Empty-Anise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-09 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 100% +$0

Sports

35% 0% $-1

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

7% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+0	$0	94¢	$0	$-0	06-06 16:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	$-0	03-24 16:50
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$859	445	445	+0	open	—	04-01 02:38
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$796	409	409	+0	open	—	03-18 10:04
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$775	413	413	+0	open	—	03-29 06:27
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	6	$754	387	387	+0	open	—	03-25 10:54
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$747	384	384	+0	open	—	03-23 01:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$560	289	289	+0	open	—	04-06 13:13
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	4	$509	260	260	+0	open	—	04-13 16:34
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$421	217	217	+0	open	—	03-10 18:53
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$418	213	213	+0	No	+$0	03-12 12:10
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$414	213	213	+0	open	—	03-10 12:58
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$410	215	215	+0	open	—	03-15 08:22
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$408	209	209	+0	open	—	03-15 18:35
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$406	207	207	+0	open	—	03-16 22:24
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$397	205	205	+0	open	—	03-11 04:54
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$388	205	205	+0	open	—	03-15 13:06
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$387	199	199	+0	No	$-0	03-17 08:40
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$382	196	196	+0	open	—	03-21 11:21
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	3	$377	205	205	-0	open	—	03-25 19:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$377	192	192	+0	open	—	03-20 08:03
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$366	187	187	+0	open	—	03-26 08:52
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$364	186	186	+0	open	—	03-22 09:37
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$363	195	195	+0	open	—	03-22 17:25
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	8	$361	189	189	+0	open	—	03-29 20:58
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$355	182	182	+0	open	—	03-27 08:11
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$346	178	178	+0	open	—	03-30 05:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	4	$217	115	115	+0	open	—	05-14 14:54
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$216	112	112	+0	open	—	04-13 09:46
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$214	110	110	+0	open	—	03-27 21:10
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$197	103	103	+0	open	—	04-21 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:13:43	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x8fca64…
06-09 08:12:37	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfa1b90…
06-07 01:13:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x93f3c0…
06-06 17:08:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0x653331…
06-06 16:38:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x0b20ef…
06-06 12:36:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x7e84d5…
06-06 07:28:31	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x044077…
06-06 02:26:55	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x754ec5…
06-06 01:54:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x0a1191…
06-05 20:46:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x4f3341…
06-05 10:08:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x9b2f6e…
06-05 05:27:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$26	0x0db5e0…
06-05 05:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xcc89a6…
06-04 12:50:24	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x83f606…
06-04 05:46:46	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x172eb0…
05-26 08:37:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$49	0x696e7b…
05-26 03:34:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x51b395…
05-23 14:03:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$43	0x7d88ce…
05-23 07:58:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$43	0xf79a5a…
05-22 12:39:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd651e0…
05-19 10:33:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xd7bc38…
05-19 05:28:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x9b7c00…
05-19 00:23:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	84¢	$48	0x7e36dd…
05-18 17:18:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x670bdd…
05-14 14:54:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xb030a5…
05-14 10:49:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x4dd650…
05-09 12:35:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$51	0xf3aa68…
05-09 07:27:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$51	0x3a5c34…
05-06 10:10:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0x4862ae…
05-06 06:07:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x297e2b…
04-27 23:56:52	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x4d7e54…
04-27 18:53:22	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x08ba1a…
04-23 01:51:36	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x98d31e…
04-22 21:40:50	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f30c9…
04-22 21:35:52	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x26cf4c…
04-22 21:30:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdb8329…
04-22 21:01:40	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x0c2ca8…
04-21 06:23:52	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xcb2aae…
04-21 01:38:38	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xbda116…
04-20 23:04:38	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$40	0x2e5808…
04-20 12:13:44	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xab077b…
04-17 21:17:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$64	0xa449c6…
04-17 14:16:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xf6423b…
04-17 07:20:40	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xdc5bb7…
04-16 22:02:28	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x3d0cfc…
04-16 21:52:20	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9affec…
04-16 21:52:12	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0xd19d34…
04-16 03:27:48	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x4d2685…
04-15 20:34:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x4b6ab0…
04-15 20:34:18	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xcfebe6…
04-14 03:51:37	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x4b1220…
04-13 19:40:01	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x27f17f…
04-13 19:35:27	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xb3466e…
04-13 16:34:05	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x1cfbb7…
04-13 11:56:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x363853…
04-13 09:46:15	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x95dbab…
04-13 02:08:49	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xfa470f…
04-11 14:05:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xac68cf…
04-11 09:36:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x636ab6…
04-09 19:48:57	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xd37d54…
04-09 13:21:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xe509e4…
04-08 16:36:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x2c9666…
04-08 11:25:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x3a2dc8…
04-06 17:22:43	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x94ab95…
04-06 13:18:33	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x4c8771…
04-06 13:13:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$48	0x7557b5…
04-06 05:12:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$48	0x48d53b…
04-05 15:19:35	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xfe1d01…
04-05 11:12:19	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xfcebe0…
04-04 08:54:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x322cf5…
04-04 04:43:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x3b4de7…
04-03 21:08:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x3d4a7d…
04-03 15:07:01	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x725815…
04-02 16:32:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xe2047a…
04-02 11:06:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xed6daa…
04-02 09:46:13	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	97¢	$60	0x69b79a…
04-02 01:10:53	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xa63b1d…
04-01 02:38:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x730828…
03-31 18:05:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x7b4db3…
03-30 05:24:24	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	178	97¢	$172	0xc13516…
03-29 21:13:42	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	178	97¢	$174	0xc35d9e…
03-29 20:58:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	189	95¢	$180	0xef7315…
03-29 14:48:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xab4d02…
03-29 14:47:20	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x421991…
03-29 14:47:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x6b7ac0…
03-29 14:47:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x63f83a…
03-29 14:46:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x09ff78…
03-29 14:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xcbab47…
03-29 14:45:14	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xb00274…
03-29 06:27:18	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	198	92¢	$182	0x41e30f…
03-29 02:26:06	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	198	92¢	$182	0xa55409…
03-28 08:30:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	195	96¢	$188	0xb4ceb3…
03-28 01:29:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x9effb4…
03-28 01:27:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x611e41…
03-27 21:10:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xfc3b45…
03-27 12:52:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	110	97¢	$106	0xf1f9ef…
03-27 12:35:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	191	96¢	$184	0xd4264c…
03-27 08:27:19	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	191	97¢	$185	0xfc2988…
03-27 08:11:39	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	182	98¢	$178	0x879b49…
03-27 03:03:09	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	182	98¢	$177	0xf55e61…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	52	$366.7K	7,257	06-10 01:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	51	$77.5K	1,198	06-07 21:34
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	47	$6.39K	5,038	06-10 01:50
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	45	$412.2K	5,520	05-15 14:13
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	43	$131.5K	9,900	06-05 00:04
Wrathful-Treat 0xdc62…1eb3	42	$433.2K	11,280	06-05 07:40
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	42	$383.8K	10,993	05-26 11:55
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	42	$160.1K	1,618	06-08 11:00