-28 11:48
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-14 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	08-27 06:34
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	05-30 10:54
meta above 720 on february 27 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-24 19:26
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-27 09:06
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	3	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-21 14:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-11 10:10
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-29 17:42
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-13 13:47
Will Solana reach $150 in May?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-08 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 21:22:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0x5b4e79…
10-14 04:43:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0xdbbe8a…
10-13 11:05:44	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xef1da8…
10-12 06:11:38	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0x9c3a4d…
10-11 10:10:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd7e6e4…
10-05 14:55:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	47	86¢	$41	0x950b4b…
10-05 02:20:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x9e6082…
10-01 02:33:03	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb71936…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x6dc903…
09-24 17:45:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0x20bd01…
09-22 12:22:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xeb2316…
09-16 03:34:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x806aee…
09-14 14:30:36	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x450e93…
09-11 18:34:28	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x35e576…
09-07 16:53:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xbef49b…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xc72ac7…
09-06 13:20:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x536a70…
08-28 07:30:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9c5f5c…
08-27 12:07:04	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeae077…
08-27 09:06:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0db9c9…
08-27 06:34:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa89481…
08-26 16:40:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x5e27a4…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x940417…
08-22 22:37:58	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x06a9c4…
08-21 02:01:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x812cd9…
08-18 10:51:00	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ee537…
08-16 17:44:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2baa04…
08-15 19:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	211	0¢	$0	0xcf78c5…
08-15 19:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x418134…
08-15 19:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa20799…
08-15 19:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x708d35…
08-15 19:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xacbbf8…
08-15 19:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5ff088…
08-15 19:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc4cecc…
08-15 19:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xad88e3…
08-15 19:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6b5518…
08-15 19:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x683437…
08-15 19:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1b2b72…
08-15 19:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb4857b…
08-15 19:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7b6a0d…
08-15 19:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4f17b7…
08-14 14:33:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x73602c…
08-13 21:13:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x85b4a1…
08-13 03:12:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x0455a4…
08-12 02:34:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x631a74…
08-09 14:43:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x696fea…
08-09 06:15:27	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5465bd…
08-07 11:08:39	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x140393…
08-07 02:11:52	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe3836c…
08-05 01:16:32	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x132062…
07-31 19:51:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x30e92f…
07-30 16:42:48	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x884d29…
07-29 13:10:32	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf15f2…
07-28 11:38:53	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb4b77…
07-27 23:13:51	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xbd39b1…
07-26 14:53:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d135c…
07-25 20:41:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x148930…
07-24 15:47:06	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dd8e6…
07-24 12:32:42	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a4280…
07-24 08:35:18	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4164b…
07-23 13:38:57	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x603740…
07-22 23:19:54	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbe061…
07-17 19:16:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57625b…
07-06 07:23:59	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x39ad6d…
07-01 00:54:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xda473f…
06-30 13:24:56	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xe251f3…
06-28 09:31:14	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f18f3…
05-30 10:54:53	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3605f5…
05-29 17:42:16	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x433fa1…
05-13 13:47:31	Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x800ad7…
05-10 18:02:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc49e3e…
05-10 09:04:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfcb17a…
05-09 15:34:26	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x196148…
05-09 12:08:17	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74ab0c…
05-09 08:12:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2638c2…
05-08 23:00:07	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x116aed…
05-08 09:03:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa3275…
05-08 06:40:57	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf995ae…
05-07 14:31:16	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb35bea…
05-07 11:38:59	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfa541f…
05-05 22:44:48	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7f2ea9…
04-28 22:06:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7a08b9…
04-27 23:49:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73d984…
04-26 16:53:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9054df…
04-24 22:07:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x804e51…
04-23 11:57:12	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5981cc…
04-22 05:27:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6b332…
04-21 14:19:36	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x37f999…
04-19 17:59:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb3d04e…
04-18 12:48:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $120 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x020d4c…
04-16 11:39:34	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1f8b14…
04-16 05:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xba6775…
04-15 02:41:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x039db8…
04-14 11:17:23	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3a5f40…
04-13 19:06:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6c6d29…
04-05 11:59:13	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48e07d…
03-31 02:57:17	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x95365a…
03-30 14:03:09	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1808d…
03-29 01:06:50	will chainlink reach 14 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa58ced…
03-27 11:40:13	meta above 720 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85590c…