Embarrassed-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$364

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

909

50,697 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$34.6K

$176.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$505

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-14 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

99% 88% -$28

Politics

0% 85% -$5

Crypto

0% 87% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 87% +$3

Sports

0% 83% -$1

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	+255	$200	98¢	$249	+$49	11-14 04:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	+100	$98	95¢	$95	-$3	11-14 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	+103	$99	86¢	$89	-$10	11-14 05:00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	+112	$97	64¢	$72	-$25	11-14 05:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	394	$4.4K	4,130	5,573	-1,442	Yes	-$40	04-23 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	390	$4.0K	4,416	4,126	+290	No	-$42	05-08 07:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	337	$3.9K	3,165	5,000	-1,835	Yes	+$36	05-05 13:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	193	$3.7K	3,005	4,485	-1,480	Yes	-$259	04-20 16:27
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	338	$3.3K	3,398	3,341	+57	No	-$31	05-05 13:56
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	316	$3.3K	2,234	4,492	-2,258	No	-$65	04-20 16:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	231	$3.1K	2,800	4,184	-1,384	No	+$39	04-23 19:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	222	$2.6K	3,192	2,041	+1,151	No	-$16	05-12 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	177	$2.5K	2,240	2,466	-226	Yes	-$30	05-08 11:58
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	227	$2.4K	2,598	2,272	+326	Yes	+$35	05-12 16:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	60	$2.4K	1,271	1,271	+0	No	+$63	09-03 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	377	$2.3K	2,357	2,495	-139	Yes	+$9	05-01 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	866	$2.2K	2,848	1,950	+898	No	+$10	04-17 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	382	$2.2K	2,398	2,307	+91	No	-$3	05-01 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	210	$1.9K	2,301	1,857	+444	No	-$7	05-08 11:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	149	$1.8K	2,228	1,727	+501	No	+$1	05-12 06:28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	327	$1.8K	1,848	1,950	-102	No	-$17	05-01 02:25
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	146	$1.5K	1,079	1,828	-749	No	-$3	05-03 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	50	$1.4K	1,220	1,577	-357	No	-$97	06-25 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	205	$1.3K	1,615	1,174	+441	No	-$11	05-01 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	111	$1.3K	1,222	1,198	+24	No	+$15	05-15 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	83	$1.3K	1,072	883	+188	No	-$8	05-14 02:17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	39	$1.3K	727	727	+0	No	+$81	08-25 17:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	177	$1.2K	1,388	1,083	+305	No	-$2	05-05 07:33
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	51	$1.2K	1,043	1,333	-290	Yes	+$8	07-21 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	34	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$58	10-25 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	57	$1.1K	803	1,397	-594	No	+$14	07-09 08:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	61	$1.0K	356	1,751	-1,395	No	+$3	07-02 16:36
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	337	$990	1,051	612	+439	Yes	-$22	04-14 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	81	$982	856	1,108	-253	No	+$24	05-14 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x69c053…
11-14 05:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0xc7e1ab…
11-14 05:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?	No	BUY	112	87¢	$97	0x0762e4…
11-14 04:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	No	BUY	255	78¢	$200	0x6cb933…
11-10 05:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x5e27e3…
11-07 06:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	228	81¢	$184	0x47558b…
11-07 05:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x5da772…
11-07 04:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5b15f1…
11-07 04:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa14c44…
11-03 08:49:39	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x30a03c…
11-03 08:49:06	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x64da7f…
11-03 08:48:55	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x9e3054…
11-03 08:48:15	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7c3513…
11-01 22:25:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$17	0xce0330…
11-01 22:25:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	29	78¢	$22	0x2771e7…
11-01 21:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0x944f6e…
11-01 19:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x59b334…
11-01 18:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe4f04b…
11-01 18:00:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x9ee5d7…
11-01 17:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x44ca10…
11-01 13:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x1bb8fb…
11-01 13:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x554cbe…
11-01 13:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x35d14d…
11-01 12:03:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xbbbb81…
11-01 09:40:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xc57314…
11-01 08:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xab6fb7…
10-31 23:20:48	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x2ea76e…
10-31 23:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xc5458a…
10-31 23:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x850c09…
10-31 22:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3a611e…
10-31 19:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x9c15cb…
10-31 19:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x23e44f…
10-31 18:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x9dbfb4…
10-31 18:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xa0ff08…
10-31 18:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$39	0x0c8284…
10-31 18:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	45	79¢	$35	0xaaf53a…
10-31 18:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xce5851…
10-31 18:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	39	84¢	$33	0x1290a0…
10-31 18:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc79fcb…
10-31 18:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0xdeb035…
10-31 18:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x4ec670…
10-31 18:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x433fde…
10-31 18:44:12	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x24d758…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xaa7eba…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x81b4c6…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0x6d8bde…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x620084…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x44adda…
10-31 18:42:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x15f425…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xe5b97e…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc496f3…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xbe5c5d…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x7e1536…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x6f4ec6…
10-31 18:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x67b238…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf36556…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xc05463…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0xad2ca1…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xa9f283…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x2e1191…
10-31 18:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x2b1c6d…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0xef5e57…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd4a8b8…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xbf0c55…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$36	0xb378c2…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x9a8bf8…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x7ecb0a…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x6d9f33…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x5c1363…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x3284af…
10-31 18:42:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x0f968d…
10-31 18:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x9c075c…
10-31 18:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x8bd6dc…
10-31 18:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xeb9e86…
10-31 18:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x9afaba…
10-31 18:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x643ef6…
10-31 18:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x2cc29c…
10-31 18:41:42	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0xeada44…
10-31 18:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x18ac76…
10-31 18:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xd4a653…
10-31 18:40:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd0180e…
10-31 18:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x62dc00…
10-31 18:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x800c6c…
10-31 18:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x6f108a…
10-31 18:38:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x5c688d…
10-31 14:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xbc225c…
10-31 13:41:01	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x40497d…
10-31 08:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xe602b0…
10-31 07:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	48	86¢	$41	0xae82ac…
10-31 05:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0xd6c66c…
10-31 01:32:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x4bd5df…
10-30 23:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x7dc7c7…
10-30 22:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x102ebf…
10-30 20:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7fca78…
10-30 19:50:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0xe8e0ad…
10-30 19:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	48	90¢	$44	0x119d8a…
10-30 19:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x3c7321…
10-30 18:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x62c09a…
10-30 17:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0x7b99f0…
10-30 17:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x185fb9…