Unaware-Inlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

249

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$780

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-24 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 25% -$79

Sports

26% 17% -$4

Other

10% 12% -$10

Politics

5% 20% -$2

Tech

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+10	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	08-21 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:15 UTC	2	$48	27	27	+0	Down	$0	06-11 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:00 UTC	1	$34	38	0	+38	Up	-$34	06-11 14:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	1	$32	34	0	+34	Up	+$2	06-11 13:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	1	$32	33	0	+33	Up	+$1	06-11 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:35 UTC	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	06-11 13:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	06-11 13:32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$1	05-19 22:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:00 UTC	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	06-11 13:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:15 UTC	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	06-11 13:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	06-30 17:14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$20	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-26 21:00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$19	54	54	+0	No	$0	05-26 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	16	$17	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	04-14 15:21
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$12	43	43	+0	No	$0	04-29 18:30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$12	53	53	+0	No	$0	04-29 17:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	8	$12	30	30	+0	open	—	05-26 16:30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$12	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-29 20:57
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$11	18	18	+0	No	$0	04-29 20:18
will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	2	$11	14	0	+14	Yes	+$3	06-21 18:46
pltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt35	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-03 12:38
Spurs vs. Thunder	10	$10	13	13	+0	Thunder	$0	05-26 16:39
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$8	77	77	+0	No	$0	05-26 09:52
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-17?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-17 15:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$6	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	04-08 20:20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-29 20:57
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 15:19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6	19	19	-0	Yes	$0	04-29 20:57
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$6	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-04 17:39
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 13:23
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$6	9	9	+0	No	$0	04-29 20:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 16:39:40	Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc30710…
08-24 16:39:33	Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x778b6b…
08-24 16:39:27	Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb5bc1e…
08-24 16:39:18	Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa4a946…
08-24 16:39:10	Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x472656…
08-24 14:10:37	Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x444e1a…
08-24 14:10:16	Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdac044…
08-24 14:10:00	Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe159e3…
08-24 14:09:52	Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xef4cd1…
08-24 14:09:43	Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa2f42d…
08-21 19:49:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa6c3f5…
08-03 12:38:20	pltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt35	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3b3df8…
07-16 20:37:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2bd025…
07-16 20:37:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xef30d2…
07-16 20:34:52	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xc1a45c…
07-02 20:02:08	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9b9009…
06-30 20:54:14	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2fed4…
06-30 20:41:29	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x837679…
06-30 17:14:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x08a87d…
06-23 12:28:55	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x08e9cc…
06-23 12:26:02	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x990f60…
06-21 18:46:29	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7ae05b…
06-20 15:49:50	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x67b013…
06-20 15:46:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf1a543…
06-17 15:02:46	Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-17?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xedbdc1…
06-17 14:25:31	Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe9dee3…
06-11 14:04:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x279cfa…
06-11 13:47:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x61ca81…
06-11 13:44:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x830c2a…
06-11 13:38:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x425384…
06-11 13:32:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x0e9d9a…
06-11 13:29:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xc7a326…
06-11 13:27:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xf53ea1…
06-11 13:27:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x059296…
06-11 13:11:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x60ae85…
06-05 01:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xba310d…
06-05 00:28:12	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x02a9f8…
06-05 00:12:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x657185…
06-04 23:48:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x84da2e…
06-04 23:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe4c528…
06-04 23:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf8f831…
06-04 21:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe5ba68…
06-04 21:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x34ace7…
06-04 21:08:15	BNB Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x760fb0…
06-04 21:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x29e220…
06-04 20:42:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb01965…
06-04 19:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x268cb5…
06-04 16:08:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x85e120…
06-04 16:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d54d3…
06-04 14:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf5fadb…
06-04 14:12:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0d310c…
06-04 13:58:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbf7fe7…
06-04 10:58:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7f6cc9…
06-04 10:58:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcc90a4…
06-04 09:47:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x19196c…
06-04 08:48:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x17fb64…
06-04 07:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0cb00c…
06-04 06:42:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4db33d…
06-04 05:02:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x349281…
06-04 04:58:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe7f13c…
06-04 04:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3acd7f…
06-04 03:02:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x588898…
06-04 03:02:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc313bc…
06-04 03:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d9601…
06-04 02:02:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc92de2…
06-04 02:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfafde7…
06-04 01:32:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9fa642…
06-03 23:38:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x878aa6…
06-03 23:38:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x95c08b…
06-03 21:07:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x61cd30…
06-03 21:07:06	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5e515c…
06-03 20:38:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6d0311…
06-03 20:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x48c20f…
06-03 20:22:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc4eba4…
06-03 20:22:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x654fc3…
06-03 20:12:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x80acb6…
06-03 20:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa68d68…
06-03 19:08:13	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1b6dd3…
06-03 18:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe6c7a6…
06-03 18:42:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e44d8…
06-03 18:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3bde4f…
06-03 18:38:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6d6306…
06-03 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7171a1…
06-03 17:12:37	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8139d1…
06-03 17:08:10	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd09565…
06-03 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xebd671…
06-03 15:18:13	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x02b70c…
06-03 15:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf13c8d…
06-03 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x15661c…
06-03 10:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe079da…
06-03 10:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc6d65b…
06-03 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe9babc…
06-03 09:18:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5c7aa…
06-03 07:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda2322…
06-03 07:12:14	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x12114f…
06-03 07:12:12	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x72c641…
06-03 06:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaae77f…
06-03 05:08:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd65a45…
06-03 04:58:13	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xde9044…
06-03 04:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb15464…