Speedy-Deck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

207

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$529

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-03 02:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

49% 3% -$2

Politics

26% 2% -$1

Crypto

12% 0% $0

Tech

8% 0% $0

Sports

4% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	14	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 02:37
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-16 07:59
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-06 01:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 07:38
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 09:16
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-26 03:26
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 02:13
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-10 07:39
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-21 08:23
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-31 03:35
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	03-30 02:01
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 02:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-18 01:16
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-25 01:48
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 02:49
will google have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-29 09:14
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 08:24
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 07:38
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 01:48
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-08 02:13
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	07-08 02:45
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-04 02:12
Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 02:55
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 02:37
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-06 01:49
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-20 02:12
will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 02:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:38
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 01:49
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	2	$2	1	1	-0	Yes	$0	06-01 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 02:50:12	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8d6e8a…
08-03 02:49:05	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x147f86…
08-03 02:34:42	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x231d36…
08-03 02:26:53	Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4d910…
08-01 09:39:50	Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ec2a3…
08-01 09:39:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x884cda…
08-01 09:34:11	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260728213423296	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39a702…
08-01 09:25:23	Will Don Beyer be the VA-08 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42d5b4…
07-31 02:56:11	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb63291…
07-31 02:55:32	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xee321a…
07-31 02:35:56	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc912c0…
07-31 02:28:09	Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa94290…
07-30 03:14:06	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc4a2ec…
07-30 03:13:35	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa89486…
07-30 02:41:26	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x424758…
07-30 02:34:51	bitcoin above 54k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x271ae2…
07-29 09:34:42	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x129c79…
07-29 09:33:45	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2ace2…
07-29 09:16:23	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9edd2…
07-29 09:07:50	Will United Russia win the next Kamchatka Krai Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x679775…
07-28 03:14:39	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2324fa…
07-28 03:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc953d3…
07-28 03:04:45	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f576e…
07-28 03:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93966d…
07-27 03:05:40	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2350b…
07-27 03:05:01	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5e26c4…
07-27 02:22:30	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62957c…
07-27 02:09:10	Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd50a89…
07-25 02:25:10	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76170c…
07-25 02:24:13	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a5cd…
07-25 02:10:10	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbc77e…
07-25 01:56:36	Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ea806…
07-24 07:54:16	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfee571…
07-24 07:53:37	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc73417…
07-24 07:32:07	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x277720…
07-24 07:28:28	Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x625d3b…
07-23 02:59:22	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4ca18b…
07-23 02:58:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfd132c…
07-23 02:49:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdfbb22…
07-23 02:35:16	Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9cb832…
07-22 03:18:39	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ebd25…
07-22 03:17:39	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5907ad…
07-22 02:48:27	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf7882…
07-22 02:42:00	tony dunst 20260707142702030	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb540c5…
07-21 08:24:19	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4996e5…
07-21 08:23:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc131b2…
07-21 08:11:09	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee625a…
07-21 08:06:12	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66aa7d…
07-20 03:20:16	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf06033…
07-20 03:19:33	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f6392…
07-20 02:50:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84cef6…
07-20 02:42:22	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd61430…
07-18 03:25:22	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x50c299…
07-18 03:24:42	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d0856…
07-18 03:07:42	Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbc5cce…
07-18 03:03:16	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaaf5f…
07-17 08:05:13	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1afc46…
07-17 08:04:13	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x88332c…
07-17 07:42:21	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ca74c…
07-17 07:36:54	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x942d78…
07-16 02:57:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9639de…
07-16 02:56:13	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb24582…
07-16 02:31:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe22a91…
07-16 02:18:11	Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74e945…
07-15 02:23:31	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd47220…
07-15 02:22:52	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xead43a…
07-15 02:13:22	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1abd8…
07-15 02:08:38	Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04964e…
07-14 08:53:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbeb9eb…
07-14 08:52:55	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc5418e…
07-14 08:32:50	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf83628…
07-14 08:25:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57eb88…
07-13 02:50:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6ffdce…
07-13 02:49:11	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x235e6e…
07-13 02:26:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe7ccb1…
07-13 02:20:05	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b48ee…
07-11 09:18:26	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf95dbd…
07-11 09:17:52	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x432276…
07-11 08:44:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd30b0d…
07-11 08:40:52	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4fb9e6…
07-10 02:31:43	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0162bb…
07-10 02:31:02	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88aed1…
07-10 02:13:59	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x597e80…
07-10 02:02:16	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b9ce8…
07-09 07:43:02	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc573a9…
07-09 07:42:31	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b2667…
07-09 07:26:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x646811…
07-09 07:21:52	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x939075…
07-08 02:46:31	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1805b6…
07-08 02:45:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb912f0…
07-08 02:27:23	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa6813…
07-08 02:24:32	Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d6b89…
07-07 08:02:53	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf2700…
07-07 08:02:08	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x91ed22…
07-07 07:35:38	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be less than 80?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f6425…
07-07 07:19:46	Will Ann Wagner be the MO-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96e0ff…
07-06 02:13:49	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0ccaa1…
07-06 02:12:38	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbc8c1d…
07-06 01:53:52	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b1204…
07-06 01:44:50	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x53a02b…