Embarrassed-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

9,458

Trades

50,637

lifetime

Volume

$172.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.04K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-28 10:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 155 days

Categories

Other

99% 88% +$20

Politics

0% 85% -$5

Crypto

0% 87% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 87% +$3

Sports

0% 83% -$1

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+394	$351	92¢	$364	+$13	10-28 09:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	—	+394	$316	80¢	$316	$0	10-28 08:06
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+392	$308	76¢	$300	-$9	10-28 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	—	+100	$78	62¢	$62	-$16	10-26 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	394	$4.4K	4,130	5,573	-1,442	Yes	-$40	04-23 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	390	$4.0K	4,416	4,126	+290	No	-$42	05-08 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	337	$3.9K	3,165	5,000	-1,835	Yes	+$36	05-05 13:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	193	$3.7K	3,005	4,485	-1,480	Yes	-$259	04-20 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	338	$3.3K	3,398	3,341	+57	No	-$31	05-05 13:56
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	316	$3.3K	2,234	4,492	-2,258	No	-$65	04-20 16:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	231	$3.1K	2,800	4,184	-1,384	No	+$39	04-23 19:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	222	$2.6K	3,192	2,041	+1,151	No	-$16	05-12 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	177	$2.5K	2,240	2,466	-226	Yes	-$30	05-08 11:58
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	227	$2.4K	2,598	2,272	+326	Yes	+$35	05-12 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	60	$2.4K	1,271	1,271	+0	No	+$63	09-03 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	377	$2.3K	2,357	2,495	-139	Yes	+$9	05-01 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	866	$2.2K	2,848	1,950	+898	No	+$10	04-17 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	382	$2.2K	2,398	2,307	+91	No	-$3	05-01 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	210	$1.9K	2,301	1,857	+444	No	-$7	05-08 11:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	149	$1.8K	2,228	1,727	+501	No	+$1	05-12 06:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	327	$1.8K	1,848	1,950	-102	No	-$17	05-01 02:25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	146	$1.5K	1,079	1,828	-749	No	-$3	05-03 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	50	$1.4K	1,220	1,577	-357	No	-$97	06-25 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	205	$1.3K	1,615	1,174	+441	No	-$11	05-01 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	111	$1.3K	1,222	1,198	+24	No	+$15	05-15 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	83	$1.3K	1,072	883	+188	No	-$8	05-14 02:17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	39	$1.3K	727	727	+0	No	+$81	08-25 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	177	$1.2K	1,388	1,083	+305	No	-$2	05-05 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	51	$1.2K	1,043	1,333	-290	Yes	+$8	07-21 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	34	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$58	10-25 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	57	$1.1K	803	1,397	-594	No	+$14	07-09 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	61	$1.0K	356	1,751	-1,395	No	+$3	07-02 16:36
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	337	$990	1,051	612	+439	Yes	-$22	04-14 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	81	$982	856	1,108	-253	No	+$24	05-14 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 10:55:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xf098d5…
10-28 09:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x795bf8…
10-28 09:00:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x0d281c…
10-28 08:06:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x4ce3f1…
10-28 08:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa6927a…
10-28 08:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xced467…
10-28 08:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x22973c…
10-28 08:01:05	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe9299e…
10-28 07:56:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xfffdac…
10-28 07:54:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4ab461…
10-28 06:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x59a096…
10-28 05:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x1f08e0…
10-28 02:02:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$22	0x996bbe…
10-28 01:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x3796af…
10-28 01:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	78¢	$33	0xd9cd4c…
10-28 00:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa40ec7…
10-27 22:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x283d29…
10-27 21:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xac65d1…
10-27 20:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x05f19a…
10-27 19:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xd77983…
10-27 18:56:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x47dd55…
10-27 18:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbb1de7…
10-27 18:28:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x4a85fd…
10-27 18:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x31c140…
10-27 18:24:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd0c6b0…
10-27 16:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xcde92e…
10-27 16:18:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb5f305…
10-27 16:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6f432a…
10-27 16:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0x3ca52c…
10-27 16:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2af9bd…
10-27 16:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x05e368…
10-27 16:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xdfdc89…
10-27 15:55:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0xdee80a…
10-27 15:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x7dc1bc…
10-27 14:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x0336b3…
10-27 14:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x0fe67b…
10-27 09:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xdab894…
10-27 08:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7f823f…
10-27 06:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1dd776…
10-27 06:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x404492…
10-27 04:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x18282b…
10-27 01:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x774dfb…
10-26 23:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4f689b…
10-26 20:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x994893…
10-26 20:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe3fd75…
10-26 20:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x5ca614…
10-26 20:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0xd7250a…
10-26 20:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xac835a…
10-26 20:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8b27ed…
10-26 20:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x83f1a4…
10-26 20:03:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf31a0f…
10-26 19:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x134540…
10-26 19:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x275d58…
10-26 18:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x87658d…
10-26 18:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xab7586…
10-26 18:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xf3223a…
10-26 18:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0xa32be9…
10-26 18:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0x4cf850…
10-26 17:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x4df3bc…
10-26 17:59:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	48	50¢	$24	0x26b0e1…
10-26 17:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	70	70¢	$49	0xdb77ff…
10-26 17:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x2abe84…
10-26 17:52:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xeddd8d…
10-26 17:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x1bb188…
10-26 17:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x294635…
10-26 17:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	192	91¢	$176	0xd259c4…
10-26 17:03:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x3cd8f6…
10-26 17:02:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0x3c357c…
10-26 16:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	279	88¢	$245	0x051f32…
10-26 16:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xbb96d4…
10-26 16:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	26	88¢	$22	0x827099…
10-26 12:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0x41f5d7…
10-26 12:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xf1b74e…
10-26 10:12:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf0d3f0…
10-26 09:38:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x64deb7…
10-25 22:01:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x26647b…
10-25 21:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x2a6755…
10-25 19:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x117af1…
10-25 19:11:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x782a86…
10-25 18:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4717ba…
10-25 18:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf96881…
10-25 18:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	45	81¢	$36	0x5b9cfa…
10-25 16:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x8967ef…
10-25 15:38:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x3b3376…
10-25 15:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xfebc7f…
10-25 15:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x64757e…
10-25 15:31:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x5922d0…
10-25 15:30:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x56d0f2…
10-25 15:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xe518db…
10-25 15:25:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdab120…
10-25 15:15:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xc4465b…
10-25 14:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x0f693a…
10-25 14:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xe683c1…
10-25 14:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x46f55e…
10-25 14:41:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7a1a01…
10-25 14:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0xd315c7…
10-25 07:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x92443b…
10-25 06:58:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0xfea582…
10-25 06:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xb1d468…
10-25 01:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xff5cf3…