Agitated-Headlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

406

Trades

705

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-10 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 44% -$24

Other

9% 37% -$36

Sports

2% 20% -$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	13	$35	36	81	-45	Yes	+$13	05-11 11:08
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$23	18	18	+0	Up	$0	05-25 21:10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$19	25	25	+0	No	-$1	05-11 11:06
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-11 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$19	27	11	+16	Down	+$9	05-22 06:45
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-11 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$16	19	12	+7	Up	-$2	05-22 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$16	15	12	+2	Down	+$4	05-22 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$14	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-24 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$13	22	14	+8	Down	+$3	05-22 06:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-25 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$13	16	10	+6	Down	+$3	05-22 05:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$13	13	11	+2	Down	+$2	05-22 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-24 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$13	34	8	+26	Up	-$5	05-22 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 08:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$12	16	10	+6	Down	+$4	05-22 05:30
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-24 16:04
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-25 21:01
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$12	13	10	+3	Up	-$1	05-23 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-25 21:04
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	$0	05-25 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 07:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 05:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-24 16:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	$0	05-24 16:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$10	16	6	+10	Down	+$6	05-22 05:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-24 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 17:19:09	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe7c5a0…
06-10 17:17:58	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdd47b3…
06-10 17:17:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8d8345…
06-10 16:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xf98aa7…
06-10 04:01:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xed80f8…
06-10 03:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x748071…
06-10 03:03:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x78081c…
06-10 02:06:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x85d432…
06-10 02:06:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5319db…
06-10 02:04:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb616e7…
06-10 02:04:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xc92c75…
06-10 02:04:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x410a44…
06-10 02:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2b2933…
06-10 02:04:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8cd14b…
06-10 00:53:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7774f1…
06-10 00:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x03b247…
06-10 00:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x719ed3…
06-10 00:32:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf4f5d1…
06-10 00:32:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd91733…
06-10 00:32:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xa64704…
06-10 00:32:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x639edf…
06-10 00:25:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x225202…
06-10 00:24:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x94b1d7…
06-10 00:24:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xd45e44…
06-09 02:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3e707a…
06-09 02:35:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x259ca4…
06-09 02:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc51e30…
06-08 04:18:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x3d5b5e…
06-08 04:18:28	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x80b726…
06-08 03:56:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4b217b…
06-08 02:51:28	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe647b9…
06-08 02:50:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x026e7b…
06-08 02:39:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x08458c…
06-08 02:08:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc106c8…
06-07 21:34:13	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x85c626…
06-07 21:33:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xcf40cf…
06-07 21:32:46	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7ae7d9…
06-07 21:32:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xeb9ce7…
06-07 21:27:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0cdc7c…
06-07 21:03:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x13e878…
06-07 20:39:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb61b19…
06-07 13:49:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa696b8…
06-07 13:26:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x785d22…
06-07 12:33:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x114f26…
06-07 12:31:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7e253…
06-07 12:30:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdf3fd4…
06-07 12:01:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x27bf0c…
06-07 11:52:49	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x82954b…
06-07 11:52:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x640141…
06-07 11:52:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd109eb…
06-07 11:52:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa19a7a…
06-07 11:52:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x30172e…
06-07 11:33:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x47dd47…
06-07 06:25:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x26672c…
06-07 06:13:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x82c089…
06-07 06:11:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5aec5a…
06-07 06:11:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7fefa3…
06-07 06:11:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf8851c…
06-07 05:40:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdb89ef…
06-07 04:21:06	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xea5f8e…
06-07 04:21:04	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xecb039…
06-07 04:21:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x886a84…
06-07 04:20:46	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe6a50c…
06-07 04:20:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa3a304…
06-07 04:20:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x7513c0…
06-07 04:00:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x648163…
06-07 03:45:52	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe55eb8…
06-07 03:36:37	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x6a6b2b…
06-07 03:36:36	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x92b332…
06-07 03:35:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0bc4c4…
06-07 03:34:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4357f6…
06-07 03:34:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x2a7f51…
06-07 03:34:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x262a81…
06-07 02:09:55	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x820aa7…
06-07 02:05:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0a758c…
06-07 02:05:03	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3982e3…
06-07 02:03:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x039d4a…
06-07 02:01:07	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xaf2b08…
06-07 02:01:07	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x46c882…
06-07 01:57:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd4363a…
06-07 01:56:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x818967…
06-07 01:55:51	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x67bcd1…
06-07 01:55:48	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd7ec2f…
06-07 01:55:34	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x6411b5…
06-07 01:55:34	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4ff44d…
06-07 01:55:27	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x290c29…
06-07 01:55:25	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xa5e88b…
06-07 01:55:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9acfa7…
06-02 00:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x65909b…
06-01 23:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcbc3f6…
05-27 06:58:26	BNB Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xbcdae5…
05-27 06:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa604d…
05-27 06:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x30fe45…
05-27 06:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1c65e7…
05-27 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x05857d…
05-27 06:00:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x4ec9d5…
05-27 05:59:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x436b12…
05-27 05:49:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x70bcc4…
05-27 05:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf740a9…
05-27 05:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2f6273…